Updated 6 November 2026.
Kalmar host Sirius at Guldfågeln Arena on Sunday 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UK time. Sirius sit top of the table on 58 points, 35 ahead of a Kalmar side on 23 who have lost 16 of their 27 games.
Sirius score 2.15 goals a game, the most in the league, while Kalmar average 0.85, the 3rd fewest. That gap is why we make Sirius the likelier winner, even though 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline.
Kalmar are 13th in a 16-team league with 6 wins, 5 draws and 16 defeats, and a goal difference of minus 19 (23 scored, 42 conceded). Their last five games brought a 0-0 draw at Mjällby, a 0-1 home loss to GAIS, a 0-3 home loss to Bromma, a 2-1 win at Degerfors and a 1-0 defeat at Malmö FF. They have scored in only one of those five. Their shots on target average of 3.96 is the 4th fewest in the division, and both teams score in just 37% of their games, the 2nd lowest rate.
Sirius are 1st in the Allsvenskan standings on 58 points from 27 games, with 18 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats and a goal difference of plus 24. Their last five games were a 2-0 win over Halmstad on Tuesday, a 2-0 loss at Hammarby, a 1-2 home defeat to AIK, a 2-2 draw with Elfsborg and a 1-0 win at GAIS. Two of their last three ended in defeat. They create plenty, with 5.44 shots on target a game, the 3rd most, and 6 corners a game, also the 3rd most. Two-thirds of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd highest rate in the league.
Kalmar possible starting lineup:
Brolin; Larsson, Löfgren, Sætra, Keita; Ylitolva, Gojani, Gustafsson; Paananen, Camara, Sagoe Jr
Sirius possible starting lineup:
Celic; Castegren, Anker, Sandberg, Krusnell; Lindberg, Heier, Persson; Svensson, Vancsa, Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo has had at least one shot in nine straight games for Sirius, averaging 3.4 across that run. Kalmar concede 1.56 goals a game, the 8th most in the league.
Oscar Krusnell has made at least one tackle in 13 consecutive games, averaging 3.2 across the run. His team-mate Marcus Lindberg has made a tackle in five straight games, averaging 4 across that run.
For Kalmar, Victor Larsson has committed a foul in 14 straight games at 2.1 a match, and has made a tackle in five straight. C. Gustafsson has a tackle in seven in a row, averaging 2.7.
We back Sirius, who are 2.25 at bet365, with our model giving them a 48% chance of winning against 26% for Kalmar and 26% for the draw.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalmar win | 2.90 (midnite) | 26% |
| Draw | 3.60 (bet365) | 26% |
| Sirius win | 2.25 (bet365) | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 (midnite) | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 52% |
We project Sirius at 1.62 goals and Kalmar at 1.15, which makes 1-1 the likeliest single scoreline at 12%, though we make Sirius the more likely winner overall. The next likeliest scores are 0-1 and 1-2, at around 10% each. Our prediction is Kalmar 1-1 Sirius.
Our model gives Kalmar a 20% chance of a clean sheet and Sirius 32%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%.
Kalmar vs Sirius in the 2026 Allsvenskan kicks off at 15:30 UK time on Sunday 8 November at Guldfågeln Arena. Sirius arrive as league leaders on 58 points from 27 games, with Kalmar 13th of 16.
We predict Kalmar 1-1 Sirius in this 2026 Allsvenskan fixture, a scoreline the model gives a 12% chance. We still make Sirius the likelier winner at 48%, against 26% for Kalmar and 26% for a draw.
Sirius are favourites for the 8 November 2026 Allsvenskan game, priced at 2.25 at bet365 and given a 48% chance by our model. Kalmar are 2.90 at midnite and the draw is 3.60 at bet365.
We give both teams to score a 55% chance in this Allsvenskan fixture, with bet365 offering 1.67. Sirius average 2.15 goals a game, the most in the league, while Kalmar average 0.85 and have scored in only one of their last five.
Sirius lead the 2026 Allsvenskan on 58 points from 27 games, while Kalmar are 13th of 16 on 23 points. That is a 35-point gap, built on 18 wins for Sirius against 6 for Kalmar.
Isak Bjerkebo has had at least one shot in 9 straight Allsvenskan games for Sirius ahead of their 2026 trip to Kalmar, averaging 3.4 across the run. Oscar Krusnell has made a tackle in 13 consecutive games.
Predicted lineups for Kalmar vs Sirius in the 2026 Allsvenskan on Sunday 8 November 2026: Kalmar may start Brolin; Larsson, Löfgren, Sætra, Keita; Ylitolva, Gojani, Gustafsson; Paananen, Camara, Sagoe Jr. Sirius may start Celic; Castegren, Anker, Sandberg, Krusnell; Lindberg, Heier, Persson; Svensson, Vancsa, Bjerkebo.