Updated 23 October 2026.
Atlanta United welcome Chicago Fire to Atlanta Stadium for a Major League Soccer game that kicks off at 00:30 UK on Sunday 25 October (23:30 UTC on Saturday). The two clubs sit a long way apart in the Eastern Conference: Chicago are 4th with 48 points, while Atlanta are 14th with 30 and have lost 16 of their 30 games.
Chicago bring the better numbers at both ends and a front line full of players on long shot runs. Atlanta bring Breel Embolo and Miguel Almirón, who have both been getting shots away in recent weeks.
Atlanta's season has been a struggle for goals. They have scored 37 and conceded 51 in 30 games, and per game they average 1.23 goals, which is the 3rd fewest in the league. They also sit at the 2nd fewest shots on target, with 4.07 a game. Their last five went: a 1-0 win away at Portland, a 2-2 draw with NYCFC, then a 3-1 home loss to Cincinnati, a 3-0 win at CF Montréal and a 3-1 home defeat by Inter Miami last time out.
Both wins came away from home, 1-0 at Portland and 3-0 at CF Montréal, while they lost 3-1 to Cincinnati and 3-1 to Inter Miami in Atlanta. Only 13% of their games have ended in a clean sheet, the 9th lowest rate in MLS.
Chicago are 4th in the Eastern Conference with 14 wins, 6 draws and 10 defeats, and a goal difference of +8 (52 for, 44 against). They average 1.73 goals a game, the 11th most, and they have kept a clean sheet in 23% of games, the 7th highest rate. Both teams have scored in 70% of their matches, the 7th highest, and 73% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 4th highest.
Their recent run is mixed. They won three in a row, 1-0 at Charlotte, then 3-1 against Vancouver and 2-1 against NYCFC, before a 3-1 home loss to Philadelphia and a 1-0 defeat at New England. They have lost their last two.
Atlanta United possible starting lineup:
Hoyos; Jacob, Alonso, DÃaz, Báez; Muyumba, Amaro, Galoppo; Almirón, Embolo, Miranchuk
Chicago Fire possible starting lineup:
Brady; Barroso, Mbokazi, Hanche-Olsen, Gutman; Salétros, D'Avilla; Haile-Selassie, Zinckernagel, Bamba; Lewandowski
Maren Haile-Selassie has had at least one shot in 11 straight games for Chicago and averages 2.7 a game. He has also had a shot on target in four of his last five, and he is 1.50 at bet365 for another.
Philip Zinckernagel has had two or more shots in seven in a row, averaging 4.3. He is 1.20 at bet365 to make it eight.
Robert Lewandowski has had a shot in nine straight games, averaging 2.1 a game over his 15 appearances.
Breel Embolo has had a shot in all eight of his appearances for Atlanta, averaging 2.3, and he is 1.05 at midnite for another.
Miguel Almirón has had three or more shots in five straight games, and a shot on target in each of those five. He is 1.48 at Ladbrokes for a shot on target and 1.62 at bet365 for three or more shots.
We make Chicago narrowly the likelier winner at 38%, against 36% for Atlanta and 26% for the draw. The best prices are 2.57 on Atlanta at bet365, 4.00 on the draw at bet365 and 2.38 on Chicago at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United win | 2.57 (bet365) | 36% |
| Draw | 4.00 (bet365) | 26% |
| Chicago Fire win | 2.38 (midnite) | 38% |
| Both teams to score | 1.40 (bet365) | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 (bet365) | 59% |
We put both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Our projection is 1.52 goals for Atlanta and 1.55 for Chicago, with 4.89 and 5.11 shots on target respectively.
1-1 is the likeliest score at 12%, so a draw is in play, though we make Chicago slightly more likely to win. Our prediction is Atlanta United 1-1 Chicago Fire.
The game is at Atlanta Stadium and kicks off at 00:30 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026 (23:30 UTC on Saturday 24 October).
Our prediction is Atlanta United 1-1 Chicago Fire. A draw is in play, though we make Chicago slightly more likely to win at 38%, against 36% for Atlanta.
The best price on Chicago Fire is 2.38 at midnite and the best on Atlanta United is 2.57 at bet365, with the draw at 4.00 at bet365. We also have Chicago narrowly ahead.
We put both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Chicago's games have seen both teams score 70% of the time this season.
Maren Haile-Selassie has had a shot in 11 straight games and Philip Zinckernagel has had 2+ shots in seven in a row. Robert Lewandowski has had a shot in nine straight.
Chicago Fire are 4th in the Eastern Conference on 48 points from 30 games. Atlanta United are 14th on 30 points from 30 games.
Atlanta: Hoyos; Jacob, Alonso, DÃaz, Báez; Muyumba, Amaro, Galoppo; Almirón, Embolo, Miranchuk. Chicago: Brady; Barroso, Mbokazi, Hanche-Olsen, Gutman; Salétros, D'Avilla; Haile-Selassie, Zinckernagel, Bamba; Lewandowski.