Updated 6 November 2026.
Le Mans host Monaco at Stade de La Pincenardière on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 16:15 UK, in a Ligue 1 game that pairs the division's 17th-placed side with the team in 7th. Le Mans have won one of nine and have just 7 points. Monaco have 15.
Monaco are the favourites with the bookmakers and with us. 1-1 is the likeliest single score in our projection, though we make Monaco 51% to win.
Le Mans are 17th of 18 with 1 win, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 9, scoring 11 and conceding 18. They have lost three of their last four, most recently 2-0 at Troyes on 31 October, and before that they drew 1-1 at Auxerre. Earlier they lost 3-0 at home to Toulouse on 16 October and 3-1 at PSG, and beat Lorient 2-1 on 19 September, their only win of the season.
Both teams have scored in 78% of Le Mans games, the 2nd highest rate in Ligue 1. They concede 2 a game, the 5th most, and they have not kept a clean sheet all season. They also win the fewest corners in Ligue 1 at 2.44 a game, and they lead the league for cards at 2.56 a game, with the 3rd most fouls at 14.67.
Monaco sit 7th with 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 10. They concede 1.11 a game, the 4th fewest, and have kept a clean sheet in 22% of games. They lost 3-1 at Paris last Sunday, but they bounced back on Thursday with a 2-0 win over Nordsjælland in the Europa Conference League. Before that came a 1-1 draw with Lille, a 3-0 win over Freiburg and a 1-0 defeat at Lorient.
Monaco's 1.33 goals a game is the 8th fewest, and their 4.33 shots on target a game is the 6th fewest.
Le Mans possible starting lineup:
Kocik; Boissé, Torrente, Yohou; Lauray, Buades; Bretelle, Calodat, Rabillard; Mafouta, Diallo
Monaco possible starting lineup:
Hradecky; Vanderson, Dier, Sané, Nazinho; Zakaria, Camara; Coulibaly, Golovin; Abline, Brunner
Paris Brunner has had at least one shot in seven straight games, averaging 2.9, and he is 1.04 at bet365 to make it eight. He has also committed a foul in five straight games.
Matthis Abline has had two or more shots in five straight, at 3 a game, and is 1.22 at bet365 to do it again. Aleksandr Golovin has had a shot in six consecutive games and is 1.15 at Ladbrokes.
Vanderson at right back has made a tackle in six straight at 4 a game. On the Le Mans side, Alexandre Lauray has made a tackle and committed a foul in each of eight straight games, at 2 and 1.6 a game, and Noa Boissé has made a tackle in eight straight at 2.4 a game.
We back Monaco, who are 1.73 at bet365 to win. Le Mans are 4.50 at bet365 and the draw is 4.00 at bet365. Both teams to score is 1.57 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.62 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans win | 4.50 (bet365) | 24% |
| Draw | 4.00 (bet365) | 25% |
| Monaco win | 1.73 (bet365) | 51% |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 (bet365) | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 (bet365) | 56% |
We expect 1.16 goals from Le Mans and 1.78 from Monaco. 1-1 is the likeliest score at 11%, though we make Monaco the more likely winners at 51% against 24% for the hosts. Our prediction is a 1-1 draw, with the draw itself at 25%.
Le Mans vs Monaco in Ligue 1 kicks off at 16:15 UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Stade de La Pincenardière. It is a 2026/27 Regular Season fixture between 17th-placed Le Mans, who have 7 points, and 7th-placed Monaco, who have 15.
Our prediction for Le Mans vs Monaco in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 season is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest score at 11%. We make Monaco slightly more likely to win overall at 51%, with a Le Mans win at 24%.
Monaco are favourites for the Ligue 1 game against Le Mans on 8 November, priced at 1.73 at bet365. Our model gives Monaco a 51% chance of winning, ahead of 24% for Le Mans and 25% for a draw.
We give both teams to score a 58% chance in Le Mans vs Monaco in Ligue 1 2026/27, priced at 1.57 at bet365. Le Mans have the 2nd highest both-teams-to-score rate in the league at 78%, while over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Before the 8 November Ligue 1 2026/27 fixture, Monaco are 7th on 15 points from 9 games and Le Mans are 17th of 18 on 7 points. Le Mans have won 1 game, Monaco 4, and both have played 9 matches.
Paris Brunner has had a shot in 7 straight Ligue 1 games, averaging 2.9 a game, ahead of Monaco's 2026/27 visit to Le Mans on 8 November. Matthis Abline has had 2+ shots in 5 straight and Aleksandr Golovin a shot in 6 in a row.
Predicted lineups for Le Mans vs Monaco in the 2026/27 Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026: Le Mans may start Kocik; Boissé, Torrente, Yohou; Lauray, Buades; Bretelle, Calodat, Rabillard; Mafouta, Diallo. Monaco may start Hradecky; Vanderson, Dier, Sané, Nazinho; Zakaria, Camara; Coulibaly, Golovin; Abline, Brunner.