Updated 6 November 2026.
FC Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen meet at Stadion Galgenwaard on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 7pm UK, in an Eredivisie game between two sides separated by a single place and a single point. Utrecht sit 12th on 12 points, NEC 13th on 11. Utrecht have conceded 31 goals in 11 games, and both teams have scored in 91% of their matches.
NEC played in the Europa League on Thursday, beating Omonia 3-1, before travelling to Utrecht.
Utrecht lost 4-2 at Telstar on 1 November, after a 1-1 home draw with PEC Zwolle. Before that came two wins, 2-1 at FC Twente and 3-1 against Willem II, and a 5-0 defeat at Feyenoord in September. Their record this season is three wins, three draws and five defeats, with 19 scored and 31 conceded.
Utrecht concede 2.82 goals a game, the 2nd most in the division, and 91% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in the league. They also lead the league in fouls, at 16.18 a game, and in cards, at 2.09.
NEC have drawn five of their 11 league games, with two wins and four defeats. Their last five games in all competitions were a 3-1 Europa League win over Omonia on Thursday, a 1-0 loss at Heerenveen, a 2-2 draw with FC Groningen, a 4-2 win at Dinamo Zagreb and a 2-2 draw with Fortuna. They have scored 17 and conceded 19, and they win 6.36 corners a game, the 4th most in the league.
Neither club has kept a clean sheet in the league this season, and both teams have scored in 82% of NEC's games, the 4th highest rate in the division.
FC Utrecht possible starting lineup:
Padt; Horemans, Didden, Panagiotou, Zagré; van Overeem, Vesterlund, Agougil; Cathline, Broholm, de Wit
NEC Nijmegen possible starting lineup:
Crettaz; Storm, Schuurs, Kaplan, Nejašmić; Kers, Monteiro, Lebreton; Chery, Bischoff, Linssen
Tjaronn Chery has had a shot in nine straight league games for NEC, averaging 3.1 a game, and a shot on target in five straight games. He is 1.44 at Ladbrokes to make it six on target.
Yoann Cathline has had two or more shots in five consecutive games for Utrecht, averaging 3.6 a game, and is 1.13 at bet365 to make it six. D. de Wit has had a shot in seven straight games at 2.1 a game and is 1.07 at bet365 to extend it.
T. Storm has made at least one tackle in ten straight games, averaging 2.2 a game. For Utrecht, Joris van Overeem has made a tackle in five straight games, averaging 2.6, and committed a foul in five straight, averaging 2.4.
Our model leans slightly towards Utrecht at home, giving them a 42% chance of the win, with the draw at 25% and NEC at 33%. Utrecht are 2.45 at bet365, the draw is 3.80 and NEC are 2.63. Both teams to score is 1.44 and over 2.5 goals is 1.50.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Utrecht win | 2.45 (bet365) | 42% |
| Draw | 3.80 (bet365) | 25% |
| NEC Nijmegen win | 2.63 (bet365) | 33% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 (bet365) | 85% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we make Utrecht slightly more likely to win overall, at 42% against 33% for NEC. 2-1 to Utrecht is next at 9%, with 1-2 at 8%. We project 1.77 goals for Utrecht and 1.55 for NEC.
Our prediction: FC Utrecht 1-1 NEC Nijmegen.
FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen kicks off at 7pm UK time on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Stadion Galgenwaard, in the 2026/27 Eredivisie regular season. It is a league game between the 12th and 13th placed sides, with Utrecht on 12 points and NEC on 11.
Our prediction for FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen in the 2026/27 Eredivisie is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%. We make Utrecht slightly more likely to win at 42%, with NEC at 33% and the draw at 25%.
FC Utrecht are narrow favourites at 2.45 with bet365, a 42% chance in our model, for the 2026/27 Eredivisie game against NEC Nijmegen on 8 November 2026. NEC Nijmegen are 2.63 and the draw is 3.80.
Our model gives both teams to score a 66% chance in FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen in the 2026/27 Eredivisie, with the bet365 price at 1.44. Both teams have scored in 91% of Utrecht's games this season and 82% of NEC's.
Our model projects 3.32 goals in FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen in the 2026/27 Eredivisie, with over 2.5 landing 64% of the time. Utrecht are projected to score 1.77 and NEC 1.55, and over 2.5 is 1.50 at bet365.
Ahead of FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen in the 2026/27 Eredivisie, Tjaronn Chery has had at least one shot in 9 straight league games for NEC Nijmegen, averaging 3.1 per game. He has also had a shot on target in 5 straight games.
Ahead of FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen on Sunday 8 November, FC Utrecht are 12th on 12 points from 11 games in the 2026/27 Eredivisie, one point ahead of 13th-placed NEC Nijmegen on 11. Utrecht have conceded 31 goals, NEC 19.