Updated 6 November 2026.
Instituto welcome Newell's Old Boys to the Estadio Nuevo Monumental in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol Clausura on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 01:00 UK. The hosts are unbeaten in five and sit 9th in their zone on 21 points, while Newell's have drawn their last two and are 14th in theirs on 15, after 16 games each.
Instituto score 1.32 goals per game, the 7th most in the league, while Newell's score 0.94, the 8th fewest.
Instituto are 9th in their zone of the Clausura table on 21 points from 16, with six wins, three draws and seven defeats. They are unbeaten in five, with three wins and two draws. They won 4-1 at Independiente on 2 October, drew 2-2 at home to Boca Juniors a week later, then won 1-0 at Defensa y Justicia and 1-0 at home to Deportivo Riestra. Their latest outing was a 3-3 draw at Estudiantes. Per game they average 5.39 corners, the 5th most in the league, and their 4.39 shots on target rank 11th most.
Newell's Old Boys are 14th in their zone on 15 points, with three wins, six draws and seven defeats. Four of their last five have been draws or a single-goal defeat. They drew 0-0 at home to Lanús, lost 1-0 at Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, beat Central Córdoba 2-1, drew 0-0 at San Lorenzo and then drew 1-1 with Unión Santa Fe at home. Their 3.39 shots on target per game are the 4th fewest in the competition, and only 32% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 7th lowest rate.
Both sides foul often. Instituto's 12.23 fouls per game are the 10th most in the league, and Newell's 12.61 are the 6th most.
Instituto possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Alarcón, Sosa, Massaccesi, Galván; Cerato, Abregú, Gallardo; Luna, Suárez, Córdoba
Newell's Old Boys possible starting lineup:
Reinatti; Ortega, Goitea, Carrizo, Russo; Regiardo, Guch, Gómez; Mazzantti, Cóccaro, Solari
MatÃas Gallardo has made a tackle in 13 straight games, averaging 4.2 a game across the run, and has committed a foul in eight in a row. He is 1.13 at Midnite to give away a foul again.
Facundo Suárez has had a shot in four straight games, averaging 1.5 across the run.
Walter Mazzantti has committed a foul in 10 straight games (1.22 at Midnite), made a tackle in eight and had a shot in five, which is 1.35 with Ladbrokes.
Lucas Carrizo has committed two or more fouls in three straight games, and that is 2.90 at Midnite.
We back Instituto, who are 1.95 at Ladbrokes to win. Our model gives them a 54% chance, with the draw at 28% and a Newell's win at 18%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Instituto win | 1.95 (Ladbrokes) | 54% |
| Draw | 3.25 (Ladbrokes) | 28% |
| Newell's Old Boys win | 4.75 (BoyleSports) | 18% |
| Both teams to score | 2.25 (Midnite) | 39% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.50 (bet365) | 36% |
We predict a 1-0 win for Instituto, the likeliest single scoreline at 16%. A 1-1 draw is in play at 12.5% and 0-0 is close behind at 12%. The model projects 1.44 goals for Instituto and 0.71 for Newell's, and Instituto keep a clean sheet in 49% of our simulations.
Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys in the 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol Clausura kicks off at 01:00 UK time on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the Estadio Nuevo Monumental, with Instituto 9th on 21 points and Newell's Old Boys 14th on 15 points in their zones after 16 games each.
We predict a 1-0 win for Instituto over Newell's Old Boys in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, the likeliest scoreline at 16%. A 1-1 draw is in play at 12.5%, and we make Instituto 54% to win, the draw 28% and Newell's Old Boys 18%.
Instituto are favourites, with our model giving them a 54% chance of beating Newell's Old Boys in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura. The best price on a home win is 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
Our model gives both teams to score a 39% chance in Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 36%, and over 1.5 at 64%.
Instituto are 9th in their zone on 21 points from 16 games in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, with six wins, three draws and seven defeats. Newell's Old Boys are 14th in theirs on 15 points from 16, with three wins, six draws and seven defeats.
Walter Mazzantti has committed a foul in 10 straight Liga Profesional games for Newell's Old Boys in 2026, averaging 1.7 a game across the run. He is 1.22 at Midnite to foul again against Instituto in the Clausura.
Predicted lineups for Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys in the 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol on Sunday 8 November 2026: Instituto may start Ledesma; Alarcón, Sosa, Massaccesi, Galván; Cerato, Abregú, Gallardo; Luna, Suárez, Córdoba. Newell's Old Boys may start Reinatti; Ortega, Goitea, Carrizo, Russo; Regiardo, Guch, Gómez; Mazzantti, Cóccaro, Solari.