Luton have recorded 11 expected goals (xG) across 8 League One games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.4 per match. N. Wells leads the squad with 3 expected goals (xG) - 0.54 per game. K. Palmer is next with 1.
Over their last 10 games, Luton are averaging 1.4 expected goals (xG) per match - N. Wells leads that period with 3. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Luton vs Wycombe on 10.10.2026.
Luton average 1.4 expected goals (xG) per League One game in 2026/2027, based on 8 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.4 per match.
N. Wells leads Luton for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 3 in League One - an average of 0.54 per game. K. Palmer is second with 1.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Luton's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Luton's results and their chances agree, within 0.8 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 38.69 | 38 | -0.69 | 26.20 | 30 | -3.80 | 35.16 | 36 | +0.84 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 19.80 | 19 | -0.80 | 11.57 | 17 | -5.43 | 18.54 | 17 | -1.54 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.40 | 6 | -1.40 | 5.15 | 9 | -3.85 | 8.47 | 4 | -4.47 |
| Home | 10 | 19.78 | 17 | -2.78 | 10.27 | 13 | -2.73 | 19.74 | 18 | -1.74 |
| Away | 10 | 18.91 | 21 | +2.09 | 15.93 | 17 | -1.07 | 15.42 | 18 | +2.58 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | League One | Bradford (H) | 0-1 | 1.16 | 0.30 | 2.07 | 0 | W |
| 10 Sep | League One | Stevenage (A) | 2-1 | 1.03 | 1.39 | 1.11 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | League One | Orient (H) | 1-1 | 2.17 | 0.55 | 2.42 | 1 | W |
| 2 Sep | League One | Stockport (H) | 2-0 | 1.21 | 0.95 | 1.55 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | League One | Mansfield (A) | 5-2 | 1.83 | 1.96 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | League One | Notts County (H) | 2-2 | 2.07 | 0.55 | 2.38 | 1 | W |
| 15 Aug | League One | Reading (A) | 3-4 | 1.74 | 1.71 | 1.41 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | League One | Bolton (A) | 2-3 | 4.02 | 1.91 | 2.29 | 3 | W |
| 25 Apr | League One | Barnsley (H) | 2-1 | 3.14 | 1.02 | 2.48 | 3 | W |
| 21 Apr | League One | Rotherham (A) | 0-2 | 1.43 | 1.23 | 1.51 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | League One | Mansfield (A) | 2-2 | 2.59 | 1.75 | 1.86 | 1 | W |
| 15 Apr | League One | Northampton (H) | 2-1 | 1.79 | 0.97 | 1.94 | 3 | W |
| 6 Apr | League One | Wimbledon (A) | 0-3 | 2.17 | 0.41 | 2.51 | 3 | W |
| 3 Apr | League One | Peterborough (H) | 2-1 | 2.45 | 1.43 | 1.98 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | League One | Stockport (H) | 1-1 | 1.20 | 0.74 | 1.71 | 1 | W |
| 17 Mar | League One | Exeter City (H) | 3-2 | 2.91 | 1.97 | 1.89 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | League One | Wycombe (A) | 1-2 | 1.17 | 1.92 | 0.91 | 3 | L |
| 10 Mar | League One | Doncaster (A) | 1-1 | 0.99 | 2.63 | 0.51 | 1 | L |
| 7 Mar | League One | Reading (H) | 2-3 | 1.68 | 1.79 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | League One | Port Vale (A) | 1-1 | 1.94 | 1.02 | 1.99 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasey Palmer | midfielder | 20 | 1404 | 5.86 | 10 | +4.14 | 0.38 |
| J. Richards | midfielder | 19 | 1086 | 1.42 | 3 | +1.58 | 0.12 |
| George Alan Saville | midfielder | 11 | 502 | 0.14 | 1 | +0.86 | 0.03 |
| Callum Marshall | attacker | 7 | 320 | 1.15 | 2 | +0.85 | 0.32 |
| Liam Walsh | midfielder | 19 | 1580 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.02 |
| Nigel Cello Lonwijk | defender | 11 | 891 | 0.65 | 1 | +0.35 | 0.07 |
| Jamie Paul Donley | midfielder | 5 | 286 | 0.71 | 1 | +0.29 | 0.22 |
| Shayden Morris | attacker | 9 | 346 | 1.87 | 2 | +0.13 | 0.49 |
| Mads Juel Andersen | defender | 11 | 858 | 0.88 | 1 | +0.12 | 0.09 |
| H. Odoffin | midfielder | 17 | 1438 | 2.17 | 2 | -0.17 | 0.14 |
| Ali Al-Hamadi | attacker | 7 | 239 | 1.34 | 1 | -0.34 | 0.50 |
| Kal Naismith | defender | 15 | 1306 | 2.42 | 2 | -0.42 | 0.17 |
| Devante Cole | attacker | 8 | 299 | 1.14 | 0 | -1.14 | 0.34 |
| Gideon Kodua | attacker | 17 | 585 | 2.19 | 1 | -1.19 | 0.34 |
| Emilio Lawrence | attacker | 17 | 1276 | 2.56 | 1 | -1.56 | 0.18 |
| Davy van den Berg | midfielder | 11 | 427 | 1.56 | 0 | -1.56 | 0.33 |
| Nahki Wells | attacker | 18 | 952 | 7.59 | 6 | -1.59 | 0.72 |
| Jordan Clark | midfielder | 13 | 1008 | 4.76 | 3 | -1.76 | 0.42 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City | 8 | 8.6 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 10.8 | 16 | +5.2 |
| 2 | Burton Albion | 9 | 7.2 | 14 | 14.7 | 15 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 6 | 7.6 | 13 | 10.2 | 7 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 8 | 6 | 11.9 | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 5 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 7.4 | 13 | 14.5 | 11 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 8 | 10.3 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10.3 | 13 | +2.7 |
| 7 | Bromley | 7 | 6.4 | 8 | 14.7 | 18 | 5.3 | 8 | +2.7 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle | 9 | 14.6 | 16 | 12.4 | 11 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 15.1 | 13 | 8.7 | 6 | 12.7 | 14 | +1.3 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 8.2 | 10 | 11.3 | 13 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 7.8 | 11 | 7.5 | 8 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers | 8 | 11.7 | 13 | 12.8 | 16 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Stockport County | 8 | 15.1 | 17 | 10.2 | 10 | 13.9 | 13 | -0.9 |
| 14 | Leicester City | 7 | 10.2 | 9 | 10.2 | 11 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 14.3 | 13 | 14.8 | 13 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| 16 | Huddersfield Town | 8 | 17.5 | 14 | 7.3 | 7 | 16.6 | 15 | -1.6 |
| 17 | Notts County | 7 | 8.6 | 7 | 9.5 | 9 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 10.7 | 7 | 10.6 | 12 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| 19 | Reading | 8 | 15.6 | 17 | 8.9 | 10 | 15 | 12 | -3 |
| 20 | Luton Town | 7 | 11.2 | 12 | 7.4 | 14 | 12.2 | 8 | -4.2 |
| 21 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 11.4 | 8 | 10.2 | 10 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 7 | 10.6 | 8 | 8.7 | 9 | 10.7 | 6 | -4.7 |
| 23 | Peterborough United | 8 | 12.1 | 4 | 13.9 | 13 | 10.5 | 5 | -5.5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic | 7 | 11.1 | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | 9.5 | 4 | -5.5 |