Updated 11 November 2026.
Serbia host Germany at Stadion Rajko Mitić on Friday 13 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, in a League A game that finds the home side without a point from four matches. Germany arrive with five from four and have conceded only twice, while Serbia have scored three in four games.
Serbia are 4th in their League A group in the UEFA Nations League standings, on zero points, with three goals scored and eight conceded. All four games have been defeats: 1-2 against Greece, 1-2 against the Netherlands, 0-2 away to Germany and a 2-1 defeat away to the Netherlands last time out. Before that came a 5-1 loss to Mexico in a friendly, and Serbia have lost each of their last six games overall.
Serbia have gone both teams to score in 75% of their matches, the 7th highest in the competition, and 75% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 6th highest. They concede two a game, the 9th most. Their shots on target average of 3.75 is the 20th fewest.
Germany are 3rd in the group on five points from one win, two draws and a defeat. They drew 1-1 with the Netherlands, lost 1-0 at home to Greece, beat Serbia 2-0 on 1 October and drew 0-0 away to Greece last time out. Their goals against average of 0.5 a game is the 6th fewest, and they have kept a clean sheet in half their matches, the 8th highest rate. At the other end they average 0.75 goals a game, the 23rd fewest, though they average 4.75 shots on target a game, the 18th most, and win 6 corners a game, the 8th most.
Serbia possible starting lineup:
Rosic; Simic, Babic, Erakovic, Milenković; Dragojevic, Cvetkovic; Zivkovic, Samardžić, Kostić; Jović
Germany possible starting lineup:
ter Stegen; Treu, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown; Kimmich, Pavlovic, Bischof; Wirtz, Scherhant; Havertz
Florian Wirtz has had a shot in three straight games, averaging three a match, and is 1.02 at bet365 to make it four. Joshua Kimmich has had at least one shot in each of his last five games and is 1.22 at Ladbrokes, while left-back Nathaniel Brown has done the same in all five and is 1.40 at bet365.
On the Serbia side, Filip Kostić has made a tackle in four straight games, averaging 2.3, and is 1.11 at bet365.
We back Germany to win at 1.29 with bet365, and our model agrees, making them 67% to win. A Serbia win is 9.00 at midnite and the draw 6.25 at bet365, with the model giving those 14% and 19%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Serbia win | 9.00 (midnite) | 14% |
| Draw | 6.25 (bet365) | 19% |
| Germany win | 1.29 (bet365) | 67% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (ladbrokes) | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 (bet365) | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 (bet365) | 62% |
We predict a 0-2 Germany win, with a 1-2 scoreline just behind it. We project Germany for 2.26 goals and Serbia for 0.94, and Germany for 6.38 shots on target to Serbia's 2.86. Both teams to score is 1.75 with Ladbrokes and we make it 55%. On the tackle market, Srdjan Babic has made at least one tackle in four of his last five games and is 1.20 at bet365, and Strahinja Erakovic has done the same and is 1.25.
Serbia vs Germany in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27 kicks off at 19:45 UK on Friday 13 November 2026. The League A game is played at Stadion Rajko Mitić, with Serbia at home on 0 points from four games and Germany on 5.
We predict a 0-2 win for Germany over Serbia in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27, and we give Germany a 67% chance of winning, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Serbia. A 1-2 scoreline is the next most likely, at around 10%.
Germany are the favourites at 1.29 with bet365 to win the UEFA Nations League 2026/27 game at Stadion Rajko Mitić on 13 November 2026. Serbia are 9.00 with midnite, and the draw is 6.25 at bet365.
We make both teams to score 55% likely in Serbia vs Germany, a UEFA Nations League 2026/27 game. Ladbrokes offer 1.75, and Serbia have gone both teams to score in three of their four Nations League games.
Germany are 3rd and Serbia 4th in their League A group in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27. Germany have 5 points from four games, while Serbia have 0 points and have lost all four matches, scoring 3 goals and conceding 8.
Predicted lineups for Serbia vs Germany in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Friday 13 November 2026: Serbia may start Rosic; Simic, Babic, Erakovic, Milenković; Dragojevic, Cvetkovic; Zivkovic, Samardžić, Kostić; Jović. Germany may start ter Stegen; Treu, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown; Kimmich, Pavlovic, Bischof; Wirtz, Scherhant; Havertz.