Winterthur have taken 11.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 38 games: -4.9 goals against their xG, and -15.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/26 | 38 | 48.94 | 44 | -4.94 | 84.58 | 100 | -15.42 | 34.37 | 23 | -11.37 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.51 | 13 | -1.51 | 21.19 | 22 | -0.81 | 10.58 | 8 | -2.58 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.16 | 9 | +2.84 | 11.36 | 14 | -2.64 | 4.55 | 4 | -0.55 |
| Home | 19 | 28.01 | 23 | -5.01 | 37.18 | 43 | -5.82 | 20.71 | 14 | -6.71 |
| Away | 19 | 20.93 | 21 | +0.07 | 47.40 | 57 | -9.60 | 13.66 | 9 | -4.66 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Super League | Luzern (H) | 0-3 | 0.74 | 2.47 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 12 May | Super League | Grasshopper (A) | 3-2 | 1.61 | 1.81 | 1.26 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Super League | Lausanne (H) | 2-1 | 1.47 | 1.26 | 1.52 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Super League | Zürich (H) | 2-2 | 1.89 | 2.20 | 1.22 | 1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Super League | Servette (A) | 5-3 | 0.45 | 3.62 | 0.12 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | Super League | Grasshopper (H) | 0-2 | 0.94 | 1.73 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Super League | Lausanne (A) | 2-1 | 1.82 | 1.79 | 1.41 | 0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Super League | Basel (H) | 0-2 | 3.12 | 0.87 | 2.54 | 0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Super League | Luzern (A) | 1-2 | 1.46 | 3.04 | 0.62 | 3 | L |
| 7 Mar | Super League | Sion (A) | 1-1 | 1.01 | 2.40 | 0.61 | 1 | L |
| 3 Mar | Super League | Servette (H) | 1-1 | 1.34 | 1.59 | 1.21 | 1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Super League | St. Gallen (A) | 2-1 | 0.90 | 3.89 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 25 Feb | Super League | Thun (H) | 0-3 | 0.63 | 1.68 | 0.64 | 0 | L |
| 18 Feb | Super League | St. Gallen (H) | 1-5 | 1.97 | 3.21 | 0.81 | 0 | L |
| 14 Feb | Super League | Young Boys (A) | 6-1 | 1.11 | 2.38 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 11 Feb | Super League | Zürich (A) | 3-0 | 1.70 | 2.15 | 1.13 | 0 | L |
| 7 Feb | Super League | Lugano (H) | 1-1 | 1.09 | 2.37 | 0.66 | 1 | L |
| 31 Jan | Super League | Lausanne (H) | 2-1 | 2.04 | 0.98 | 2.06 | 3 | W |
| 24 Jan | Super League | Lugano (A) | 4-1 | 1.61 | 1.66 | 1.35 | 0 | L |
| 14 Jan | Super League | Sion (A) | 2-0 | 1.07 | 1.42 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 16 Dec | Super League | Thun (H) | 1-4 | 0.49 | 2.49 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 13 Dec | Super League | Zürich (A) | 2-2 | 1.54 | 2.18 | 1.02 | 1 | L |
| 7 Dec | Super League | Basel (H) | 1-2 | 4.30 | 3.61 | 1.62 | 0 | W |
| 29 Nov | Super League | Luzern (A) | 1-3 | 0.68 | 2.14 | 0.50 | 3 | L |
| 22 Nov | Super League | Young Boys (A) | 5-0 | 0.09 | 2.55 | 0.11 | 0 | L |
| 8 Nov | Super League | Grasshopper (H) | 0-1 | 1.26 | 0.96 | 1.58 | 0 | W |
| 1 Nov | Super League | Servette (H) | 4-2 | 0.95 | 1.94 | 0.75 | 3 | L |
| 28 Oct | Super League | Thun (A) | 3-0 | 1.08 | 3.36 | 0.36 | 0 | L |
| 25 Oct | Super League | Luzern (H) | 2-2 | 1.12 | 1.68 | 1.00 | 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | Super League | Basel (A) | 3-0 | 0.54 | 3.86 | 0.11 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nishan Burkart | attacker | 22 | 1141 | 2.97 | 5 | +2.03 | 0.23 |
| Pajtim Kasami | midfielder | 24 | 1468 | 3.12 | 5 | +1.88 | 0.19 |
| Christian Gomis | attacker | 5 | 442 | 0.84 | 2 | +1.16 | 0.17 |
| Tibault Citherlet | defender | 18 | 1188 | 0.26 | 1 | +0.74 | 0.02 |
| Souleymane Diaby | defender | 22 | 1473 | 0.40 | 1 | +0.60 | 0.02 |
| Alexandre Jankewitz | midfielder | 32 | 2171 | 1.46 | 2 | +0.54 | 0.06 |
| Brian Beyer | attacker | 14 | 475 | 0.87 | 1 | +0.13 | 0.17 |
| Remo Arnold | defender | 30 | 2291 | 0.89 | 1 | +0.11 | 0.03 |
| Roman Buess | attacker | 24 | 919 | 2.90 | 3 | +0.10 | 0.28 |
| Luca Zuffi | midfielder | 28 | 2115 | 0.97 | 1 | +0.03 | 0.04 |
| Théo Golliard | midfielder | 35 | 2146 | 4.22 | 4 | -0.22 | 0.18 |
| Elias Maluvunu | midfielder | 28 | 925 | 3.31 | 3 | -0.31 | 0.32 |
| Randy Schneider | midfielder | 31 | 1872 | 2.37 | 2 | -0.37 | 0.11 |
| Silvan Sidler | defender | 28 | 2054 | 1.40 | 1 | -0.40 | 0.06 |
| Francis Momoh | attacker | 11 | 226 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.21 |
| Loïc Lüthi | defender | 10 | 836 | 0.57 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.06 |
| Fabian Rohner | midfielder | 17 | 1102 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.05 |
| Adrian Durrer | midfielder | 18 | 1431 | 1.20 | 0 | -1.20 | 0.08 |
| Andrin Hunziker | attacker | 36 | 2536 | 13.21 | 12 | -1.21 | 0.47 |
| Bafode Dansoko | attacker | 21 | 1300 | 2.87 | 1 | -1.87 | 0.20 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thun | 38 | 70.3 | 80 | 65.7 | 52 | 56.9 | 75 | +18.1 |
| 2 | Lugano | 37 | 56.7 | 58 | 53.9 | 39 | 52.2 | 67 | +14.8 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 37 | 70.6 | 69 | 57.2 | 46 | 59 | 67 | +8 |
| 4 | Sion | 38 | 65.1 | 63 | 52 | 40 | 59.8 | 63 | +3.2 |
| 5 | Basel | 38 | 68.8 | 55 | 62.9 | 58 | 57.6 | 56 | -1.6 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 38 | 71.8 | 80 | 63.1 | 69 | 56.6 | 55 | -1.6 |
| 7 | Luzern | 38 | 66.3 | 76 | 59.7 | 66 | 57.1 | 53 | -4.1 |
| 8 | Zürich | 38 | 53.8 | 49 | 66.6 | 72 | 44.2 | 38 | -6.2 |
| 9 | Grasshopper | 38 | 46.6 | 48 | 67.5 | 74 | 40.7 | 33 | -7.7 |
| 10 | Servette | 38 | 61.2 | 71 | 46.1 | 63 | 61.8 | 53 | -8.8 |
| 11 | Lausanne Sport | 38 | 57.4 | 53 | 58.3 | 67 | 51 | 42 | -9 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 38 | 48.9 | 44 | 84.6 | 100 | 34.4 | 23 | -11.4 |