Updated 11 November 2026.
Netherlands and Greece meet at the Johan Cruijff Arena on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UK. Both sides are unbeaten after four games and level on 8 points, and they already met on 1 October in a 2-2 draw in Greece. Netherlands are 1st in their group in the League A standings, with Greece 2nd.
Netherlands have won two and drawn two, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They opened with a 1-1 draw with Germany, won 2-1 in Serbia, drew 2-2 in Greece and then beat Serbia 2-1 at home on 4 October. Both of their wins were by a single goal. They average 7.5 shots on target a game, the 2nd most in the competition, and 7.5 corners, the most. Every one of their four games has seen both teams score, and the back line has yet to keep a clean sheet.
Greece are the tighter outfit. They have conceded just 3 in four, and half of their games have ended without the opposition scoring, the 8th highest clean-sheet rate in the competition. They beat Serbia 2-1 away, won 1-0 in Germany, drew with the Dutch and then held Germany to a 0-0 draw at home on 4 October. They average 4 shots on target a game, the 25th fewest, and commit the 2nd fewest fouls in the competition at 8 a game.
Netherlands possible starting lineup:
Verbruggen; Dumfries, Van Hecke, Van de Ven, J. Timber; Q. Timber, Veerman, Reijnders; Summerville, Malen, Gakpo
Greece possible starting lineup:
Tzolakis; Retsos, Mavropanos, Koulierakis, Tsimikas; Kourbelis, Karetsas, Kyziridis; Masouras, Pavlidis, Ioannidis
Tijjani Reijnders has had a shot in each of the four games, averaging 3.3 a match, and he has put one on target in each of the last three. He has had at least two shots in each of his last five Netherlands games, and a 2+ shots bet on him is 1.36 at bet365.
Denzel Dumfries has made two or more tackles in four straight games, averaging 2.5. He is 1.36 at bet365 to make 2+ tackles.
Donyell Malen has a shot on target in each of his last five, 10 in total, and is 1.33 at Ladbrokes to get another.
For Greece, centre-back Konstantinos Mavropanos has had a shot in four in a row at 1.8 a game, and is 1.75 at Ladbrokes to make it five. Vangelis Pavlidis has had a shot on target in each of his last five and is 1.73 at Ladbrokes to do it again.
We back Netherlands, who are 1.53 at Ladbrokes to win, and our model gives them a 63% chance. Greece are 6.00 at bet365 and we put them at 16%, with the draw at 4.50 and 21%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands win | 1.53 (Ladbrokes) | 63% |
| Draw | 4.50 (bet365) | 21% |
| Greece win | 6.00 (bet365) | 16% |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 (Coral) | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 (bet365) | 55% |
We predict a 1-0 Netherlands win, the single likeliest scoreline at 11%, with 2-0 almost level with it. A 1-1 draw is in play too, at 10%. Our projection has the Dutch on 1.99 goals and Greece on 0.88, and a clean sheet for Netherlands is a 41% chance, even with their record of conceding in every game so far.
Netherlands vs Greece kicks off at 19:45 UK on Friday 13 November 2026 at the Johan Cruijff Arena, in League A of the UEFA Nations League 2026/27. Both sides are unbeaten and level on 8 points.
We predict a 1-0 Netherlands win in this UEFA Nations League 2026/27 League A match, with 1-0 the likeliest scoreline at 11%. A 1-1 draw is also in play at 10%, and our model gives Netherlands a 63% chance to win.
Netherlands are the favourites for this UEFA Nations League 2026/27 game, 1.53 at Ladbrokes to win, and our model gives them a 63% chance. Greece are 6.00 at bet365 and we put their chance at 16%.
We give both teams to score a 51% chance in Netherlands vs Greece in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27, and Coral price it at 1.73. Netherlands have seen both sides score in all 4 of their Nations League games, while Greece have kept clean sheets in 2 of 4.
Netherlands are 1st and Greece 2nd in their League A group in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27, both on 8 points from 4 games. Each has won 2 and drawn 2, with Netherlands scoring 7 and conceding 5 and Greece scoring 5 and conceding 3.
Tijjani Reijnders has had a shot in 4 straight Netherlands games in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27, averaging 3.3 a game, and has put one on target in the last 3. Denzel Dumfries has made 2+ tackles in each of the last 4.
Predicted lineups for Netherlands vs Greece in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Friday 13 November 2026: Netherlands may start Verbruggen; Dumfries, Van Hecke, Van de Ven, J. Timber; Q. Timber, Veerman, Reijnders; Summerville, Malen, Gakpo. Greece may start Tzolakis; Retsos, Mavropanos, Koulierakis, Tsimikas; Kourbelis, Karetsas, Kyziridis; Masouras, Pavlidis, Ioannidis.