Croatia host Spain at Stadion Poljud, Split on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Croatia's last five results: W L W L L (2 wins and 3 losses). Spain's last five: W W W W W (5 wins). In their last 3 meetings, Croatia have won 0, Spain 2, with 1 draw.
Croatia vs Spain kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 6 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadion Poljud, Split.
Croatia vs Spain is being played at Stadion Poljud in Split, the home ground of Croatia.
Croatia's last five results read W L W L L (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Spain's last five results read W W W W W (oldest to newest): 5 wins.
Across the last 3 meetings Croatia have won 0, Spain have won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Spain 4-1 Croatia on 29 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Ivan Perišić leads Croatia with 4 assists across their last 10 games.
Mikel Oyarzabal leads Spain with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Erik Lambrechts is the referee for Croatia vs Spain, averaging 26.0 fouls and 4.3 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Croatia and Spain are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Spain the favourite with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Croatia and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are Croatia 0.9 - 1.9 Spain.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1, a Spain win, at 12%. Both teams to score is 49% likely and over 2.5 goals 52%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Spain vs Croatia | 4-1 |
| 15 Jun 2024 | European Championship | Spain vs Croatia | 3-0 |
| 18 Jun 2023 | UEFA Nations League | Croatia vs Spain | 0-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Croatia 0.9 - 1.9 Spain in goals. It gives Croatia a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spain 62%. Both teams to score is 49% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 52%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Spain win | 12% |
| 0-2 | Spain win | 11% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | Spain win | 10% |
| 0-3 | Spain win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Croatia vs Spain, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Croatia | Fouls committed | Spain | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Sučić | 12 | Á. Baena | 19 |
| 2 | A. Budimir | 11 | Rodri | 15 |
| 3 | M. Pongracic | 9 | L. Yamal | 13 |
| 4 | L. Vuskovic | 9 | P. Porro | 10 |
| 5 | I. Perišić | 8 | D. Olmo | 9 |
| # | Croatia | Shots | Spain | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Matanovic | 16 | L. Yamal | 36 |
| 2 | A. Budimir | 10 | M. Oyarzabal | 20 |
| 3 | M. Kovacic | 10 | D. Olmo | 19 |
| 4 | P. Sučić | 8 | Á. Baena | 18 |
| 5 | M. Pašalić | 8 | F. Torres | 12 |
| # | Croatia | Shots on target | Spain | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Perišić | 5 | L. Yamal | 16 |
| 2 | L. Modrić | 4 | M. Oyarzabal | 12 |
| 3 | A. Budimir | 4 | Á. Baena | 11 |
| 4 | M. Kovacic | 4 | F. Torres | 4 |
| 5 | I. Matanovic | 3 | P. Porro | 3 |
| # | Croatia | Goals | Spain | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Modrić | 2 | M. Oyarzabal | 6 |
| 2 | I. Perišić | 1 | L. Yamal | 5 |
| 3 | M. Baturina | 1 | M. Merino | 3 |
| 4 | P. Musa | 1 | P. Porro | 2 |
| 5 | N. Vlašić | 1 | Á. Baena | 2 |
| # | Croatia | Yellow cards | Spain | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Perišić | 3 | Á. Baena | 2 |
| 2 | P. Sučić | 2 | F. Torres | 1 |
| 3 | L. Vuskovic | 2 | A. Laporte | 1 |
| 4 | L. Modrić | 1 | P. Cubarsí | 1 |
| 5 | D. Caleta-Car | 1 | M. Cucurella | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Croatia vs Spain: Álex Baena 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.25); Luka Vuskovic 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.30); Robin Le Normand 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.67); Ivan Perišić 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44). Combined odds 3.91 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 28 of 54 |
| Goals against | 4 | 53 of 54 |
| Shots | 11 | 36 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 2.7 | 45 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 44 of 54 |
| Tackles | 15.7 | 21 of 54 |
| Passes | 444 | 34 of 54 |
| Corners | 3 | 40 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.3 | 3 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 39 of 54 |
| Shots | 16.3 | 9 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 7.3 | 4 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12 | 25 of 54 |
| Tackles | 19 | 4 of 54 |
| Passes | 633.3 | 4 of 54 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 22 of 54 |