Updated 5 November 2026.
Cagliari welcome Frosinone to the Sardegna Arena on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 14:00 UK. Cagliari have lost their last four league games, while Frosinone have scored 24 times in ten matches, the 3rd most in Serie A. Cagliari sit 12th on 13 points, Frosinone 6th on 20, and the visitors are the slight favourites with both the bookmakers and us.
Three league wins in a row were followed by a draw and then four straight defeats. They went down 2-1 at Lazio on 1 November, lost 4-2 at Roma five days earlier, and before that were beaten 2-0 at home by Bologna and 4-0 at Monza. Their last point came in a 1-1 draw with Juventus on 11 October.
Cagliari have scored 9 goals in 10 games, the 3rd fewest in the league, and they manage 4 shots on target a game, the 6th fewest. They keep clean sheets in 30% of matches, the 4th highest rate, and they commit 12.4 fouls a game, the 4th most.
Frosinone have won six of their ten and lost only twice. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 win over Torino, following a 5-1 win over Lecce and a 4-4 draw at Atalanta. They average 6.6 shots on target, the 2nd most in the division, and 6.4 corners, the 3rd most. They also commit the most fouls in Serie A, 14.7 a game.
Frosinone are 6th in the Serie A table, seven points ahead of 12th-placed Cagliari.
Cagliari possible starting lineup:
Caprile; Zé Pedro, Mina, RodrÃguez, Aurelio; Adopo, Romano, Winks; Deiola, Maldini, Mendy
Frosinone possible starting lineup:
Palmisani; Oyono, Monterisi, Bracaglia, Calvani; Masini, Calò, Kvernadze; Schmid, Ghedjemis, Bîrligea
Farès Ghedjemis has had 3 or more shots in four straight games, averaging 4.8 a game over the run. He is 1.67 at Ladbrokes to keep it going.
Giacomo Calò has taken 2 or more shots in seven straight games, averaging 3.4, and has had a shot on target in four straight. The 2+ shots line is 1.70 at Ladbrokes.
Daniel Bîrligea has put 2 shots on target in each of his last five games and is 1.36 at bet365 for another.
For Cagliari, Paul Mendy has committed a foul in all ten of Cagliari's league games this season, 1.9 a game, and Juan RodrÃguez has made a tackle in all ten and a foul in five straight, averaging 2.4. RodrÃguez is 1.50 at bet365 for a foul.
We back Frosinone, who are 2.50 at bet365 to win, with Cagliari 2.75 at bet365 and the draw 3.75 at Midnite. We give Frosinone a 40% chance, Cagliari 36% and the draw 24%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari win | 2.75 (bet365) | 36% |
| Draw | 3.75 (Midnite) | 24% |
| Frosinone win | 2.50 (bet365) | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (Midnite) | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 (bet365) | 66% |
We predict 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 10%, though we make Frosinone slightly more likely to win overall. We project 1.66 goals for Cagliari and 1.74 for Frosinone, which puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. We give Cagliari an 18% chance of a clean sheet and Frosinone 19%.
Our bet builder takes Bîrligea and Ghedjemis to each have a shot on target, Calò 2+ shots and RodrÃguez to commit a foul. Bîrligea has had a shot on target in each of his last five, Calò has had 2 or more shots in each of his last five and RodrÃguez has committed a foul in each of his last five, while Ghedjemis has had a shot on target in four of his last five.
Cagliari vs Frosinone in the 2026/27 Serie A kicks off at 14:00 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at the Sardegna Arena. Cagliari are 12th on 13 points and Frosinone 6th on 20, after 10 league games each.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Cagliari vs Frosinone in the 2026/27 Serie A, the single likeliest scoreline at 10%. Overall we make Frosinone slightly more likely to win at 40%, against 36% for Cagliari and 24% for a draw.
Frosinone are slight favourites for Cagliari vs Frosinone in the 2026/27 Serie A, priced at 2.50 at bet365 against 2.75 for Cagliari. We give Frosinone a 40% chance of winning, ahead of Cagliari on 36%.
We rate both teams to score at 67% in Cagliari vs Frosinone in the 2026/27 Serie A, with 1.66 goals projected for Cagliari and 1.74 for Frosinone. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and the best price on both teams to score is 1.50 at Midnite.
Ahead of Cagliari vs Frosinone in the 2026/27 Serie A, Daniel Bîrligea has had 2 shots on target in each of his last 5 games for Frosinone and is 1.36 at bet365 for one. Giacomo Calò has had 2 or more shots in 7 straight league games.
Cagliari are 12th in the 2026/27 Serie A with 13 points from 10 games, while Frosinone are 6th with 20 points from 10. Frosinone have scored 24 goals to Cagliari's 9, and have lost only twice all season.
Predicted lineups for Cagliari vs Frosinone in the 2026/27 Serie A on Saturday 7 November 2026: Cagliari may start Caprile; Zé Pedro, Mina, RodrÃguez, Aurelio; Adopo, Romano, Winks; Deiola, Maldini, Mendy. Frosinone may start Palmisani; Oyono, Monterisi, Bracaglia, Calvani; Masini, Calò, Kvernadze; Schmid, Ghedjemis, Bîrligea.