Updated 6 November 2026.
Celtic host Kilmarnock at Celtic Park on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 4pm UK, in a Scottish Premiership game that pairs the division's best attack with its leakiest defence. Celtic top the table on 28 points from 12 games, while Kilmarnock sit 11th of 12 on 9 and have conceded 28 goals.
Our model makes it a heavy home win, with Celtic given an 83% chance and a projected 3.34 goals to Kilmarnock's 0.91.
Celtic are 1st with nine wins, a draw and two defeats, and a goal difference of +17 (27 scored, 10 conceded). That attack is the league's best at 2.25 goals a game, and they have also had the most shots on target at 8.67 a game and won the most corners at 9.5. At the back they have conceded the 2nd fewest goals and kept a clean sheet in 33% of games, the 2nd highest rate.
Celtic beat Beşiktaş 3-2 in the Europa League on Thursday. Before that they lost 2-0 at Falkirk on 1 November, drew 2-2 with Dundee Utd on 28 October and won 2-1 at Hibernian on 25 October.
Kilmarnock are 11th with two wins, three draws and seven defeats. They have scored 13 and let in 28, which is 2.33 goals against per game, the most in the division. Their clean-sheet rate of 17% is the 3rd lowest. They have lost three of their last five, including 3-0 at Falkirk and 3-1 at Dundee, and they come off a 2-2 home draw with St. Johnstone on Saturday. Their games do produce goals: 67% have gone over 2.5, the 2nd highest rate in the Scottish Premiership, and both teams have scored in 58%, the 5th highest.
Celtic possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; Donovan, Carter-Vickers, Scales, Tierney; McGregor, Oxlade-Chamberlain; Baur, Hassan, Durán; Osmand
Kilmarnock possible starting lineup:
Mantl; Stanger, McCarthy, Deas, Brandon; Tshibola, Lowery, Ring; Kiltie, Daniels, Hugill
Camilo Durán has had three or more shots in five straight games, averaging 3.8 a game. He has also had a shot on target in five straight, and is 1.13 at bet365 for a shot on target and 1.17 for three or more shots.
Mika Baur has had a shot on target in five in a row and is 1.50 at bet365 to make it six. He has also made a tackle in eight straight games, averaging 3.4.
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain has had a shot in five straight games for Celtic. For Kilmarnock, Aaron Tshibola has committed a foul in five straight games, averaging 2.4.
We back Celtic to win, and the bookmakers agree: 1.18 at Ladbrokes. Our model gives them 83%, with a 3.34 to 0.91 goals projection and 25.6 shots to 8.9, against a visiting side that has had the 6th fewest shots on target.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic win | 1.18 (Ladbrokes) | 83% |
| Draw | 8.00 (bet365) | 11% |
| Kilmarnock win | 12.00 (bet365) | 6% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (bet365) | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 (bet365) | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 (bet365) | 80% |
Our predicted score is Celtic 3-0 Kilmarnock, which comes out at 8.9%, with 3-1 and 2-0 next. Celtic are projected to keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and Kilmarnock have conceded 2.33 goals a game, the most in the division.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Celtic Park, in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership. Celtic lead the table on 28 points from 12 games and Kilmarnock are 11th on 9.
We predict Celtic 3-0 Kilmarnock in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership match on 8 November, a scoreline that comes out at 8.9%. Our model gives Celtic an 83% chance of winning, with the draw at 11% and Kilmarnock at 6%.
Celtic are 1.18 at Ladbrokes to win this Scottish Premiership match, and our model puts their chance at 83%. They lead the 2026/27 table on 28 points from 12 games, while Kilmarnock are 11th on 9 points.
Our model gives both teams to score a 58% chance in this 2026/27 Scottish Premiership game, with bet365 offering 1.75. Kilmarnock have conceded 28 goals in 12 games, while Celtic have kept a clean sheet in 33% of theirs.
Camilo Durán is the in-form shooter for Celtic vs Kilmarnock in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership, with three or more shots in 5 straight games and 3.8 a game across them. Mika Baur has had a shot on target in 5 straight and is 1.50 at bet365 for another.
Predicted lineups for Celtic vs Kilmarnock in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership on Sunday 8 November 2026: Celtic may start Johnstone; Donovan, Carter-Vickers, Scales, Tierney; McGregor, Oxlade-Chamberlain; Baur, Hassan, Durán; Osmand. Kilmarnock may start Mantl; Stanger, McCarthy, Deas, Brandon; Tshibola, Lowery, Ring; Kiltie, Daniels, Hugill.
Celtic are 1st and Kilmarnock 11th of 12 in the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership, a gap of 19 points before the 8 November game. Celtic have scored 27 goals and conceded 10, while Kilmarnock have scored 13 and conceded 28.