Updated 30 October 2026.
Start are 16th of 16 in the Eliteserien and Lillestrøm are 6th, and the two meet at Sparebanken Sør Arena on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 16:00 UK. The gap between them is 20 points: Start have 19 from 24 games, Lillestrøm 39. Start have conceded 54 goals, Lillestrøm 33.
Lillestrøm lost 6-0 at home to Sociedad in the Europa League on Thursday 22 October and then beat Brann 3-2 on Sunday, while Start won 1-0 at home to Sandefjord on Sunday, their first win since 13 September. We make a Lillestrøm win the likeliest result at 41%, with Start on 36% and the draw on 23%.
Start concede 2.25 goals a game, the most in the division, and score only 1.08, the 3rd fewest. Their last five in the league began with a 2-0 win over Brann on 13 September, then a 3-0 loss at Sandefjord, a 4-2 home defeat to HamKam, a 6-1 hammering at Molde and finally a 1-0 home win over Sandefjord last Sunday. They won two of those five, both without conceding, and let in 13 goals across the three defeats.
Lillestrøm have been busier. Last Sunday they won 3-2 at home to Brann, three days after the 0-6 defeat to Sociedad in the Europa League. Before that came a 2-0 win at Sandefjord, a 1-1 draw at Sparta Praha in the Europa League and a 2-2 draw with Molde. That makes two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five games, and the defeat was the one in Europe.
At the back Lillestrøm are one of the league's tighter sides. They concede 1.38 a game, the 5th fewest, and have kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games, the 4th highest rate. Start have managed that in 13%. At the other end they have scored 35 goals in 24 league games, 1.46 a match.
Start average 12 fouls a game, the 6th most, while Lillestrøm give away 10.88, the 3rd fewest. We project 16.12 shots for Start and 14.16 for Lillestrøm, though Start put only 3.75 a game on target, the 3rd fewest.
Start possible starting lineup:
Sjøeng; Diallo Toure, Dahl Reitan, Granheim, Norheim; Lorentzen, Ugland, Dasjajev; Mvoué, Cornelius, Koutsakos
Lillestrøm possible starting lineup:
Dahlberg; Ranger, Gabrielsen, Kristiansen, Paintsil; Ibrahimaj, Ottosson, Nyheim; Vá, Bassi, Gulbrandsen
Felix Vá has made a tackle in 24 straight games, averaging 2.2 a match, and has also had a shot in nine in a row at two a game.
Lars Ranger has a tackle in 21 consecutive games, averaging 3.5 a game from right-back.
For Start, J. Cornelius has had a shot in 13 straight games and averages 3.3 a match. Behind him, John Norheim has made a tackle in 12 straight games, and M. Ugland has done it in eight straight at three a game.
Also for Lillestrøm, Fredrik Gulbrandsen has had a shot in nine straight games, and Gustav Nyheim has committed a foul in nine straight games at 2.9 a game.
We back Lillestrøm to win at 2.35 with bet365. Our model gives them a 41% chance against 36% for Start, with the draw at 23%. The bookmakers also make Lillestrøm favourites. Vá has had a shot in nine straight games, Cornelius in 13, and Ranger has made a tackle in 21 straight.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Start to win | 2.70 (bet365) | 36% |
| Draw | 3.75 (midnite) | 23% |
| Lillestrøm to win | 2.35 (bet365) | 41% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (bet365) | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 (bet365) | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 (bet365) | 67% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the most likely single scoreline at 10%, though we make Lillestrøm slightly more likely to win the game. 1-2 and 2-1 follow, and we expect 1.65 goals from Start and 1.78 from Lillestrøm, with both teams to score at 68%.
Start vs Lillestrøm in the 2026 Eliteserien kicks off at 4pm UK on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Sparebanken Sør Arena. Start are 16th of 16 with 19 points from 24 games, while Lillestrøm are 6th with 39 points, so the visitors arrive 20 points clear.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Start vs Lillestrøm in the 2026 Eliteserien on Sunday 1 November, the likeliest single scoreline at 10%, though we give Lillestrøm a 41% chance to win against 36% for Start. The draw is 23%, and we expect 1.65 goals from Start and 1.78 from Lillestrøm.
Lillestrøm are favourites against Start in the 2026 Eliteserien on Sunday 1 November, and we give them a 41% chance of winning. Start are 36% and the draw is 23%, while Lillestrøm have conceded 33 league goals in 24 games to Start's 54.
We make both teams to score a 68% chance in Start vs Lillestrøm in the 2026 Eliteserien on 1 November 2026, with over 2.5 goals at 67%. Start concede 2.25 goals a game, the most in the division, while Lillestrøm have kept a clean sheet in 29% of their league games.
Ahead of Start vs Lillestrøm on Sunday 1 November, Start are 16th of 16 in the 2026 Eliteserien with 19 points from 24 games and Lillestrøm are 6th with 39. Start have scored 26 and conceded 54, while Lillestrøm have scored 35 and conceded 33.
Ahead of Start vs Lillestrøm in the 2026 Eliteserien on 1 November, Felix Vá has made a tackle in 24 straight games, averaging 2.2 a match, and had a shot in nine in a row. Lars Ranger has made a tackle in 21 straight games, averaging 3.5, and both are in the possible starting lineup.
For the 4pm UK kick-off on 1 November 2026, Start's possible starting lineup is Sjøeng; Diallo Toure, Dahl Reitan, Granheim, Norheim; Lorentzen, Ugland, Dasjajev; Mvoué, Cornelius, Koutsakos. Lillestrøm's possible starting lineup is Dahlberg; Ranger, Gabrielsen, Kristiansen, Paintsil; Ibrahimaj, Ottosson, Nyheim; Vá, Bassi, Gulbrandsen.