Updated 5 November 2026.
Boca Juniors welcome Defensa y Justicia to Estadio Alberto José Armando on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 20:30 UK, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol Clausura. Boca have kept a clean sheet in 47% of their games, the highest rate in the league. Defensa arrive with striker Juan Gutiérrez, who has had a shot in 22 straight games.
We give Boca a 64% chance of winning, Defensa 14% and the draw 22%.
Boca are 2nd in their zone of the Clausura on 30 points from 16 games, with 8 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats. They score 1.47 a game, the 2nd most in the league, and concede 0.81, the 2nd fewest.
Boca have won their last four games in all competitions. The latest was a 1-0 home win over River Plate on 1 November, which followed a 1-0 win at Independiente. Before that came a 3-1 win at Vasco in the Copa Sudamericana and a 2-1 home win over Talleres Córdoba. They also commit the fewest fouls in the league, at 10.09 a game.
Defensa are 10th in their zone on 19 points from 16, with 4 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats. They score 1.26 a game, the 9th most, and concede 1.13, the 15th fewest. Both teams have scored in 55% of their games, the 7th highest rate in the league.
Defensa drew 1-1 at home to Independiente on 2 November, after a 2-1 win at Talleres Córdoba and a 1-0 home defeat to Instituto. Before that they won 2-0 at Unión Santa Fe and 3-0 at home to San Lorenzo. They collect the fewest cards in the league, 2.06 a game.
Boca Juniors possible starting lineup:
Montero; Di Lollo, Blanco, Paredes, Merentiel; Lozano, Delgado, Flores; Villa, AscacÃbar, Herrera
Defensa y Justicia possible starting lineup:
Borgogno; Pérez, L. Fernández, Sosa, Barbona; MartÃnez, Gutiérrez, Lucco; Pucheta Loza, D. Fernández, DomÃnguez
Juan Gutiérrez has had at least one shot in 22 straight games for Defensa, averaging 2.5 a game, and is 1.18 at bet365 to keep the run going. He has also hit the target in four in a row and is 2.10 at bet365 to make it five.
Leandro Fernández has had three or more shots in seven straight games, averaging 4.6 a game. He's 2.38 at bet365 for another three-shot game, and 1.83 at bet365 to find the target again after four in a row.
For Boca, Miguel Merentiel has had two or more shots in six straight games and a shot on target in four in a row. The target market is 1.25 at bet365, and the two-shot line is 1.14.
JeremÃas Lucco has committed a foul in seven straight games for Defensa, averaging 2.6 a game, and is 1.11 at midnite to foul again.
We back Boca Juniors, who are 1.40 with Ladbrokes. The bookmakers also have them as clear favourites, with the draw 4.80 at Coral and Defensa y Justicia 9.00 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors win | 1.40 (Ladbrokes) | 64% |
| Draw | 4.80 (Coral) | 22% |
| Defensa y Justicia win | 9.00 (bet365) | 14% |
| Both teams to score | 2.10 (Ladbrokes) | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 (bet365) | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 49% |
We predict Boca Juniors 1-0 Defensa y Justicia. We project 1.89 goals for the hosts and 0.75 for the visitors, and give Boca a 47% chance of a clean sheet. A 2-0 is almost as likely as the 1-0, at 12.8% to 13.0%, and 1-1 follows at 10.6%, so a draw is in play, though we make Boca the likelier winners by a distance.
Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia kicks off at 20:30 UK time on Saturday 7 November at Estadio Alberto José Armando, in the 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol Clausura. Boca have 30 points from 16 games and Defensa y Justicia 19.
We predict a 1-0 Boca Juniors win over Defensa y Justicia in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, the likeliest single score at 13.0% in our model. A 2-0 home win (12.8%) and a 1-1 draw (10.6%) are the next most likely scores.
Boca Juniors are favourites against Defensa y Justicia in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, with our model giving them a 64% chance of winning. Ladbrokes make them 1.40, with the draw 4.80 at Coral and Defensa y Justicia 9.00 at bet365.
We give both teams to score a 45% chance in this 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura game between Boca Juniors and Defensa y Justicia, with Ladbrokes offering 2.10. Boca Juniors keep a clean sheet in 47% of their games, the highest rate in the division.
Juan Gutiérrez has had at least one shot in 22 straight Liga Profesional games for Defensa y Justicia, averaging 2.5 shots a game, ahead of their 2026 Clausura match at Boca Juniors. He is 1.18 at bet365 to extend the run.
In the zone standings of the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, Boca Juniors are 2nd on 30 points from 16 games and Defensa y Justicia 10th on 19. Boca have won eight and lost two, Defensa have won four and lost five.
Predicted lineups for Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia in the 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol on Saturday 7 November 2026: Boca Juniors may start Montero; Di Lollo, Blanco, Paredes, Merentiel; Lozano, Delgado, Flores; Villa, AscacÃbar, Herrera. Defensa y Justicia may start Borgogno; Pérez, L. Fernández, Sosa, Barbona; MartÃnez, Gutiérrez, Lucco; Pucheta Loza, D. Fernández, DomÃnguez.