Updated 6 November 2026.
Lugano arrive at St. Gallen's Kybunpark on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 1pm UK, unbeaten in the Super League this season. Lugano top the table on 34 points from 12 games, 15 clear of the hosts in 5th, and they have won their last eight games in all competitions. The last time these two met, in September, Lugano won 4-1.
St. Gallen have the 2nd most shots on target in the division and the most corners, and they beat Servette 2-1 on 31 October.
Eleven wins and a draw from 12 league games have brought 36 goals, the 2nd most in the division, and only 10 conceded, the fewest. They keep clean sheets in 33% of games, the highest rate in the league, and 92% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd highest. They beat Basel 2-1 at home on 1 November, and on Thursday they beat Žalgiris 3-0 at home in the Europa Conference League, three days before this game. Before that came a 3-2 win at Thun and a 5-2 win at Getafe in Europe.
St. Gallen sit 5th on 19 points, with six wins, one draw and five defeats and a goal difference of -3 (19 scored, 22 conceded). They won 2-1 against Servette at home on 31 October, lost 2-0 at Young Boys on 24 October and beat Lausanne 1-0 at home on 11 October. Before that came a 3-1 win at Basel on 20 September. Their 6.33 shots on target per game is the 2nd most in the league, and their 6.58 corners a game is the most. They commit 15 fouls a game, the 3rd most, yet pick up just 1.75 cards, the fewest.
St. Gallen possible starting lineup:
Ati Zigi; Gaal, Stanic, Heydari, Stevanovic; Vandermersch, Görtler, Daschner; Okoroji, Boukhalfa, Baldé
Lugano possible starting lineup:
von Ballmoos; Papadopoulos, Mai, Delcroix; Grgic, Zanotti, Dos Santos, Bislimi; Cimignani, Behrens, Castro
Aliou Baldé has had a shot in every one of St. Gallen's 12 league games this season, averaging 3.4 across the run.
Jozo Stanic has made at least one tackle and committed at least one foul in all 12 league games, averaging 2.3 of each.
Mihailo Stevanovic has made a tackle in ten straight games, averaging 2.7 across the run.
For Lugano, Daniel Dos Santos has had a shot in eight consecutive games, averaging 2.6, and Uran Bislimi has made a tackle in nine in a row, averaging 1.7.
The bookmakers have St. Gallen narrowly ahead as home favourites, and our model agrees: we give them a 41% chance of winning to 34% for Lugano, with the draw at 25%. Both teams to score is 1.44 at bet365, and our model puts it at 62%. Over 2.5 goals is 1.48 at bet365, with our model at 59%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gallen win | 2.25 (bet365) | 41% |
| Draw | 3.80 (bet365) | 25% |
| Lugano win | 2.65 (bet365) | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 (bet365) | 59% |
Our prediction is St. Gallen 1-1 Lugano. 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we make St. Gallen a little likelier to win than Lugano, at 41% to 34%. 2-1 to St. Gallen is next at 9%, then 1-2 at 8%. We project 1.61 goals for St. Gallen and 1.46 for Lugano.
In the shots market, Baldé has had a shot in all 12 league games and Dos Santos in eight straight.
St. Gallen vs Lugano kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Kybunpark. It is a 2026/27 Super League regular-season game between 5th-placed St. Gallen on 19 points and league leaders Lugano on 34.
We predict a 1-1 draw for St. Gallen vs Lugano in the 2026/27 Super League, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%. We make St. Gallen slightly more likely to win, at 41% to 34% for Lugano, with the draw at 25%.
St. Gallen are narrowly the favourites for St. Gallen vs Lugano at 2.25 with bet365, against 2.65 for Lugano and 3.80 for the draw. Our model backs the hosts at 41% in St. Gallen vs Lugano in the 2026/27 Super League, with Lugano at 34%.
We rate both teams to score at 62% in St. Gallen vs Lugano in the 2026/27 Super League, with bet365 offering 1.44. Over 2.5 goals is 59% in our model and 1.48 with bet365, and we project 1.61 goals for St. Gallen and 1.46 for Lugano.
Lugano lead the 2026/27 Super League on 34 points from 12 games, with 11 wins, one draw and no defeats. St. Gallen are 5th on 19 points from 12 games, 15 points behind them.
Aliou Baldé has had at least one shot in all 12 of St. Gallen's 2026/27 Super League games, averaging 3.4 per game, going into St. Gallen vs Lugano at Kybunpark on 8 November.
Predicted lineups for St. Gallen vs Lugano in the 2026/27 Super League on Sunday 8 November 2026: St. Gallen may start Ati Zigi; Gaal, Stanic, Heydari, Stevanovic; Vandermersch, Görtler, Daschner; Okoroji, Boukhalfa, Baldé. Lugano may start von Ballmoos; Papadopoulos, Mai, Delcroix; Grgic, Zanotti, Dos Santos, Bislimi; Cimignani, Behrens, Castro.