Updated 5 November 2026.
Tigre host Sarmiento at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol Clausura, with kick-off at 1am UK on Saturday 7 November. Tigre have drawn eight of their 16 games, while Sarmiento have won six and lost nine.
We give Tigre a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sarmiento 21%.
Tigre are 10th in their zone of the Clausura standings on 20 points from 16 games (four wins, eight draws, four defeats). They won 2-0 away at Huracán on 30 October after losing four of the five games before it.
That win at Huracán came six days after a 0-1 home loss to Atlético Tucumán. Before that they drew 2-2 away at Independiente Rivadavia and lost 1-2 at home to Banfield. Tigre concede 1.00 goals a game, the 14th fewest in the competition, and keep a clean sheet in 29% of matches.
Sarmiento are 11th in their zone on 19 points from 16 games (six wins, one draw, nine defeats). They concede 1.39 a game, the 5th most in the competition, and both teams have scored in 55% of their matches, the 7th highest rate. They have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five. They lost 1-2 to Rosario Central on 31 October and 0-2 at Gimnasia La Plata on 23 October. Before those they drew 1-1 with Barracas Central and 1-1 with River Plate, and won 3-1 at Aldosivi on 9 October.
Sarmiento average 3.65 shots on target a game, the 8th fewest, and 3.61 corners, the 3rd fewest. They commit 13.13 fouls a game, the 4th most, and pick up 3.23 cards, the 2nd most. Tigre commit 11.13 fouls a game, the 7th fewest, and pick up 2.19 cards, the 3rd fewest.
Tigre possible starting lineup:
Zenobio; Moreno, Requena, Barrionuevo, Álvarez; Leyes, Garay, González; López, Martínez, Dómina
Sarmiento possible starting lineup:
Ayala; Insaurralde, Suárez Scalarea, Giménez, Santamaría; García, Zabala, Giménez; Marabel, Contrera, Mavilla
Jerónimo Dómina has had a shot in six straight games for Tigre, averaging 3 a game across the run, and bet365 have him at 1.04 for a shot.
Santiago López has a shot in five straight games, priced at 1.2 with bet365. He has also made at least one tackle in 13 straight games, averaging 2.8 a game across the run.
Cristian Zabala has committed a foul in four straight games for Sarmiento, which midnite price at 1.25. He also has a tackle in eight straight, averaging 3.6 a game across the run.
Lucas Matías Suárez Scalarea has made a tackle in 14 straight games for Sarmiento, averaging 2.7 a game across the run. Julián Contrera has committed a foul in four straight, which midnite price at 1.06.
We back Tigre to win, and Ladbrokes have them at 2.05. Our model projects 1.59 goals for Tigre against 0.89 for Sarmiento, and 16.8 shots to 10.1.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Tigre win | 2.05 (Ladbrokes) | 53% |
| Draw | 3.20 (bet365) | 26% |
| Sarmiento win | 4.20 (bet365) | 21% |
| Both teams to score | 2.10 (bet365) | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 (bet365) | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.40 (bet365) | 45% |
Our predicted score is a 1-0 win for Tigre, at 13%. A 1-1 draw is almost as likely at 12%, and a 2-0 home win comes next at 11%. We give Tigre a 41% chance of a clean sheet. Prediction: Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento.
For goals, we have over 1.5 at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.
Tigre vs Sarmiento in the 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol Clausura kicks off at 1am UK on Saturday 7 November 2026. The match is played at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna. Tigre are 10th in their zone on 20 points from 16 games, and Sarmiento are 11th in theirs on 19 points.
We predict Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, a scoreline with a 13% chance. A 1-1 draw is close behind at 12%, and we give Tigre a 53% chance of winning overall.
Tigre are favourites in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura match against Sarmiento, with our model giving them a 53% chance of winning against 26% for the draw and 21% for Sarmiento. Ladbrokes have Tigre at 2.05.
We rate both teams to score at 48% in Tigre vs Sarmiento in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, with bet365 offering 2.10. Sarmiento's games have seen both sides score 55% of the time, the 7th highest rate in the competition.
Ahead of Tigre vs Sarmiento in the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, Jerónimo Dómina has had a shot in six straight games for Tigre, averaging 3 a game across the run. Santiago López has a shot in five straight and a tackle in 13 straight.
In the 2026 Liga Profesional Clausura, Tigre are 10th in their zone on 20 points from 16 games, with four wins, eight draws and four defeats. Sarmiento are 11th in theirs on 19 points, with six wins, one draw and nine defeats.
Predicted lineups for Tigre vs Sarmiento in the 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol on Saturday 7 November 2026: Tigre may start Zenobio; Moreno, Requena, Barrionuevo, Álvarez; Leyes, Garay, González; López, Martínez, Dómina. Sarmiento may start Ayala; Insaurralde, Suárez Scalarea, Giménez, Santamaría; García, Zabala, Giménez; Marabel, Contrera, Mavilla.