Dender xG 2025/2026

Dender expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 36
Expected goals (xG): 43.25
Goals scored: 31
Goals minus xG: -12.25
Expected goals against (xGA): 64.54
Goals conceded: 62
xGA minus goals conceded: +2.54
Expected points (xPts): 37.72
Points: 25
Points minus xPts: -12.72
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Dender overperforming their expected goals?

Dender have taken 12.7 points fewer than their chances warranted over 36 games: -12.3 goals against their xG, and +2.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Dender results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	36	43.25	31	-12.25	64.54	62	+2.54	37.72	25	-12.72
Last 10	10	11.62	10	-1.62	21.35	18	+3.35	8.24	8	-0.24
Last 5	5	6.28	6	-0.28	10.88	11	-0.12	4.46	3	-1.46
Home	18	22.37	16	-6.37	29.93	35	-5.07	21.02	11	-10.02
Away	18	20.88	15	-5.88	34.61	27	+7.61	16.70	14	-2.70

Dender expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
9 May	Belgian Pro League	Zulte-Waregem (A)	2-1	1.51	2.76	0.75	0	L
3 May	Belgian Pro League	La Louvière (H)	2-1	1.33	1.88	1.04	3	L
24 Apr	Belgian Pro League	C Brugge (A)	2-1	0.78	0.67	1.41	0	D
19 Apr	Belgian Pro League	C Brugge (H)	1-4	0.74	2.59	0.39	0	L
12 Apr	Belgian Pro League	Zulte-Waregem (H)	1-2	1.92	2.98	0.87	0	L
6 Apr	Belgian Pro League	La Louvière (A)	0-1	1.16	2.58	0.62	3	L
22 Mar	Belgian Pro League	Gent (H)	1-3	0.94	1.70	0.86	0	L
14 Mar	Belgian Pro League	Union SG (A)	2-0	0.53	1.72	0.56	0	L
7 Mar	Belgian Pro League	Charleroi (H)	2-2	1.78	2.57	0.98	1	L
1 Mar	Belgian Pro League	C Brugge (A)	0-0	0.93	1.90	0.76	1	L
21 Feb	Belgian Pro League	Sint-Truiden (H)	1-4	0.73	1.39	0.87	0	L
14 Feb	Belgian Pro League	OH Leuven (A)	3-2	2.33	2.38	1.38	0	L
7 Feb	Belgian Pro League	Zulte-Waregem (A)	1-0	0.78	1.39	0.91	0	L
1 Feb	Belgian Pro League	Genk (H)	1-2	2.75	0.81	2.47	0	W
25 Jan	Belgian Pro League	Anderlecht (A)	0-0	0.86	2.16	0.61	1	L
18 Jan	Belgian Pro League	Antwerp (H)	1-0	1.34	0.59	1.94	3	W
27 Dec	Belgian Pro League	Mechelen (A)	1-1	1.50	1.15	1.62	1	W
20 Dec	Belgian Pro League	Standard (H)	0-1	1.24	0.61	1.85	0	W
14 Dec	Belgian Pro League	Club Brugge (H)	1-5	1.05	2.81	0.49	0	L
5 Dec	Belgian Pro League	La Louvière (A)	1-2	2.24	1.81	1.64	3	W
29 Nov	Belgian Pro League	Westerlo (H)	2-2	0.80	3.88	0.18	1	L
23 Nov	Belgian Pro League	Antwerp (A)	1-2	0.84	1.51	0.89	3	L
7 Nov	Belgian Pro League	Zulte-Waregem (H)	2-2	1.30	0.88	1.68	1	W
1 Nov	Belgian Pro League	Club Brugge (A)	2-1	1.15	2.01	0.85	0	L
25 Oct	Belgian Pro League	Westerlo (A)	1-1	1.22	1.93	0.94	1	L
19 Oct	Belgian Pro League	Mechelen (H)	1-3	2.85	0.65	2.58	0	W
5 Oct	Belgian Pro League	Genk (A)	2-1	1.61	2.28	1.01	0	L
28 Sep	Belgian Pro League	La Louvière (H)	0-0	0.68	0.62	1.36	1	D
19 Sep	Belgian Pro League	Gent (A)	3-0	1.50	1.95	1.11	0	L
13 Sep	Belgian Pro League	Union SG (H)	0-1	0.14	2.01	0.21	0	L

Dender players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Bruny Nsimba	attacker	28	1820	9.23	10	+0.77	0.46
Malcolm Viltard	midfielder	34	2569	0.46	1	+0.54	0.02
Ragnar Oratmangoen	attacker	16	508	0.56	1	+0.44	0.10
Roman Kvet	midfielder	32	2576	4.73	5	+0.27	0.17
Bryan Goncalves	defender	26	2113	1.08	1	-0.08	0.05
David Hrncar	midfielder	18	816	2.11	2	-0.11	0.23
Mohamed Berte	attacker	28	954	2.34	2	-0.34	0.22
Jordan Kadiri	attacker	13	259	1.35	1	-0.35	0.47
Desmond Acquah	midfielder	11	236	0.57	0	-0.57	0.22
Benjamin Fredrick	defender	14	862	0.59	0	-0.59	0.06
Luc De Fougerolles	defender	27	1652	0.60	0	-0.60	0.03
Luc Marijnissen	defender	35	3061	1.62	1	-0.62	0.05
Kobe Cools	defender	19	1332	0.68	0	-0.68	0.05
Marsoni Sambu	defender	29	2014	0.77	0	-0.77	0.03
Aurélien Scheidler	attacker	4	336	0.94	0	-0.94	0.25
Noah Mbamba	midfielder	33	2702	2.99	2	-0.99	0.10
David Toševski	attacker	25	1492	5.17	4	-1.17	0.31
Alireza Jahanbakhsh	attacker	21	900	2.22	1	-1.22	0.22
Nathan Rôdes	midfielder	33	1984	1.38	0	-1.38	0.06
Fabio Ferraro	defender	29	2532	2.50	1	-1.50	0.09

Belgian Pro League 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Union Saint-Gilloise	40	65.6	66	37.5	27	72.4	86	+13.6
2	Club Brugge	40	87.4	91	50.8	45	75.4	88	+12.6
3	Mechelen	40	44.2	48	73.3	61	38.6	51	+12.4
4	Standard Liège	40	48.6	44	61.4	46	47	57	+10
5	Sint-Truiden	40	70	61	53.4	46	66.1	71	+4.9
6	Zulte-Waregem	36	49.9	53	57.5	53	45.1	48	+2.9
7	Anderlecht	40	61.5	59	65.6	62	54.5	55	+0.5
8	Antwerp	40	52.2	43	59	48	50.7	48	-2.7
9	Gent	40	61.1	53	64.5	57	54.5	51	-3.5
10	Sporting Charleroi	40	55.8	50	54.3	50	55.8	51	-4.8
11	Westerlo	40	61.4	50	60.2	57	56.9	52	-4.9
12	Genk	40	68.5	57	51.5	53	65.1	59	-6.1
13	OH Leuven	40	50.3	41	62.8	60	48.2	40	-8.2
14	La Louvière	35	40.8	35	47	47	43.1	34	-9.1
15	Dender	36	43.2	31	64.5	62	37.7	25	-12.7
16	Cercle Brugge	35	58.7	50	55.8	58	50.8	38	-12.8