UEFA Nations League xG Table 2024/2025

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 xG table, Home

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Sweden31112.3-1.311.5-0.5+1010.9-0.997.9+1.1
2Austria3108.4+1.621.5+0.5+87.0+1.077.8-0.8
3Germany3138.5+4.501.7-1.7+136.8+6.297.5+1.5
4Spain378.5-1.522.0+0.0+56.5-1.597.5+1.5
5Turkey347.6-3.611.7-0.7+36.0-3.077.3-0.3
6England386.5+1.521.1+0.9+65.4+0.666.8-0.8
7Portugal397.2+1.832.7+0.3+64.5+1.596.6+2.4
8Northern Ireland396.3+2.701.9-1.9+94.4+4.696.6+2.4
9Norway3106.0+4.012.1-1.1+93.9+5.196.5+2.5
10Armenia344.4-0.441.5+2.5+02.9-2.936.3-3.3
11France335.6-2.632.1+0.9+03.5-3.546.2-2.2
12Wales355.3-0.312.3-1.3+43.0+1.076.2+0.8
13Croatia345.8-1.822.8-0.8+23.0-1.076.1+0.9
14Slovakia355.9-0.923.1-1.1+32.8+0.276.0+1.0
15Netherlands3118.6+2.444.9-0.9+73.7+3.375.9+1.1
16Georgia354.9+0.132.2+0.8+22.7-0.745.8-1.8
17Slovenia355.5-0.553.1+1.9+02.4-2.445.6-1.6
18Greece354.6+0.432.3+0.7+22.3-0.365.6+0.4
19Italy374.9+2.162.6+3.4+12.3-1.345.6-1.6
20Czech Republic376.0+1.033.9-0.9+42.1+1.995.6+3.4
21Switzerland346.3-2.374.2+2.8-32.1-5.125.4-3.4
22Azerbaijan327.6-5.665.6+0.4-42.0-6.015.4-4.4
23Romania3104.6+5.422.5-0.5+82.2+5.895.3+3.7
24Belgium346.8-2.844.9-0.9+01.9-1.935.1-2.1
25Denmark353.0+2.021.9+0.1+31.1+1.965.0+1.0
26Hungary324.3-2.322.9-0.9+01.4-1.434.9-1.9
27North Macedonia343.2+0.802.1-2.1+41.2+2.894.9+4.1
28Moldova242.9+1.100.6-0.6+42.3+1.764.3+1.7
29Montenegro344.1-0.153.6+1.4-10.5-1.534.3-1.3
30Serbia323.9-1.903.5-3.5+20.4+1.654.2+0.8
31Gibraltar234.1-1.121.9+0.1+12.1-1.144.0+0.0
32Ukraine333.2-0.233.2-0.2+0-0.1+0.144.0+0.0
33Lithuania323.1-1.153.2+1.8-3-0.2-2.804.0-4.0
34Luxembourg322.3-0.342.4+1.6-2-0.1-1.913.9-2.9
35Kosovo343.1+0.933.5-0.5+1-0.4+1.463.9+2.1
36San Marino223.8-1.811.8-0.8+11.9-0.943.8+0.2
37Bulgaria322.0+0.012.1-1.1+1-0.1+1.153.7+1.3
38Malta212.6-1.601.1-1.1+11.5-0.543.5+0.5
39Faroe Islands344.3-0.345.2-1.2+0-0.9+0.933.5-0.5
40Iceland363.5+2.565.2+0.8+0-1.7+1.743.3+0.7
41Albania312.3-1.333.4-0.4-2-1.1-0.913.2-2.2
42Belarus312.6-1.613.7-2.7+0-1.1+1.133.1-0.1
43Cyprus323.8-1.885.7+2.3-6-2.0-4.033.1-0.1
44Poland353.7+1.385.9+2.1-3-2.2-0.813.1-2.1
45Latvia323.0-1.054.6+0.4-3-1.6-1.433.0+0.0
46Liechtenstein211.7-0.732.3+0.7-2-0.6-1.412.6-1.6
47Finland322.5-0.574.5+2.5-5-2.0-3.002.6-2.6
48Republic of Ireland313.0-2.046.9-2.9-3-3.9+0.932.5+0.5
49Scotland332.6+0.435.1-2.1+0-2.5+2.542.4+1.6
50Israel331.6+1.464.2+1.8-3-2.6-0.432.2+0.8
51Bosnia and Herzegovina322.1-0.154.9+0.1-3-2.9-0.112.1-1.1
52Andorra201.1-1.122.5-0.5-2-1.4-0.601.6-1.6
53Estonia331.9+1.157.0-2.0-2-5.1+3.131.5+1.5
54Kazakhstan300.9-0.935.5-2.5-3-4.6+1.611.4-0.4

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 xG table, Away

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1England386.9+1.112.7-1.7+74.3+2.796.2+2.8
2Sweden389.9-1.936.4-3.4+53.6+1.476.0+1.0
3Italy365.2+0.822.4-0.4+42.8+1.295.9+3.1
4Romania386.1+1.913.5-2.5+72.6+4.495.8+3.2
5Portugal345.9-1.923.3-1.3+22.6-0.655.7-0.7
6Kosovo364.3+1.742.0+2.0+22.3-0.365.7+0.3
7Austria345.1-1.132.5+0.5+12.6-1.645.6-1.6
8Germany356.1-1.144.3-0.3+11.8-0.855.3-0.3
9Armenia344.2-0.252.9+2.1-11.4-2.445.0-1.0
10Northern Ireland323.3-1.332.1+0.9-11.2-2.225.0-3.0
11Spain364.4+1.623.3-1.3+41.1+2.974.9+2.1
12Greece363.1+2.912.2-1.2+50.8+4.294.6+4.4
13Turkey354.9+0.154.3+0.7+00.6-0.644.5-0.5
14Georgia323.6-1.633.3-0.3-10.3-1.334.5-1.5
15France393.9+5.133.7-0.7+60.2+5.894.4+4.6
16Netherlands322.6-0.632.2+0.8-10.5-1.524.3-2.3
17Croatia343.4+0.663.5+2.5-2-0.1-1.914.0-3.0
18North Macedonia364.0+2.014.4-3.4+5-0.3+5.373.9+3.1
19Ukraine354.7+0.355.0+0.0+0-0.3+0.343.9+0.1
20Slovakia353.6+1.434.1-1.1+2-0.5+2.563.9+2.1
21Norway354.2+0.864.9+1.1-1-0.7-0.343.9+0.1
22Bulgaria312.7-1.753.0+2.0-4-0.3-3.743.8+0.2
23Iceland343.2+0.874.0+3.0-3-0.8-2.233.5-0.5
24San Marino233.0+0.021.9+0.1+11.1-0.133.4-0.4
25Faroe Islands312.5-1.523.3-1.3-1-0.8-0.233.4-0.4
26Belgium323.2-1.254.6+0.4-3-1.4-1.613.3-2.3
27Switzerland323.8-1.875.7+1.3-5-1.9-3.103.3-3.3
28Belarus321.6+0.433.3-0.3-1-1.7+0.743.1+0.9
29Luxembourg312.5-1.534.8-1.8-2-2.2+0.223.1-1.1
30Czech Republic322.5-0.554.3+0.7-3-1.8-1.223.0-1.0
31Poland344.2-0.286.9+1.1-4-2.7-1.332.9+0.1
32Latvia322.6-0.664.4+1.6-4-1.8-2.212.8-1.8
33Albania332.0+1.033.7-0.7+0-1.7+1.762.7+3.3
34Moldova212.1-1.112.8-1.8+0-0.6+0.632.6+0.4
35Cyprus322.4-0.474.7+2.3-5-2.3-2.732.6+0.4
36Lithuania322.1-0.164.4+1.6-4-2.3-1.702.6-2.6
37Scotland343.0+1.055.6-0.6-1-2.6+1.632.6+0.4
38Hungary323.9-1.997.8+1.2-7-3.9-3.132.6+0.4
39Finland302.8-2.865.3+0.7-6-2.5-3.502.5-2.5
40Wales343.3+0.736.5-3.5+1-3.2+4.252.5+2.5
41Andorra201.0-1.021.2+0.8-2-0.2-1.812.4-1.4
42Republic of Ireland322.0+0.086.4+1.6-6-4.4-1.632.4+0.6
43Slovenia322.0+0.045.5-1.5-2-3.5+1.542.3+1.7
44Azerbaijan312.1-1.1118.7+2.3-10-6.6-3.401.9-1.9
45Malta211.1-0.122.6-0.6-1-1.5+0.531.8+1.2
46Liechtenstein221.7+0.333.6-0.6-1-1.9+0.911.7-0.7
47Montenegro301.4-1.445.7-1.7-4-4.3+0.301.7-1.7
48Serbia312.0-1.067.1-1.1-5-5.0+0.011.6-0.6
49Denmark321.4+0.635.7-2.7-1-4.4+3.421.3+0.7
50Gibraltar211.4-0.413.9-2.9+0-2.6+2.621.1+0.9
51Estonia301.5-1.548.5-4.5-4-7.0+3.010.9+0.1
52Israel321.5+0.578.2-1.2-5-6.7+1.710.8+0.2
53Bosnia and Herzegovina321.8+0.2129.2+2.8-10-7.4-2.610.8+0.2
54Kazakhstan300.9-0.9127.9+4.1-12-7.0-5.000.6-0.6

UEFA Nations League xG Table Questions

Which UEFA Nations League team is overperforming their xG the most in 2024/2025?

Romania overperformed their xG by more than any other side in the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025, with 18 goals from chances worth 10.7 xG, a gap of 7.3. Norway were next on 4.8.

Which UEFA Nations League team is underperforming their xG the most in 2024/2025?

Azerbaijan underperformed their xG by more than any other side in the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025, with 3 goals from chances worth 9.6 xG, a shortfall of 6.6. Hungary were next on 4.2.

Which UEFA Nations League team has been the luckiest on expected points in 2024/2025?

North Macedonia were the luckiest side in the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025, with 16 points from performances worth 8.8 xPts, 7.2 more than their chances deserved. Romania were next on 6.9.

Which UEFA Nations League team has been the unluckiest on expected points in 2024/2025?

Switzerland were the unluckiest side in the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025, with 2 points from performances worth 8.7 xPts, 6.7 short of what they deserved. Lithuania were next on 6.6.

Who would be top of the UEFA Nations League on xG in 2024/2025?

Sweden would be top of the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025 on expected points, with 13.8 xPts from 22.3 xG created and 7.8 conceded across six matches. Austria were next on 13.5.

Which UEFA Nations League team has the most xG in 2024/2025?

Sweden created the most xG in the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025, 22.3 from six matches, 3.7 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Germany were next on 14.6.

Which UEFA Nations League team has the least xG in 2024/2025?

Kazakhstan created the least xG in the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025, 1.8 from six matches, 0.3 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Andorra were next on 2.0.

Which UEFA Nations League team has conceded the most xG in 2024/2025?

Estonia conceded the most xG in the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025, 15.5 from six matches, 2.6 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Azerbaijan were next on 14.2.

Which UEFA Nations League team has conceded the least xG in 2024/2025?

Moldova conceded the least xG in the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025, 3.4 from four matches, 0.8 a game against a competition average of 1.3. England, Malta and Andorra were next on 3.7.

What is the average xG per game in the UEFA Nations League in 2024/2025?

UEFA Nations League teams averaged 1.34 xG a game in 2024/2025, from the 156 matches played, and scored 1.30 goals a game from it. That is down from 1.41 xG a game in 2022/2023.

Did UEFA Nations League teams create more xG at home or away in 2024/2025?

UEFA Nations League teams created more xG at home in 2024/2025, 1.57 a game against 1.12 away, a home advantage of +0.45, against +0.25 in 2022/2023.

UEFA Nations League player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

  • UEFA Nations League Player xG Stats 2024/2025

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UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 xG table

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1 Sweden 6 19 22.3 -3.3 4 7.8 -3.8 +15 14.4 +0.6 16 13.8 +2.2
2 Austria 6 14 13.5 +0.5 5 4.0 +1.0 +9 9.6 -0.6 11 13.5 -2.5
3 England 6 16 13.4 +2.6 3 3.7 -0.7 +13 9.6 +3.4 15 13.1 +1.9
4 Germany 6 18 14.6 +3.4 4 6.0 -2.0 +14 8.6 +5.4 14 12.8 +1.2
5 Spain 6 13 12.8 +0.2 4 5.2 -1.2 +9 7.6 +1.4 16 12.4 +3.6
6 Portugal 6 13 13.1 -0.1 5 6.1 -1.1 +8 7.1 +0.9 14 12.2 +1.8
7 Turkey 6 9 12.6 -3.6 6 6.0 +0.0 +3 6.6 -3.6 11 11.8 -0.8
8 Northern Ireland 6 11 9.6 +1.4 3 4.0 -1.0 +8 5.6 +2.4 11 11.7 -0.7
9 Italy 6 13 10.1 +2.9 8 5.0 +3.0 +5 5.1 -0.1 13 11.5 +1.5
10 Armenia 6 8 8.6 -0.6 9 4.3 +4.7 -1 4.2 -5.2 7 11.3 -4.3
11 Romania 6 18 10.7 +7.3 3 5.9 -2.9 +15 4.8 +10.2 18 11.1 +6.9
12 France 6 12 9.5 +2.5 6 5.7 +0.3 +6 3.8 +2.2 13 10.6 +2.4
13 Norway 6 15 10.2 +4.8 7 7.0 +0.0 +8 3.2 +4.8 13 10.4 +2.6
14 Greece 6 11 7.7 +3.3 4 4.5 -0.5 +7 3.2 +3.8 15 10.3 +4.7
15 Georgia 6 7 8.5 -1.5 6 5.5 +0.5 +1 3.0 -2.0 7 10.3 -3.3
16 Netherlands 6 13 11.2 +1.8 7 7.0 +0.0 +6 4.2 +1.8 9 10.2 -1.2
17 Croatia 6 8 9.2 -1.2 8 6.3 +1.7 +0 2.9 -2.9 8 10.1 -2.1
18 Slovakia 6 10 9.5 +0.5 5 7.3 -2.3 +5 2.3 +2.7 13 9.9 +3.1
19 Kosovo 6 10 7.3 +2.7 7 5.4 +1.6 +3 1.9 +1.1 12 9.6 +2.4
20 North Macedonia 6 10 7.3 +2.7 1 6.4 -5.4 +9 0.8 +8.2 16 8.8 +7.2
21 Switzerland 6 6 10.1 -4.1 14 9.8 +4.2 -8 0.3 -8.3 2 8.7 -6.7
22 Wales 6 9 8.5 +0.5 4 8.8 -4.8 +5 -0.2 +5.2 12 8.7 +3.3
23 Czech Republic 6 9 8.5 +0.5 8 8.2 -0.2 +1 0.2 +0.8 11 8.5 +2.5
24 Belgium 6 6 10.0 -4.0 9 9.5 -0.5 -3 0.5 -3.5 4 8.4 -4.4
25 Ukraine 6 8 7.8 +0.2 8 8.2 -0.2 +0 -0.4 +0.4 8 7.9 +0.1
26 Slovenia 6 7 7.5 -0.5 9 8.6 +0.4 -2 -1.1 -0.9 8 7.9 +0.1
27 Bulgaria 6 3 4.7 -1.7 6 5.1 +0.9 -3 -0.4 -2.6 9 7.5 +1.5
28 Hungary 6 4 8.2 -4.2 11 10.7 +0.3 -7 -2.5 -4.5 6 7.5 -1.5
29 Azerbaijan 6 3 9.6 -6.6 17 14.2 +2.8 -14 -4.6 -9.4 1 7.4 -6.4
30 San Marino 4 5 6.8 -1.8 3 3.8 -0.8 +2 3.0 -1.0 7 7.1 -0.1
31 Luxembourg 6 3 4.9 -1.9 7 7.2 -0.2 -4 -2.3 -1.7 3 7.0 -4.0
32 Moldova 4 5 5.0 +0.0 1 3.4 -2.4 +4 1.7 +2.3 9 6.9 +2.1
33 Faroe Islands 6 5 6.7 -1.7 6 8.4 -2.4 -1 -1.7 +0.7 6 6.9 -0.9
34 Iceland 6 10 6.7 +3.3 13 9.1 +3.9 -3 -2.4 -0.6 7 6.8 +0.2
35 Lithuania 6 4 5.2 -1.2 11 7.6 +3.4 -7 -2.4 -4.6 0 6.6 -6.6
36 Denmark 6 7 4.4 +2.6 5 7.6 -2.6 +2 -3.2 +5.2 8 6.3 +1.7
37 Belarus 6 3 4.3 -1.3 4 7.1 -3.1 -1 -2.8 +1.8 7 6.2 +0.8
38 Poland 6 9 7.9 +1.1 16 12.8 +3.2 -7 -4.9 -2.1 4 6.1 -2.1
39 Montenegro 6 4 5.4 -1.4 9 9.3 -0.3 -5 -3.9 -1.1 3 6.0 -3.0
40 Albania 6 4 4.2 -0.2 6 7.0 -1.0 -2 -2.8 +0.8 7 5.9 +1.1
41 Latvia 6 4 5.6 -1.6 11 9.0 +2.0 -7 -3.4 -3.6 4 5.8 -1.8
42 Serbia 6 3 5.9 -2.9 6 10.6 -4.6 -3 -4.6 +1.6 6 5.8 +0.2
43 Cyprus 6 4 6.1 -2.1 15 10.4 +4.6 -11 -4.3 -6.7 6 5.6 +0.4
44 Malta 4 2 3.6 -1.6 2 3.7 -1.7 +0 -0.1 +0.1 7 5.3 +1.7
45 Gibraltar 4 4 5.4 -1.4 3 5.8 -2.8 +1 -0.4 +1.4 6 5.1 +0.9
46 Finland 6 2 5.2 -3.2 13 9.7 +3.3 -11 -4.5 -6.5 0 5.1 -5.1
47 Scotland 6 7 5.6 +1.4 8 10.7 -2.7 -1 -5.1 +4.1 7 5.0 +2.0
48 Republic of Ireland 6 3 5.0 -2.0 12 13.3 -1.3 -9 -8.3 -0.7 6 4.8 +1.2
49 Liechtenstein 4 3 3.3 -0.3 6 5.9 +0.1 -3 -2.5 -0.5 2 4.2 -2.2
50 Andorra 4 0 2.0 -2.0 4 3.7 +0.3 -4 -1.6 -2.4 1 4.0 -3.0
51 Israel 6 5 3.1 +1.9 13 12.5 +0.5 -8 -9.4 +1.4 4 3.0 +1.0
52 Bosnia and Herzegovina 6 4 3.9 +0.1 17 14.1 +2.9 -13 -10.2 -2.8 2 3.0 -1.0
53 Estonia 6 3 3.4 -0.4 9 15.5 -6.5 -6 -12.1 +6.1 4 2.4 +1.6
54 Kazakhstan 6 0 1.8 -1.8 15 13.4 +1.6 -15 -11.6 -3.4 1 2.0 -1.0

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