Odd xG 2024

Odd expected goals 2024: 2024

Games: 30
Expected goals (xG): 30.72
Goals scored: 26
Goals minus xG: -4.72
Expected goals against (xGA): 56.25
Goals conceded: 54
xGA minus goals conceded: +2.25
Expected points (xPts): 26.00
Points: 23
Points minus xPts: -3.00
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Odd overperforming their expected goals?

Odd's results and their chances agree, within 3.0 points of xPts over 30 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Odd results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/	30	30.72	26	-4.72	56.25	54	+2.25	26.00	23	-3.00
Last 10	10	7.26	6	-1.26	17.32	19	-1.68	7.11	5	-2.11
Last 5	5	4.45	1	-3.45	8.60	11	-2.40	4.23	0	-4.23
Home	15	17.03	16	-1.03	27.21	29	-1.79	14.48	13	-1.48
Away	15	13.69	10	-3.69	29.04	25	+4.04	11.52	10	-1.52

Odd expected goals match by match, 2024

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
1 Dec	Eliteserien	Haugesund (A)	2-1	2.07	1.80	1.56	0	W
23 Nov	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (H)	0-2	0.34	1.96	0.35	0	L
10 Nov	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (A)	1-0	0.70	1.13	1.00	0	L
3 Nov	Eliteserien	Brann (H)	0-3	0.73	1.25	0.95	0	L
27 Oct	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (A)	3-0	0.61	2.46	0.37	0	L
20 Oct	Eliteserien	Viking (A)	3-3	0.80	1.81	0.71	1	L
29 Sep	Eliteserien	KFUM (H)	1-3	0.34	1.80	0.39	0	L
22 Sep	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (A)	0-0	0.55	1.46	0.68	1	L
15 Sep	Eliteserien	Tromsø (H)	1-0	0.56	2.09	0.45	3	L
31 Aug	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (A)	2-0	0.56	1.56	0.65	0	L
25 Aug	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (H)	1-3	0.80	1.47	0.87	0	L
18 Aug	Eliteserien	HamKam (A)	1-0	1.60	1.15	1.69	0	W
11 Aug	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (H)	1-1	1.06	2.51	0.59	1	L
28 Jul	Eliteserien	Strømsgodset (H)	2-0	1.13	2.44	0.66	3	L
19 Jul	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (A)	3-1	0.50	2.09	0.41	0	L
13 Jul	Eliteserien	HamKam (H)	1-2	2.02	1.38	1.78	0	W
7 Jul	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (A)	2-1	0.60	2.20	0.43	0	L
28 Jun	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (H)	1-1	3.38	0.55	2.73	1	W
2 Jun	Eliteserien	Strømsgodset (A)	1-1	1.56	2.10	1.07	1	L
26 May	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (H)	2-1	1.57	1.98	1.15	3	L
20 May	Eliteserien	KFUM (A)	0-0	0.69	1.38	0.84	1	L
16 May	Eliteserien	Molde (H)	0-4	0.66	2.57	0.36	0	L
12 May	Eliteserien	Tromsø (A)	4-0	1.42	2.50	0.80	0	L
5 May	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (H)	0-2	0.87	1.95	0.70	0	L
28 Apr	Eliteserien	Viking (H)	3-3	0.46	3.10	0.18	1	L
21 Apr	Eliteserien	Brann (A)	2-0	0.60	2.27	0.41	0	L
17 Apr	Eliteserien	Molde (A)	1-2	0.27	2.89	0.14	3	L
14 Apr	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (H)	2-2	1.04	1.24	1.20	1	L
7 Apr	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (A)	0-1	1.16	2.24	0.76	3	L
31 Mar	Eliteserien	Haugesund (H)	1-2	2.07	0.92	2.12	0	W

Eliteserien 2024: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Viking	29	47.5	61	40	38	44.3	57	+12.7
2	Fredrikstad	30	45.3	39	40.7	35	43.6	51	+7.4
3	Brann	30	57	55	37.8	33	52.9	59	+6.1
4	Rosenborg	30	56.1	52	46	39	48.1	53	+4.9
5	Strømsgodset	29	44.4	32	55.2	39	34.4	38	+3.6
6	HamKam	30	34	34	52.4	39	29.8	33	+3.2
7	Bodø / Glimt	28	56.3	69	30.5	31	53.4	56	+2.6
8	Kristiansund	30	40.2	32	52.7	45	34.9	34	-0.9
9	Haugesund	30	41.1	29	53.5	46	35.8	33	-2.8
10	Odd	30	30.8	26	56.2	54	26	23	-3
11	Sarpsborg 08	30	47	43	49.4	55	41.2	37	-4.2
12	Sandefjord	30	42.9	41	48.4	46	38.5	34	-4.5
13	Tromsø	30	41.8	34	49.2	44	38.4	33	-5.4
14	Molde	30	62.7	64	33.4	36	58.3	52	-6.3
15	KFUM	30	34.5	35	29.1	36	43.5	37	-6.5
16	Lillestrøm	30	43	33	50.1	63	37.6	24	-13.6