Updated 30 October 2026.
Vålerenga welcome Tromsø to Intility Arena on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 18:15 UK. The hosts sit 10th in the Eliteserien table on 29 points. Tromsø are 5th on 40, eleven clear of them, after 24 games each.
We project 1.6 goals for Vålerenga and 1.7 for Tromsø, and make the visitors slightly likelier to win, at 40% against 36% for the hosts and 24% for the draw.
Vålerenga have won their last two league games. They beat Brann 3-1 at home on 18 October, then won 1-0 away at Bodø / Glimt on 24 October. Before that came a 2-1 defeat at KFUM, a 1-1 draw with Fredrikstad and a 2-0 defeat at Lillestrøm on 12 September. Their season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 11 defeats, with 39 scored and 46 conceded.
Vålerenga have the 4th most shots on target in the league at 5.58 a game and the 3rd most corners at 6.79, and they average 1.63 goals a match, the 8th most. At the back they concede 1.92 a game, the 5th most in the division, and only 13% of their games have ended in a clean sheet.
Tromsø come in on the back of a 3-1 loss at Viking last Sunday. Before that they drew 1-1 with KFUM and 1-1 away at Fredrikstad, and beat HamKam 3-2 on 20 September. A 5-3 defeat at Rosenborg on 12 September completes their last five: one win, two draws and two defeats. They've won 11, drawn 7 and lost 6, scoring 43 and conceding 34.
Tromsø are hard to score against. They have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games, the 2nd highest rate in the league, and their 1.42 goals against a game is the 6th fewest. They score 1.79 a game, the 5th most. Only 50% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd lowest share in the division.
Vålerenga possible starting lineup:
Hedvall; Sjatil, Kiil Olsen; Zahid, Strand, Gjengaar, Ambina, Jarl, Haren; Grundetjern, Sæter
Tromsø possible starting lineup:
Haugaard; Skjærvik, Edvardsson, Olden Larsen, Jenssen, Åsen Larsen, Öyvann, Thongla-Iad Warneryd, Vådebu, Innvær, Bjørlo
M. Grundetjern has had at least one shot in 18 straight games, averaging 2.6 shots a match. His team-mate Lucas Haren is on 16 straight games with a shot at 3.0 a game.
On the Tromsø side, David Edvardsson has made at least one tackle in 15 straight games and averages 2.7 a match. Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd at right-back has had a shot in 10 straight games at 2.3 a game, a tackle in seven and a foul in six. Sander Innvær has made a tackle in eight straight games at 1.8 a game.
For Vålerenga, Fidel Brice Ambina has made a tackle in nine straight games at 2.9 a game, and Aaron Kiil Olsen has had a shot in five straight at 1.0 a game.
We back Tromsø to win at 2.63 with bet365. Vålerenga are 2.38 and the draw is 3.75 at the same book. We give Tromsø a 40% chance of winning, Vålerenga 36% and the draw 24%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Vålerenga win | 2.38 | 36% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24% |
| Tromsø win | 2.63 | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 64% |
Both teams to score is 1.44 at bet365 and we put it at 66%: Vålerenga concede 1.92 a game and we project 1.7 goals for Tromsø. Over 2.5 goals is 1.50 and we give it 64%, though only 50% of Tromsø's matches have gone over that line.
Our predicted score is 1-1, the likeliest single result at about 11%, though we make Tromsø slightly more likely to win, and a draw is in play. The 1-2 and 2-1 scorelines follow at 9% and 8%.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø in the 2026 Eliteserien kicks off at 6:15pm UK on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Intility Arena. Vålerenga are 10th with 29 points from 24 games, while Tromsø are 5th with 40 points, so the visitors are 11 points clear.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Vålerenga vs Tromsø in the 2026 Eliteserien on Sunday 1 November, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we give Tromsø a 40% chance of winning against 36% for Vålerenga. The draw is 24%, and 1-2 at 9% is the next likeliest score.
Bookmakers have Vålerenga as slight favourites, but we make Tromsø the likelier winner of Vålerenga vs Tromsø in the 2026 Eliteserien on 1 November, at 40% against 36% for Vålerenga and 24% for the draw. Tromsø are 5th on 40 points and Vålerenga 10th on 29.
We put both teams to score at 66% in Vålerenga vs Tromsø in the 2026 Eliteserien on 1 November 2026, and over 2.5 goals at 64%. Vålerenga concede 1.92 a game, the 5th most in the division, while Tromsø have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games.
Ahead of Vålerenga vs Tromsø on Sunday 1 November, Tromsø are 5th in the 2026 Eliteserien on 40 points from 24 games and Vålerenga are 10th on 29. Tromsø have won 11 and lost 6, scoring 43 and conceding 34, while Vålerenga have won 8 and lost 11, scoring 39 and conceding 46.
Ahead of Vålerenga vs Tromsø in the 2026 Eliteserien on 1 November, M. Grundetjern has had a shot in 18 straight games, averaging 2.6, and Lucas Haren has had a shot in 16 straight at 3.0. Fidel Brice Ambina has made a tackle in 9 straight, and all three are in the possible starting lineup.
For the 6:15pm UK kick-off on 1 November 2026, Vålerenga's possible starting lineup is Hedvall; Sjatil, Kiil Olsen; Zahid, Strand, Gjengaar, Ambina, Jarl, Haren; Grundetjern, Sæter. Tromsø's possible starting lineup is Haugaard; Skjærvik, Edvardsson, Olden Larsen, Jenssen, Åsen Larsen, Öyvann, Thongla-Iad Warneryd, Vådebu, Innvær, Bjørlo.