Updated 24 October 2026.
Crystal Palace host Newcastle United at Selhurst Park on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 14:00 UK, and both sides come in with leaky defences. Palace have conceded 17 goals in seven league games, the most per game in the division, and Newcastle haven't been much tighter at 14. We expect goals at both ends and give both teams to score a 65% chance.
Palace sit 14th in the Premier League with 7 points from seven. Newcastle are 11th on 8 points from seven.
Palace's season has been defined by what happens at the back. They've let in 2.43 goals a game, the most in the league, and their goals at the other end are middling at 1.29 a game, the 9th most. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 71% of their league games, the 2nd highest rate in the league. They lost 5-0 at Brighton on 18 October, then drew 2-2 at Beşiktaş in the Europa League on Thursday. Before those came a 3-2 loss at Lyon in the Europa League and a 3-1 home win over Forest.
Newcastle have scored 1.43 a game, the 7th most, and both teams have scored in 71% of their league games, the 2nd highest rate in the league. Their last two league games were a 1-0 home defeat to Villa on 17 October and a 4-1 loss at Coventry on 12 October, and before that came a 2-1 win over Hull. They have lost three of their last five games in all competitions.
Newcastle commit 12.14 fouls a game, the 8th most, and pick up 2.71 cards a game, the 5th most. Palace commit the 4th fewest fouls at 10 a game, and their shots on target sit at 3.71 a game, the 5th fewest. Newcastle's own figure is 3.57, the 4th fewest.
Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Benítez; Canvot, Richards, Disasi; Khalaili, Wharton, Kamada, Mitchell; Pino, Sarr; Mateta
Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Hornicek; Miley, Botman, Thiaw, Hall; González, Joelinton, Fernández-Pardo; Barnes, Osula, Wissa
Anan Khalaili has made at least one tackle in all seven of Palace's league games and averages 3.6 a game. He has also committed a foul in each of his last four league games, and he's 1.48 at Ladbrokes to do it again.
Harvey Barnes has had at least two shots in five straight games, averaging 2.8 a game over his last five, and he's 1.36 at Ladbrokes to do it again. Yoane Wissa has had two or more shots in each of his last five, with a high of seven, and is 1.33 at bet365 for the same.
Lewis Hall has made a tackle in all seven of Newcastle's league games, averaging 2.4, and is 1.10 at bet365 to keep that going.
We have Palace narrowly ahead, at 40% against 36% for Newcastle and 24% for a draw. The best prices are 2.90 for Palace at bet365 and 2.30 for Newcastle at bet365, with the draw at 3.80 at BoyleSports. That makes Newcastle the bookmakers' favourite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Palace win | 2.90 (bet365) | 40% |
| Draw | 3.80 (BoyleSports) | 24% |
| Newcastle win | 2.30 (bet365) | 36% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (Ladbrokes) | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 (bet365) | 63% |
We predict a 1-1 draw. It is the likeliest single score at 11%, though we make Palace slightly more likely to win overall. We project 1.68 goals for Palace and 1.57 for Newcastle, and 2-1 to Palace is the next most likely score, followed by 1-2.
Kick-off is at 14:00 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Selhurst Park.
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 11%. We make Palace slightly more likely to win overall, at 40% against 36% for Newcastle.
We make Crystal Palace the favourite at 40%, with Newcastle at 36% and the draw at 24%. The bookmakers have Newcastle as the shorter price, at 2.30 against 2.90 for Palace.
We give both teams to score a 65% chance, and over 2.5 goals 63%. Palace have conceded the most goals per game in the league, and both teams have scored in 71% of Newcastle's league games.
Harvey Barnes and Yoane Wissa have both had at least two shots in each of their last five games for Newcastle. For Palace, Anan Khalaili has made a tackle in all seven league games this season.
Crystal Palace are 14th with 7 points from seven games, and Newcastle United are 11th with 8 points from seven.
Palace: Benítez; Canvot, Richards, Disasi; Khalaili, Wharton, Kamada, Mitchell; Pino, Sarr; Mateta. Newcastle: Hornicek; Miley, Botman, Thiaw, Hall; González, Joelinton, Fernández-Pardo; Barnes, Osula, Wissa.