Updated 6 November 2026.
FC Twente welcome Ajax to De Grolsch Veste on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 13:30 UK, with the Eredivisie's 4th-placed side hosting the team in 2nd. Only a point separates them, 23 to 24, and between them they have scored 58 league goals in 11 games each.
Twente have the best defence in the division, Ajax the 3rd highest goals average, and both played in Europe on Thursday.
Twente have won seven, drawn two and lost two in the Eredivisie, scoring 28 and conceding 10. Per game they concede 0.91, the fewest in the league, and they have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their matches, the 2nd highest rate. They also rank 2nd for both shots on target, at 7.55 a game, and corners, at 7.09.
Twente have won their last four games in all competitions: 3-1 against Pafos on Thursday in the Europa Conference League, 9-0 at Excelsior, 2-0 at AZ and 4-1 at Red Imps. The only defeat in their last ten games was a 2-1 home loss to Utrecht on 18 October.
Ajax have won seven, drawn three and lost one in the league, scoring 30 and conceding 13. Their goals average of 2.73 per game is the 3rd most in the league, and their 73% both-teams-to-score rate is the 7th highest. They have won their last five in all competitions, including a 6-1 win at Midtjylland on Thursday and a 1-0 home win over AZ on 31 October.
Ajax also pick up cards at the 2nd highest rate in the league, 2.0 per game, while Twente are the 3rd fewest at 1.09. We project 1.93 yellow cards for Ajax against 1.19 for the hosts.
FC Twente possible starting lineup:
Drommel; van Rooij, Pröpper, Nijstad, Adelgaard; Zerrouki, van den Belt; Rots, Taha, Ørjasæter; Weghorst
Ajax possible starting lineup:
ter Stegen; Rosa, Bouwman, Janse, Wijndal; Baas, Mokio; Gloukh, Klaassen, Ouazane; Arokodare
Wout Weghorst has had two or more shots in nine straight games, averaging 3.4 a match, and is 1.17 at bet365 to make it ten.
For Ajax, Oscar Gloukh and Abdellah Ouazane have each had at least one shot in all 11 of their league games. Gloukh averages 3.1 and is 1.04 at bet365; Ouazane averages 2.5 and is 1.14.
Tolu Arokodare has had two or more shots in six straight games, averaging 4.3 a match, and a shot on target in five in a row, with 1.48 at Ladbrokes on that continuing.
Daan Rots has had a shot in five straight games for Twente and is 1.01 at bet365, while Jorthy Mokio has had a shot in eight straight for Ajax, averaging 1.6, and is 1.40 at bet365.
We make Twente the favourites at 48%, and the bookmakers agree, with Coral offering 2.30 on the hosts. Ajax are 2.90 at bet365 and the draw is 3.80.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| FC Twente to win | 2.30 (Coral) | 48% |
| Draw | 3.80 (bet365) | 25% |
| Ajax to win | 2.90 (bet365) | 27% |
| Both teams to score | 1.40 (bet365) | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 (bet365) | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 (bet365) | 63% |
Our model has Twente scoring 1.87 goals to Ajax's 1.37, and projects 17.5 shots to 12.1 and 6.4 shots on target to 4.5 in the hosts' favour. We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we make Twente the likelier winners, at 48% against 27% for Ajax. Both teams scoring comes out at 64%, and more than 2.5 goals at 63%.
FC Twente vs Ajax kicks off at 13:30 UK time on Sunday 8 November 2026 at De Grolsch Veste, in the 2026/27 Eredivisie regular season. It is the 12th league game of the campaign for both sides, with Ajax 2nd on 24 points and Twente 4th on 23.
We predict FC Twente 1-1 Ajax in the 2026/27 Eredivisie fixture, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%. We still make Twente the likelier winners, with a 48% chance against 27% for Ajax and 25% for the draw.
FC Twente are favourites for the 2026/27 Eredivisie game against Ajax on 8 November 2026, with a 48% win chance in our model against 27% for Ajax. The best bookmaker price on a Twente win is 2.30 at Coral.
We give both teams to score a 64% chance in FC Twente vs Ajax in the 2026/27 Eredivisie on 8 November 2026, with 63% for over 2.5 goals. Ajax have both teams scoring in 73% of their league games this season, the 7th highest rate.
Ahead of FC Twente vs Ajax, Ajax are 2nd on 24 points and FC Twente 4th on 23 points after 11 games each in the 2026/27 Eredivisie season. Twente have conceded 10 goals, the fewest in the league, while Ajax have scored 30.
Ahead of FC Twente vs Ajax in the 2026/27 Eredivisie, Wout Weghorst has had 2+ shots in 9 straight league games for FC Twente, and Oscar Gloukh and Abdellah Ouazane have each had a shot in all 11 of Ajax's league games. Tolu Arokodare has 2+ shots in 6 straight.
Predicted lineups for FC Twente vs Ajax in the 2026/27 Eredivisie on Sunday 8 November 2026: FC Twente may start Drommel; van Rooij, Pröpper, Nijstad, Adelgaard; Zerrouki, van den Belt; Rots, Taha, Ørjasæter; Weghorst. Ajax may start ter Stegen; Rosa, Bouwman, Janse, Wijndal; Baas, Mokio; Gloukh, Klaassen, Ouazane; Arokodare.