Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks Predictions – NBA Playoff Preview | May 12, 2026

The New York Knicks host the Philadelphia 76ers in a potential series-closing Game 4 on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, at Madison Square Garden. Tip-off is at 9:00 PM ET. The Knicks lead the Eastern Conference Semifinals series 3-0 and are one win away from sweeping Philadelphia. Follow all projections, odds and hit rates on the Statz game preview page.

Series Context

New York has controlled this series from the opening tip. The Knicks won Game 1 137-98 (+39), Game 2 108-102 (+6), and Game 3 108-94 (+14). Philadelphia has not won a single game and faces elimination. A sweep here would send the Knicks to the Eastern Conference Finals. The NBA playoff schedule has Philadelphia with their backs firmly against the wall in this Conference Semifinals matchup.

Odds and Market Lines

Odds for this game are not yet available via the platform, with lines expected to open as the game approaches. The Statz win probability model gives the New York Knicks a 66.6% chance to win and close out the series, with the 76ers at 33.4%. When odds do post, track them via the Statz preview. Use the Statz Bet Builder Tool to build your props parlay.

Team Stats and Form

The Knicks enter with a 55-31 season record (64.0% win rate), averaging 116.3 points and 45.8 rebounds per game. They shoot 47.7% from the field, 37.2% from three, and 79.1% from the line. New York’s 5-game form: five consecutive wins, including a +51 blowout of Atlanta and a +39 demolition of the Sixers in Game 1. This is as hot as it gets heading into a potential closeout game.

Philadelphia comes in at 47-38 (55.3% win rate), averaging 115.0 points per game. The Sixers shoot 46.1% from the field and 34.8% from three – both metrics below the Knicks. Philadelphia has lost all three games in this series, conceding 108+ in every game. Their 3-game form in the series: L (98-137), L (102-108), L (94-108). The pace differential – Sixers at 93 vs Knicks at 85.2 – gives PHI a slight advantage if they can push the tempo, but New York has neutralized that edge all series.

Player Projections

Jalen Brunson (NYK) is the series’ defining player and projects for 27.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, 6.1 assists, and 2.7 threes. Over the last 5 games in this series he has averaged 30 points and 6.8 assists – carrying the Knicks offensively in every game. OG Anunoby (NYK) projects for 18.6 points, 6.9 rebounds, 1.4 assists with 2.4 threes and 1.7 steals – coming off a L5 average of 22 points and 6.3 rebounds. Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK) projects for 17.4 points, 10.0 rebounds, 6.6 assists – a unique playmaking center with L5 averages of 14.6 points and 10.6 rebounds. Mikal Bridges (NYK) averaged 17.8 points and 3.2 rebounds over the last 5 games.

For Philadelphia, Joel Embiid projects for 24.4 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 4.8 assists. He remains the Sixers’ best hope of forcing a Game 5 but has been unable to carry the team against New York’s collective effort. Tyrese Maxey projects for 24.0 points, 4.3 rebounds, 5.7 assists with 2.5 threes – his shooting will determine how competitive Philadelphia can be. Paul George projects for 16.3 points, 3.9 rebounds, 3.2 assists with 3.4 threes from range.

Active Prop Streaks and Milestones

Prop streaks and milestones data are not currently available for this specific matchup – check the live Statz game preview closer to tip-off for updated prop lines. For Brunson’s hit rate trends, visit the Brunson player page. For Embiid’s recent form, see the Embiid player page. Full hit rates for the series are updated daily on the Statz hit rates tool.

Injuries

No injury concerns have been reported for either the Knicks or the 76ers ahead of Game 4. Both rosters are fully available for this potential closeout game.

Key Matchup

New York has been the dominant team in this series in every measurable way – point differential, shooting efficiency, turnover margin, and playmaking. Embiid and Maxey need to both go off simultaneously for Philadelphia to survive. The Knicks’ 66.6% win probability at home in an elimination game points firmly toward a sweep. Philadelphia shoots better from three (37.2% vs 36.3% season averages), but New York’s FG% advantage and home-court intensity at MSG make this a tall ask for the Sixers. Track the full game preview at statz.ai and browse the NBA schedule for upcoming games. Build your same-game parlay with the Statz Bet Builder.