UEFA Nations League xG Table 2022/2023

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

UEFA Nations League 2022/2023 xG table, Home

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Turkey399.5-0.532.3+0.7+67.1-1.177.7-0.7
2Scotland377.5-0.512.2-1.2+65.3+0.797.0+2.0
3France336.9-3.932.8+0.2+04.1-4.136.6-3.6
4Slovakia326.6-4.642.6+1.4-23.9-5.916.6-5.6
5Greece384.7+3.311.3-0.3+73.4+3.696.6+2.4
6Belgium396.7+2.363.9+2.1+32.8+0.265.8+0.2
7Netherlands365.4+0.642.6+1.4+22.8-0.875.8+1.2
8Northern Ireland345.8-1.843.1+0.9+02.7-2.745.8-1.8
9Georgia365.8+0.202.7-2.7+63.1+2.975.7+1.3
10Serbia385.3+2.733.0+0.0+52.3+2.765.7+0.3
11Moldova365.6+0.453.0+2.0+12.6-1.665.6+0.4
12Bosnia and Herzegovina355.4-0.423.2-1.2+32.2+0.895.6+3.4
13Ukraine344.6-0.612.8-1.8+31.9+1.155.3-0.3
14Latvia355.3-0.323.5-1.5+31.8+1.265.3+0.7
15Portugal365.2+0.813.6-2.6+51.6+3.465.2+0.8
16Kosovo385.1+2.943.6+0.4+41.5+2.565.1+0.9
17England334.9-1.973.4+3.6-41.5-5.525.1-3.1
18Denmark344.5-0.513.1-2.1+31.4+1.665.0+1.0
19North Macedonia345.2-1.243.9+0.1+01.4-1.434.9-1.9
20Republic of Ireland364.6+1.433.5-0.5+31.1+1.964.8+1.2
21Norway335.2-2.244.1-0.1-11.1-2.144.8-0.8
22Germany365.5+0.544.6-0.6+20.9+1.144.8-0.8
23Andorra334.6-1.623.6-1.6+11.0+0.054.7+0.3
24Wales323.6-1.642.8+1.2-20.8-2.814.7-3.7
25Hungary324.5-2.533.8-0.8-10.6-1.644.6-0.6
26Azerbaijan354.5+0.513.9-2.9+40.6+3.464.5+1.5
27Bulgaria385.3+2.774.6+2.4+10.6+0.444.4-0.4
28Spain343.4+0.632.9+0.1+10.5+0.544.4-0.4
29Croatia334.5-1.554.0+1.0-20.5-2.544.4-0.4
30Sweden324.8-2.844.4-0.4-20.4-2.414.4-3.4
31Romania354.8+0.244.7-0.7+10.1+0.964.2+1.8
32Belarus314.6-3.624.7-2.7-1-0.1-0.924.0-2.0
33Luxembourg332.9+0.143.1+0.9-1-0.2-0.844.0+0.0
34Switzerland333.1-0.123.1-1.1+10.0+1.063.9+2.1
35Finland343.9+0.124.3-2.3+2-0.3+2.353.9+1.1
36Italy344.7-0.725.0-3.0+2-0.3+2.373.9+3.1
37Montenegro333.6-0.634.1-1.1+0-0.4+0.443.9+0.1
38Faroe Islands343.2+0.833.5-0.5+1-0.4+1.463.8+2.2
39Estonia243.3+0.712.1-1.1+31.3+1.763.6+2.4
40Slovenia343.2+0.853.9+1.1-1-0.7-0.343.6+0.4
41Austria333.4-0.464.2+1.8-3-0.8-2.213.6-2.6
42Israel243.9+0.132.6+0.4+11.3-0.343.5+0.5
43Albania223.8-1.832.8+0.2-11.0-2.013.3-2.3
44Poland323.6-1.644.7-0.7-2-1.2-0.833.3-0.3
45Kazakhstan363.2+2.824.8-2.8+4-1.6+5.693.1+5.9
46Malta221.9+0.121.5+0.5+00.4-0.433.0+0.0
47Cyprus313.4-2.425.2-3.2-1-1.8+0.843.0+1.0
48Armenia323.7-1.795.9+3.1-7-2.2-4.832.8+0.2
49Czech Republic343.2+0.875.4+1.6-3-2.2-0.842.7+1.3
50Lithuania313.0-2.095.8+3.2-8-2.8-5.212.5-1.5
51Iceland233.2-0.233.9-0.9+0-0.7+0.722.3-0.3
52Gibraltar323.0-1.056.5-1.5-3-3.5+0.512.1-1.1
53Liechtenstein301.7-1.765.7+0.3-6-4.0-2.001.8-1.8
54San Marino201.0-1.063.9+2.1-6-3.0-3.000.9-0.9

UEFA Nations League 2022/2023 xG table, Away

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1North Macedonia336.1-3.132.4+0.6+03.7-3.746.6-2.6
2Slovakia335.5-2.522.5-0.5+13.1-2.166.2-0.2
3Latvia376.1+0.933.2-0.2+42.9+1.175.8+1.2
4Turkey394.7+4.322.3-0.3+72.4+4.665.4+0.6
5Spain344.4-0.422.8-0.8+21.6+0.475.2+1.8
6Moldova344.4-0.413.1-2.1+31.3+1.775.1+1.9
7Georgia3106.4+3.634.9-1.9+71.6+5.495.0+4.0
8France324.1-2.142.9+1.1-21.2-3.224.8-2.8
9England315.1-4.134.3-1.3-20.8-2.814.7-3.7
10Scotland344.1-0.143.7+0.3+00.5-0.544.4-0.4
11Belgium323.8-1.823.3-1.3+00.5-0.544.4-0.4
12Azerbaijan324.8-2.834.5-1.5-10.3-1.344.4-0.4
13Portugal353.5+1.523.0-1.0+30.5+2.544.3-0.3
14Netherlands384.3+3.723.9-1.9+60.3+5.794.3+4.7
15Republic of Ireland324.2-2.243.9+0.1-20.3-2.314.3-3.3
16Serbia353.4+1.623.2-1.2+30.3+2.774.3+2.7
17Bulgaria323.9-1.913.6-2.6+10.3+0.754.3+0.7
18Greece323.8-1.813.7-2.7+10.1+0.964.2+1.8
19Finland344.7-0.744.8-0.8+0-0.2+0.234.2-1.2
20Estonia263.5+2.511.6-0.6+51.9+3.164.0+2.0
21Norway344.1-0.134.2-1.2+1-0.2+1.264.0+2.0
22Sweden354.6+0.474.8+2.2-2-0.2-1.834.0-1.0
23Andorra333.2-0.253.4+1.6-2-0.2-1.833.9-0.9
24Romania313.4-2.443.7+0.3-3-0.3-2.713.8-2.8
25Montenegro333.7-0.734.1-1.1+0-0.5+0.533.8-0.8
26Germany354.1+0.954.6+0.4+0-0.6+0.633.8-0.8
27Bosnia and Herzegovina334.4-1.465.1+0.9-3-0.7-2.323.8-1.8
28Luxembourg364.4+1.635.6-2.6+3-1.2+4.273.8+3.2
29Kosovo333.6-0.644.1-0.1-1-0.5-0.533.6-0.6
30Czech Republic313.2-2.264.1+1.9-5-0.9-4.103.5-3.5
31Switzerland334.0-1.075.0+2.0-4-1.1-2.933.5-0.5
32Ukraine364.1+1.935.6-2.6+3-1.6+4.663.5+2.5
33Faroe Islands333.2-0.274.9+2.1-4-1.6-2.423.4-1.4
34Malta232.8+0.222.1-0.1+10.7+0.333.3-0.3
35Italy344.1-0.155.5-0.5-1-1.4+0.443.3+0.7
36Northern Ireland333.5-0.564.9+1.1-3-1.4-1.613.2-2.2
37Israel244.0+0.033.4-0.4+10.6+0.443.1+0.9
38Hungary363.6+2.425.2-3.2+4-1.6+5.663.1+2.9
39Croatia352.8+2.214.5-3.5+4-1.7+5.793.0+6.0
40Denmark353.7+1.345.8-1.8+1-2.0+3.062.9+3.1
41Albania222.8-0.832.8+0.2-10.0-1.012.8-1.8
42Wales343.8+0.276.1+0.9-3-2.3-0.702.8-2.8
43Belarus323.0-1.055.3-0.3-3-2.3-0.712.8-1.8
44Austria333.5-0.546.2-2.2-1-2.7+1.732.6+0.4
45Slovenia323.4-1.456.4-1.4-3-3.1+0.122.3-0.3
46Lithuania312.4-1.455.8-0.8-4-3.4-0.602.3-2.3
47Poland342.1+1.985.8+2.2-4-3.7-0.341.9+2.1
48Kazakhstan322.7-0.746.6-2.6-2-3.9+1.941.9+2.1
49Cyprus332.4+0.6106.3+3.7-7-4.0-3.011.7-0.7
50San Marino201.2-1.232.5+0.5-3-1.3-1.701.6-1.6
51Iceland232.5+0.534.6-1.6+0-2.1+2.121.6+0.4
52Armenia322.0+0.087.3+0.7-6-5.3-0.701.3-1.3
53Liechtenstein312.0-1.057.5-2.5-4-5.4+1.401.2-1.2
54Gibraltar311.4-0.4138.5+4.5-12-7.1-4.900.7-0.7

UEFA Nations League xG Table Questions

Which UEFA Nations League team is overperforming their xG the most in 2022/2023?

The Netherlands overperformed their xG by more than any other side in the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023, with 14 goals from chances worth 9.6 xG, a gap of 4.4. Serbia were next on 4.3.

Which UEFA Nations League team is underperforming their xG the most in 2022/2023?

Slovakia underperformed their xG by more than any other side in the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023, with 5 goals from chances worth 12.1 xG, a shortfall of 7.1. France and England were next on 6.0.

Which UEFA Nations League team has been the luckiest on expected points in 2022/2023?

Kazakhstan were the luckiest side in the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023, with 13 points from performances worth 5.1 xPts, 7.9 more than their chances deserved. The Netherlands were next on 5.9.

Which UEFA Nations League team has been the unluckiest on expected points in 2022/2023?

England were the unluckiest side in the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023, with 3 points from performances worth 9.8 xPts, 6.8 short of what they deserved. France and Wales were next on 6.5.

Who would be top of the UEFA Nations League on xG in 2022/2023?

Turkey would be top of the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023 on expected points, with 13.2 xPts from 14.2 xG created and 4.6 conceded across six matches. Slovakia were next on 12.7.

Which UEFA Nations League team has the most xG in 2022/2023?

Turkey created the most xG in the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023, 14.2 from six matches, 2.4 a game against a competition average of 1.4. Georgia were next on 12.2.

Which UEFA Nations League team has the least xG in 2022/2023?

San Marino created the least xG in the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023, 2.2 from four matches, 0.5 a game against a competition average of 1.4. Liechtenstein were next on 3.7.

Which UEFA Nations League team has conceded the most xG in 2022/2023?

Gibraltar conceded the most xG in the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023, 15.1 from six matches, 2.5 a game against a competition average of 1.4. Armenia were next on 13.2.

Which UEFA Nations League team has conceded the least xG in 2022/2023?

Malta conceded the least xG in the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023, 3.6 from four matches, 0.9 a game against a competition average of 1.4. Estonia were next on 3.7.

What is the average xG per game in the UEFA Nations League in 2022/2023?

UEFA Nations League teams averaged 1.41 xG a game in 2022/2023, from the 156 matches played, and scored 1.31 goals a game from it.

Did UEFA Nations League teams create more xG at home or away in 2022/2023?

UEFA Nations League teams created more xG at home in 2022/2023, 1.54 a game against 1.29 away, a home advantage of +0.25.

UEFA Nations League player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

  • UEFA Nations League Player xG Stats 2022/2023

UEFA Nations League pages

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UEFA Nations League 2022/2023 xG table

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1 Turkey 6 18 14.2 +3.8 5 4.6 +0.4 +13 9.6 +3.4 13 13.2 -0.2
2 Slovakia 6 5 12.1 -7.1 6 5.1 +0.9 -1 7.0 -8.0 7 12.7 -5.7
3 France 6 5 11.0 -6.0 7 5.6 +1.4 -2 5.4 -7.4 5 11.5 -6.5
4 North Macedonia 6 7 11.3 -4.3 7 6.2 +0.8 +0 5.0 -5.0 7 11.5 -4.5
5 Scotland 6 11 11.6 -0.6 5 5.9 -0.9 +6 5.8 +0.2 13 11.4 +1.6
6 Latvia 6 12 11.4 +0.6 5 6.6 -1.6 +7 4.7 +2.3 13 11.0 +2.0
7 Georgia 6 16 12.2 +3.8 3 7.6 -4.6 +13 4.7 +8.3 16 10.8 +5.2
8 Greece 6 10 8.6 +1.4 2 5.0 -3.0 +8 3.5 +4.5 15 10.8 +4.2
9 Moldova 6 10 9.9 +0.1 6 6.0 +0.0 +4 3.9 +0.1 13 10.7 +2.3
10 Belgium 6 11 10.5 +0.5 8 7.2 +0.8 +3 3.2 -0.2 10 10.1 -0.1
11 Netherlands 6 14 9.6 +4.4 6 6.5 -0.5 +8 3.2 +4.8 16 10.1 +5.9
12 Serbia 6 13 8.7 +4.3 5 6.2 -1.2 +8 2.6 +5.4 13 9.9 +3.1
13 England 6 4 10.0 -6.0 10 7.7 +2.3 -6 2.3 -8.3 3 9.8 -6.8
14 Spain 6 8 7.8 +0.2 5 5.7 -0.7 +3 2.1 +0.9 11 9.6 +1.4
15 Portugal 6 11 8.7 +2.3 3 6.6 -3.6 +8 2.1 +5.9 10 9.5 +0.5
16 Bosnia and Herzegovina 6 8 9.8 -1.8 8 8.3 -0.3 +0 1.5 -1.5 11 9.3 +1.7
17 Republic of Ireland 6 8 8.8 -0.8 7 7.4 -0.4 +1 1.4 -0.4 7 9.1 -2.1
18 Northern Ireland 6 7 9.2 -2.2 10 8.0 +2.0 -3 1.3 -4.3 5 9.0 -4.0
19 Azerbaijan 6 7 9.3 -2.3 4 8.4 -4.4 +3 0.9 +2.1 10 8.9 +1.1
20 Norway 6 7 9.3 -2.3 7 8.3 -1.3 +0 1.0 -1.0 10 8.8 +1.2
21 Ukraine 6 10 8.7 +1.3 4 8.4 -4.4 +6 0.3 +5.7 11 8.8 +2.2
22 Kosovo 6 11 8.8 +2.2 8 7.8 +0.2 +3 1.0 +2.0 9 8.7 +0.3
23 Bulgaria 6 10 9.1 +0.9 8 8.2 -0.2 +2 0.9 +1.1 9 8.6 +0.4
24 Andorra 6 6 7.8 -1.8 7 7.0 +0.0 -1 0.8 -1.8 8 8.6 -0.6
25 Germany 6 11 9.6 +1.4 9 9.2 -0.2 +2 0.4 +1.6 7 8.5 -1.5
26 Sweden 6 7 9.4 -2.4 11 9.2 +1.8 -4 0.2 -4.2 4 8.4 -4.4
27 Romania 6 6 8.3 -2.3 8 8.4 -0.4 -2 -0.2 -1.8 7 8.1 -1.1
28 Finland 6 8 8.6 -0.6 6 9.1 -3.1 +2 -0.5 +2.5 8 8.0 +0.0
29 Denmark 6 9 8.2 +0.8 5 8.8 -3.8 +4 -0.6 +4.6 12 7.9 +4.1
30 Hungary 6 8 8.1 -0.1 5 9.0 -4.0 +3 -0.9 +3.9 10 7.7 +2.3
31 Luxembourg 6 9 7.3 +1.7 7 8.6 -1.6 +2 -1.3 +3.3 11 7.7 +3.3
32 Estonia 4 10 6.8 +3.2 2 3.7 -1.7 +8 3.2 +4.8 12 7.6 +4.4
33 Montenegro 6 6 7.3 -1.3 6 8.2 -2.2 +0 -0.9 +0.9 7 7.6 -0.6
34 Croatia 6 8 7.3 +0.7 6 8.5 -2.5 +2 -1.2 +3.2 13 7.5 +5.5
35 Wales 6 6 7.4 -1.4 11 8.9 +2.1 -5 -1.5 -3.5 1 7.5 -6.5
36 Switzerland 6 6 7.1 -1.1 9 8.1 +0.9 -3 -1.1 -1.9 9 7.4 +1.6
37 Italy 6 8 8.8 -0.8 7 10.5 -3.5 +1 -1.7 +2.7 11 7.2 +3.8
38 Faroe Islands 6 7 6.4 +0.6 10 8.4 +1.6 -3 -2.0 -1.0 8 7.1 +0.9
39 Belarus 6 3 7.6 -4.6 7 10.0 -3.0 -4 -2.4 -1.6 3 6.8 -3.8
40 Israel 4 8 7.9 +0.1 6 6.0 +0.0 +2 1.9 +0.1 8 6.6 +1.4
41 Malta 4 5 4.6 +0.4 4 3.6 +0.4 +1 1.1 -0.1 6 6.3 -0.3
42 Austria 6 6 6.9 -0.9 10 10.4 -0.4 -4 -3.5 -0.5 4 6.3 -2.3
43 Albania 4 4 6.6 -2.6 6 5.7 +0.3 -2 1.0 -3.0 2 6.1 -4.1
44 Czech Republic 6 5 6.4 -1.4 13 9.5 +3.5 -8 -3.1 -4.9 4 6.1 -2.1
45 Slovenia 6 6 6.6 -0.6 10 10.3 -0.3 -4 -3.7 -0.3 6 6.0 +0.0
46 Poland 6 6 5.7 +0.3 12 10.6 +1.4 -6 -4.9 -1.1 7 5.2 +1.8
47 Kazakhstan 6 8 5.9 +2.1 6 11.4 -5.4 +2 -5.5 +7.5 13 5.1 +7.9
48 Lithuania 6 2 5.4 -3.4 14 11.7 +2.3 -12 -6.3 -5.7 1 4.8 -3.8
49 Cyprus 6 4 5.7 -1.7 12 11.6 +0.4 -8 -5.8 -2.2 5 4.7 +0.3
50 Armenia 6 4 5.7 -1.7 17 13.2 +3.8 -13 -7.5 -5.5 3 4.1 -1.1
51 Iceland 4 6 5.7 +0.3 6 8.5 -2.5 +0 -2.8 +2.8 4 3.9 +0.1
52 Liechtenstein 6 1 3.7 -2.7 11 13.1 -2.1 -10 -9.4 -0.6 0 3.0 -3.0
53 Gibraltar 6 3 4.5 -1.5 18 15.1 +2.9 -15 -10.6 -4.4 1 2.8 -1.8
54 San Marino 4 0 2.2 -2.2 9 6.4 +2.6 -9 -4.2 -4.8 0 2.5 -2.5

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