Updated 30 October 2026.
Excelsior welcome FC Twente to the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 13:30 UK. The hosts are 13th in the Eredivisie on 11 points and have lost their last three league games, scoring once in them. Twente sit 4th on 20 points and have the division's meanest defence.
Excelsior lost 1-0 at Fortuna on 25 October and 4-0 at Heerenveen on 16 October, and before that came a 1-5 home defeat to FC Groningen on 11 October. Their last point came in a 2-2 draw at Ajax on 19 September. Across ten games they have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5, scoring 16 and conceding 19. They score 1.6 goals a game, the 5th fewest in the league, and concede 1.9, the 9th fewest.
They keep clean sheets in 20% of games, the 5th highest rate in the league, and have gone over 2.5 goals more often than anyone, in 90% of their matches. They average 3.8 shots on target a game, the 4th fewest.
FC Twente have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2, with 19 scored and just 10 conceded. They score 1.9 goals a game, the 7th most in the league. They concede 1.0 goals a game, the fewest in the league, and they have kept a clean sheet in 30% of matches, the 3rd highest. They won 2-0 at AZ on 25 October and beat Red Imps 4-1 in the Europa Conference League three days earlier. Twente have won seven of their last ten games in all competitions, and their only defeat in that run was a 1-2 loss at home to FC Utrecht on 18 October.
Twente average 6.8 shots on target a game, the 4th most in the division, and win 7.0 corners a game, the 2nd most.
Excelsior possible starting lineup:
Van Gassel; Meissen, Widell, Van Vianen, Sliti; Yegoian, Naujoks, Bos; Plug, Hartjes, Groen
FC Twente possible starting lineup:
Drommel; Van Rooij, Pröpper, Nijstad, Adelgaard; Zerrouki, Pjaca, Rots; Taha, Ørjasæter, Weghorst
Wout Weghorst has had at least two shots in eight straight league games, averaging 3.3 a game. He is 1.11 at bet365 to keep it going.
Sondre Ørjasæter has had a shot in nine straight league games, averaging 2.1, and is 1.05 at bet365 to make it ten.
Robin Pröpper has made a tackle in five straight league games, averaging 1.2, and committed a foul in five, averaging 1.4. Daan Rots has had a shot in four straight games, averaging 1.5.
For Excelsior, Jan Plug has made at least one tackle in all ten of the club's league games, averaging 2.1 a game. Alongside him, Rick Meissen has made a tackle in six straight games, at 2.2 a game.
FC Twente are the favourites at 1.60 with Ladbrokes. Our model gives them a 57% chance, against 24% for the draw and 19% for an Excelsior win.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Excelsior win | 5.50 (bet365) | 19% |
| Draw | 4.40 (Ladbrokes) | 24% |
| FC Twente win | 1.60 (Ladbrokes) | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 1.55 (Coral) | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 (bet365) | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 (bet365) | 57% |
1-1 is the likeliest single score at 11%, though we make Twente the clear favourites at 57%. We expect 1.94 goals from Twente and 1.04 from Excelsior, with 1-2 next at 10% and 0-2 at 10%. Excelsior have a 14% chance of a clean sheet, and Twente a 35% chance of keeping one.
Statz prediction: Excelsior 1-1 FC Twente.
Excelsior v FC Twente in the Eredivisie 2026/27 kicks off at 13:30 UK on Sunday 1 November 2026 at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, with Excelsior 13th and Twente 4th after 10 games each.
We predict Excelsior 1-1 FC Twente in this Eredivisie 2026/27 game on 1 November 2026, the likeliest single score at 11%, though our model makes Twente the clear favourites at 57%, against 24% for the draw and 19% for Excelsior.
FC Twente are the favourites to beat Excelsior in this Eredivisie 2026/27 game on 1 November 2026, with our model giving them a 57% chance of winning, against 24% for a draw and 19% for an Excelsior win.
We put both teams to score in Excelsior v FC Twente, Eredivisie 2026/27, at 56%, with 1.04 goals expected from Excelsior and 1.94 from Twente. Twente have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their 10 league games.
In the Eredivisie 2026/27 table before Excelsior v FC Twente on 1 November, Excelsior are 13th with 11 points from 10 games and Twente are 4th with 20 points from 10, a gap of 9 points.
Ahead of Excelsior v FC Twente in the Eredivisie 2026/27, Wout Weghorst has had 2 or more shots in 8 straight league games and Sondre Ørjasæter has had at least 1 shot in 9 in a row, averaging 3.3 and 2.1 a game.
For the 13:30 UK kick-off on 1 November 2026, Excelsior's possible starting lineup is Van Gassel; Meissen, Widell, Van Vianen, Sliti; Yegoian, Naujoks, Bos; Plug, Hartjes, Groen. FC Twente's possible starting lineup is Drommel; Van Rooij, Pröpper, Nijstad, Adelgaard; Zerrouki, Pjaca, Rots; Taha, Ørjasæter, Weghorst.