Cincinnati have recorded 46 expected goals (xG) across 26 Major League Soccer games in 2026, averaging 1.8 per match. K. Denkey leads the squad with 13 expected goals (xG) - 0.62 per game. Evander is next with 9.
Over their last 10 games, Cincinnati are averaging 1.6 expected goals (xG) per match - K. Denkey leads that period with 4. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Cincinnati vs Atlanta on 10.10.2026.
Cincinnati average 1.8 expected goals (xG) per Major League Soccer game in 2026, based on 26 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.6 per match.
K. Denkey leads Cincinnati for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 13 in Major League Soccer - an average of 0.62 per game. Evander is second with 9.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Cincinnati's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.
Cincinnati's results and their chances agree, within 2.2 points of xPts over 26 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 26 | 47.56 | 55 | +7.44 | 49.43 | 64 | -14.57 | 35.24 | 33 | -2.24 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.54 | 15 | -2.54 | 18.70 | 24 | -5.30 | 13.05 | 10 | -3.05 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.08 | 6 | -5.08 | 10.80 | 17 | -6.20 | 7.14 | 2 | -5.14 |
| Home | 12 | 24.63 | 34 | +9.37 | 20.03 | 24 | -3.97 | 19.09 | 24 | +4.91 |
| Away | 14 | 22.93 | 21 | -1.93 | 29.40 | 40 | -10.60 | 16.15 | 9 | -7.15 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (A) | 3-1 | 2.52 | 2.21 | 1.57 | 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | Houston (A) | 2-2 | 4.37 | 1.34 | 2.56 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (H) | 3-3 | 2.72 | 1.80 | 1.89 | 1 | W |
| 9 Sep | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 5-0 | 0.03 | 3.53 | 0.03 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (A) | 4-0 | 1.44 | 1.92 | 1.09 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Major League Soccer | Seattle (H) | 1-1 | 1.21 | 1.11 | 1.43 | 1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (H) | 2-1 | 1.19 | 1.52 | 1.15 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (A) | 1-1 | 0.91 | 1.57 | 0.90 | 1 | L |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | San Jose (H) | 4-2 | 2.28 | 1.53 | 1.83 | 3 | W |
| 25 Jul | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 2-1 | 0.87 | 2.17 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 22 Jul | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (H) | 4-3 | 1.57 | 1.90 | 1.18 | 3 | L |
| 23 May | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (H) | 6-2 | 3.50 | 2.09 | 2.06 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Major League Soccer | San Diego (A) | 3-3 | 1.64 | 1.40 | 1.53 | 1 | W |
| 13 May | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (H) | 3-5 | 1.50 | 2.66 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (A) | 2-2 | 1.48 | 1.84 | 1.16 | 1 | L |
| 3 May | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (A) | 2-3 | 1.94 | 4.67 | 0.38 | 3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Major League Soccer | New York RB (H) | 2-0 | 2.65 | 1.74 | 1.90 | 3 | W |
| 22 Apr | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 4-4 | 1.82 | 2.44 | 1.06 | 1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 3-3 | 3.63 | 2.01 | 2.14 | 1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 1-1 | 0.81 | 0.53 | 1.56 | 1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | New York RB (A) | 4-2 | 2.46 | 2.25 | 1.51 | 0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 4-3 | 1.73 | 2.30 | 1.08 | 3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | New England (A) | 6-1 | 1.52 | 1.63 | 1.31 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 0-1 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 1.52 | 0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (A) | 1-0 | 1.12 | 1.90 | 0.89 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (H) | 2-0 | 1.65 | 0.59 | 2.13 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Bucha | midfielder | 24 | 2034 | 2.42 | 6 | +3.58 | 0.11 |
| Evander | midfielder | 24 | 1965 | 9.60 | 13 | +3.40 | 0.44 |
| Tom Barlow | attacker | 26 | 1035 | 5.07 | 7 | +1.93 | 0.44 |
| Kenji Mboma Dem | attacker | 22 | 1328 | 3.71 | 5 | +1.29 | 0.25 |
| A. Chirilă | defender | 9 | 672 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.02 |
| Bryan RamÃrez | attacker | 24 | 1641 | 1.45 | 2 | +0.55 | 0.08 |
| Kévin Denkey | attacker | 24 | 1929 | 13.57 | 14 | +0.43 | 0.63 |
| Nick Hagglund | defender | 17 | 1117 | 0.88 | 1 | +0.12 | 0.07 |
| Kyle Smith | defender | 21 | 1012 | 0.97 | 1 | +0.03 | 0.09 |
| Ayoub Jabbari | attacker | 23 | 610 | 2.41 | 2 | -0.41 | 0.36 |
| Ender Echenique | attacker | 23 | 1507 | 1.41 | 1 | -0.41 | 0.08 |
| Obinna Nwobodo | midfielder | 20 | 948 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.06 |
| Matt Miazga | defender | 14 | 973 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.06 |
| Miles Robinson | defender | 19 | 1481 | 0.68 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.04 |
| Teenage Hadebe | defender | 14 | 465 | 0.83 | 0 | -0.83 | 0.16 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | midfielder | 22 | 1539 | 2.00 | 1 | -1.00 | 0.12 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 41.4 | 55 | 35.4 | 21 | 40.3 | 60 | +19.7 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 29.8 | 34 | 36.5 | 32 | 34.1 | 44 | +9.9 |
| 3 | New England | 27 | 42.9 | 45 | 40.6 | 36 | 38.1 | 46 | +7.9 |
| 4 | Dallas | 27 | 40.4 | 50 | 35.9 | 42 | 40.5 | 47 | +6.5 |
| 5 | Austin | 27 | 27.9 | 35 | 53 | 47 | 25 | 31 | +6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 27 | 42.7 | 47 | 43.6 | 38 | 37.1 | 43 | +5.9 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 27 | 51.4 | 64 | 44.7 | 50 | 41.4 | 46 | +4.6 |
| 8 | St. Louis City | 27 | 42.1 | 48 | 32.6 | 36 | 43.1 | 47 | +3.9 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 27 | 40.8 | 48 | 52.2 | 64 | 32.3 | 34 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41.5 | 43 | 40.3 | 30 | 39.4 | 41 | +1.6 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 48 | 46 | 38.2 | 38 | 40.6 | 42 | +1.4 |
| 12 | SJ Earthquakes | 27 | 50.6 | 49 | 37 | 39 | 43.7 | 45 | +1.3 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 39.7 | 35 | 40.7 | 35 | 36.8 | 38 | +1.2 |
| 14 | New York RB | 27 | 42.5 | 34 | 52.5 | 51 | 31.9 | 33 | +1.1 |
| 15 | LA Galaxy | 28 | 42.6 | 37 | 47.1 | 44 | 36.1 | 36 | -0.1 |
| 16 | Toronto | 27 | 33.4 | 39 | 43.2 | 51 | 31.2 | 29 | -2.2 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 26 | 47.5 | 55 | 49.4 | 64 | 35.3 | 33 | -2.3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 58.6 | 59 | 26.7 | 26 | 52.7 | 50 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 37.4 | 40 | 40.4 | 44 | 34.9 | 32 | -2.9 |
| 20 | DC United | 26 | 39.9 | 34 | 43.7 | 42 | 33.6 | 30 | -3.6 |
| 21 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 40.9 | 38 | 32.3 | 38 | 40.1 | 36 | -4.1 |
| 22 | New York City | 27 | 39 | 41 | 39 | 36 | 37.6 | 33 | -4.6 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 40.8 | 48 | 43.6 | 51 | 36.9 | 32 | -4.9 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 27 | 31.4 | 32 | 54.2 | 65 | 26 | 21 | -5 |
| 25 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 53.8 | 54 | 38.6 | 44 | 45.1 | 39 | -6.1 |
| 26 | San Diego | 27 | 41.8 | 47 | 44.1 | 47 | 38.2 | 32 | -6.2 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 27 | 38.4 | 32 | 43 | 45 | 34.6 | 27 | -7.6 |
| 28 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 36.4 | 39 | 32.8 | 43 | 38.6 | 29 | -9.6 |
| 29 | Minnesota United | 27 | 46.9 | 40 | 44.2 | 49 | 40.2 | 29 | -11.2 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 27 | 39.7 | 34 | 45 | 54 | 35.3 | 24 | -11.3 |