Updated 23 October 2026.
Orlando City host New York City at Spectrum Stadium in Major League Soccer, with kick-off at 00:30 UK time on Sunday 25 October. It is a late one for UK viewers, and it pits one of the leakiest defences in MLS against a side without a win in its last five. Orlando City concede 2.33 goals a game, the 3rd most in the league.
The hosts are 7th in the Eastern Conference on 41 points from 30 games, while New York City sit 12th on 34.
Orlando City come in on the back of a 4-1 win over DC United, which followed a wild 3-3 draw at Toronto and a 3-2 win against Columbus. Before that came two heavy defeats, 4-2 at Philadelphia and 4-2 at New England. Eight of their last ten have been wins or draws. They score freely, 1.93 a game, the 6th most in the league, and concede more than that. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 77% of their games, the 2nd highest rate in MLS, and both teams have scored in 70%. They also win very few corners, 4 a game, the fewest in the division.
New York City are a different kind of side. They have conceded just 1.37 a game, the 6th fewest, and score 1.43, the 11th fewest. Their last five have brought two draws and three defeats: a 1-1 draw with LAFC, a 2-0 loss at Inter Miami, a 2-1 defeat at Chicago Fire, a 2-2 draw at Atlanta and a 1-0 home loss to New York RB. They have drawn 10 of 30 this season, and only half their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 5th lowest rate in the league. They are also among the least booked sides, 1.7 cards a game, the 2nd fewest.
On shots-on-target, Orlando average 5.1 a game, the 9th most in MLS, against New York City's 4.6, the 11th fewest.
Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Crépeau; Taifi, Brekalo, Teodoro, Angulo; Otávio, Cartagena; Atuesta, Griezmann, Ojeda; Dike
New York City possible starting lineup:
Freese; Gray, Sands, Martins, O'Toole; O'Neill, Perea; Ojeda, Fernández Mercau, Wolf; Luighi
MartÃn Ojeda has had at least one shot on target in 14 straight games, averaging 1.8 a game. He is 1.25 at Ladbrokes to make it 15.
Antoine Griezmann has managed two or more shots in 14 straight games at 2.9 a game. He is 1.14 at Midnite for two or more again.
Iván Angulo has had a shot on target in eight straight games, a shot of any kind in eight straight, and a tackle in seven in a row. He is 2.15 at Coral to have a shot on target.
For the visitors, Nicolás Fernández Mercau has had two or more shots in eight straight games, averaging 3 a game, and is 1.18 at Midnite to extend it. Hannes Wolf has committed a foul in five straight at 1.6 a game and is 1.30 at Midnite to make it six.
We back Orlando City, at 2.25 with midnite, with a 42% chance of a home win. New York City are 2.85 at bet365 and the draw is 3.90 at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando City win | 2.25 (midnite) | 42% |
| Draw | 3.90 (midnite) | 25% |
| New York City win | 2.85 (bet365) | 33% |
| Both teams to score | 1.40 (bet365) | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 (bet365) | 65% |
Our prediction is Orlando City 1-1 New York City. That is the likeliest single score at 11%, though we make the hosts the more likely winner, and a draw is in play. Orlando City's goals projection is 1.78 against 1.58 for New York City, and 2-1 to the hosts is next most likely at 9%. Both teams to score comes out at 67%.
Kick-off at Spectrum Stadium is at 00:30 UK time on Sunday 25 October 2026.
Our prediction is Orlando City 1-1 New York City, although we make the hosts slightly more likely to win, at 42% against 33% for the visitors.
Orlando City are favourites at 2.25 with midnite, with New York City at 2.85 and the draw at 3.90.
We give both teams to score a 67% chance. Orlando City have seen both sides score in 70% of their games this season.
MartÃn Ojeda has had a shot on target in 14 straight games, and Antoine Griezmann has had two or more shots in 14 straight.
Both play in the Eastern Conference: Orlando City are 7th on 41 points and New York City are 12th on 34, both after 30 games.
Orlando City: Crépeau; Taifi, Brekalo, Teodoro, Angulo; Otávio, Cartagena; Atuesta, Griezmann, Ojeda; Dike. New York City: Freese; Gray, Sands, Martins, O'Toole; O'Neill, Perea; Ojeda, Fernández Mercau, Wolf; Luighi.