Campeonato Brasileiro xG Table 2026

Who the Campeonato Brasileiro xG table says is due a correction

Vasco da Gama have the biggest shortfall in the Campeonato Brasileiro: 31 points from chances worth 44.9 xPts, a gap of 13.9. At the other end, Palmeiras have taken 57 points from an xPts figure of 43.6, 13.4 more than the underlying numbers justify.

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026 xG table, Home

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Flamengo	14	28	26.4	+1.6	10	11.4	-1.4	+18	15.0	+3.0	33	28.8	+4.2
2	Vasco da Gama	14	21	32.9	-11.9	18	16.2	+1.8	+3	16.8	-13.8	23	27.0	-4.0
3	Athletico PR	14	25	23.4	+1.6	11	11.4	-0.4	+14	12.0	+2.0	31	26.3	+4.7
4	Internacional	14	16	22.6	-6.6	16	13.5	+2.5	+0	9.1	-9.1	14	25.2	-11.2
5	Fluminense	14	24	23.4	+0.6	14	14.7	-0.7	+10	8.7	+1.3	33	24.9	+8.1
6	Cruzeiro	14	24	21.2	+2.8	16	13.0	+3.0	+8	8.2	-0.2	25	24.9	+0.1
7	Bahia	14	22	22.4	-0.4	14	14.6	-0.6	+8	7.9	+0.1	24	24.7	-0.7
8	São Paulo	14	22	23.8	-1.8	12	14.2	-2.2	+10	9.6	+0.4	27	24.2	+2.8
9	Santos	14	20	18.8	+1.2	18	12.7	+5.3	+2	6.1	-4.1	22	23.2	-1.2
10	Palmeiras	13	23	19.8	+3.2	9	11.6	-2.6	+14	8.2	+5.8	30	23.0	+7.0
11	Bragantino	13	19	18.7	+0.3	14	10.9	+3.1	+5	7.8	-2.8	20	22.8	-2.8
12	Corinthians	15	15	17.0	-2.0	16	13.9	+2.1	-1	3.2	-4.2	18	22.7	-4.7
13	Atlético Mineiro	14	24	22.1	+1.9	16	16.6	-0.6	+8	5.5	+2.5	29	22.6	+6.4
14	Botafogo	14	24	20.8	+3.2	20	15.4	+4.6	+4	5.4	-1.4	21	22.6	-1.6
15	Mirassol	15	21	20.0	+1.0	21	19.9	+1.1	+0	0.0	+0.0	23	20.9	+2.1
16	Vitória	14	18	16.7	+1.3	12	16.6	-4.6	+6	0.1	+5.9	28	19.8	+8.2
17	Chapecoense	13	18	19.0	-1.0	29	18.5	+10.5	-11	0.5	-11.5	11	18.7	-7.7
18	Coritiba	14	19	15.9	+3.1	19	18.9	+0.1	+0	-3.0	+3.0	19	17.8	+1.2
19	Remo	14	18	16.5	+1.5	19	18.9	+0.1	-1	-2.5	+1.5	14	17.2	-3.2
20	Grêmio	14	22	17.4	+4.6	16	22.8	-6.8	+6	-5.4	+11.4	25	16.6	+8.4

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026 xG table, Away

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Flamengo	14	27	21.7	+5.3	13	16.3	-3.3	+14	5.3	+8.7	27	22.1	+4.9
2	Palmeiras	15	24	17.2	+6.8	12	16.9	-4.9	+12	0.4	+11.6	27	20.6	+6.4
3	Bahia	14	21	22.3	-1.3	21	21.2	-0.2	+0	1.1	-1.1	22	19.6	+2.4
4	São Paulo	14	11	17.7	-6.7	20	18.4	+1.6	-9	-0.6	-8.4	9	18.3	-9.3
5	Vasco da Gama	13	13	14.9	-1.9	23	14.6	+8.4	-10	0.3	-10.3	8	17.9	-9.9
6	Bragantino	15	14	19.5	-5.5	18	24.3	-6.3	-4	-4.8	+0.8	16	17.8	-1.8
7	Atlético Mineiro	14	13	15.7	-2.7	16	18.5	-2.5	-3	-2.8	-0.2	14	17.4	-3.4
8	Cruzeiro	14	18	17.0	+1.0	24	21.9	+2.1	-6	-4.9	-1.1	20	16.7	+3.3
9	Internacional	14	14	15.5	-1.5	20	18.7	+1.3	-6	-3.2	-2.8	14	16.2	-2.2
10	Fluminense	14	20	15.1	+4.9	22	19.3	+2.7	-2	-4.2	+2.2	15	16.2	-1.2
11	Santos	14	23	16.5	+6.5	23	21.9	+1.1	+0	-5.4	+5.4	19	15.6	+3.4
12	Athletico PR	14	18	13.8	+4.2	21	21.6	-0.6	-3	-7.8	+4.8	18	14.7	+3.3
13	Remo	14	14	15.0	-1.0	28	22.1	+5.9	-14	-7.1	-6.9	9	14.6	-5.6
14	Botafogo	14	17	14.8	+2.2	25	23.8	+1.2	-8	-9.1	+1.1	14	14.0	+0.0
15	Mirassol	13	12	14.9	-2.9	21	21.6	-0.6	-9	-6.8	-2.2	9	13.8	-4.8
16	Corinthians	13	14	8.1	+5.9	16	15.3	+0.7	-2	-7.2	+5.2	14	12.7	+1.3
17	Coritiba	14	18	13.2	+4.8	24	25.1	-1.1	-6	-11.9	+5.9	19	12.3	+6.7
18	Vitória	14	10	10.6	-0.6	30	24.4	+5.6	-20	-13.9	-6.1	5	11.2	-6.2
19	Grêmio	14	8	9.7	-1.7	22	24.0	-2.0	-14	-14.4	+0.4	4	10.6	-6.6
20	Chapecoense	14	11	12.4	-1.4	24	28.7	-4.7	-13	-16.3	+3.3	7	10.6	-3.6

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026 xG table, Last 5

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Flamengo	5	10	11.4	-1.4	2	3.6	-1.6	+8	7.8	+0.2	15	11.5	+3.5
2	Bahia	5	11	12.0	-1.0	7	6.2	+0.8	+4	5.8	-1.8	12	10.1	+1.9
3	Vasco da Gama	5	11	13.0	-2.0	7	5.4	+1.6	+4	7.6	-3.6	9	9.8	-0.8
4	São Paulo	5	6	8.7	-2.7	5	5.1	-0.1	+1	3.6	-2.6	9	9.4	-0.4
5	Palmeiras	5	7	9.4	-2.4	2	5.6	-3.6	+5	3.9	+1.1	9	9.2	-0.2
6	Botafogo	5	4	6.8	-2.8	8	5.6	+2.4	-4	1.3	-5.3	5	7.7	-2.7
7	Atlético Mineiro	5	7	7.1	-0.1	5	5.9	-0.9	+2	1.2	+0.8	10	7.6	+2.4
8	Fluminense	5	10	6.7	+3.3	8	7.0	+1.0	+2	-0.3	+2.3	10	6.7	+3.3
9	Cruzeiro	5	10	7.8	+2.2	8	9.4	-1.4	+2	-1.6	+3.6	9	6.7	+2.3
10	Chapecoense	5	6	7.9	-1.9	7	9.1	-2.1	-1	-1.2	+0.2	7	6.5	+0.5
11	Corinthians	5	4	6.1	-2.1	10	7.5	+2.5	-6	-1.4	-4.6	0	6.4	-6.4
12	Internacional	5	6	5.7	+0.3	8	6.8	+1.2	-2	-1.1	-0.9	4	6.0	-2.0
13	Santos	5	10	5.8	+4.2	5	7.0	-2.0	+5	-1.1	+6.1	15	6.0	+9.0
14	Mirassol	5	7	5.9	+1.1	6	8.0	-2.0	+1	-2.1	+3.1	8	5.6	+2.4
15	Remo	5	5	7.0	-2.0	10	9.4	+0.6	-5	-2.4	-2.6	0	5.3	-5.3
16	Athletico PR	5	12	6.3	+5.7	12	9.7	+2.3	+0	-3.4	+3.4	8	5.3	+2.7
17	Coritiba	5	9	6.2	+2.8	13	11.5	+1.5	-4	-5.3	+1.3	7	4.9	+2.1
18	Bragantino	5	5	5.6	-0.6	9	9.7	-0.7	-4	-4.0	+0.0	1	4.8	-3.8
19	Vitória	5	5	4.4	+0.6	9	8.5	+0.5	-4	-4.2	+0.2	4	4.7	-0.7
20	Grêmio	5	6	4.2	+1.8	7	10.8	-3.8	-1	-6.7	+5.7	4	3.2	+0.8

Campeonato Brasileiro xG Table Questions

Which Campeonato Brasileiro team is overperforming their xG the most this season?

Palmeiras are overperforming their xG by more than any other side in Campeonato Brasileiro in 2026, with 47 goals from chances worth 37.0 xG, a gap of 10.0. Coritiba are next on 7.9.

Which Campeonato Brasileiro team is underperforming their xG the most this season?

Vasco da Gama are underperforming their xG by more than any other side in Campeonato Brasileiro in 2026, with 34 goals from chances worth 47.8 xG, a shortfall of 13.8. São Paulo are next on 8.5.

Which Campeonato Brasileiro team has been the luckiest on expected points this season?

Palmeiras are the luckiest side in Campeonato Brasileiro in 2026, with 57 points from performances worth 43.6 xPts, 13.4 more than their chances deserved. Flamengo are next on 9.2.

Which Campeonato Brasileiro team has been the unluckiest on expected points this season?

Vasco da Gama are the unluckiest side in Campeonato Brasileiro in 2026, with 31 points from performances worth 44.9 xPts, 13.9 short of what they deserved. Internacional are next on 13.4.

Who would be top of Campeonato Brasileiro on xG this season?

Flamengo would also be top of Campeonato Brasileiro in 2026 on expected points, with 50.8 xPts from 48.1 xG created and 27.7 conceded across 28 matches. Vasco da Gama are next on 44.9.

Which Campeonato Brasileiro team has the most xG this season?

Flamengo have created the most xG in Campeonato Brasileiro in 2026, 48.1 from 28 matches, 1.7 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Vasco da Gama are next on 47.8.

Which Campeonato Brasileiro team has the least xG this season?

Corinthians have created the least xG in Campeonato Brasileiro in 2026, 25.1 from 28 matches, 0.9 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Grêmio are next on 27.0.

Which Campeonato Brasileiro team has conceded the most xG this season?

Chapecoense have conceded the most xG in Campeonato Brasileiro in 2026, 47.1 from 27 matches, 1.8 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Grêmio are next on 46.8.

Which Campeonato Brasileiro team has conceded the least xG this season?

Flamengo have conceded the least xG in Campeonato Brasileiro in 2026, 27.7 from 28 matches, 1.0 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Palmeiras are next on 28.5.

What is the average xG per game in Campeonato Brasileiro this season?

Campeonato Brasileiro teams have averaged 1.30 xG a game in 2026, from the 279 matches played, and have scored 1.33 goals a game from it. That is up from 1.27 xG a game in 2025.

Do Campeonato Brasileiro teams create more xG at home or away this season?

Campeonato Brasileiro teams create more xG at home in 2026, 1.50 a game against 1.10 away, a home advantage of +0.41, against +0.49 in 2025.

Campeonato Brasileiro player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

Campeonato Brasileiro Player xG Stats 2026

Campeonato Brasileiro pages

Betting

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026 xG table

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Flamengo	28	55	48.1	+6.9	23	27.7	-4.7	+32	20.3	+11.7	60	50.8	+9.2
2	Vasco da Gama	27	34	47.8	-13.8	41	30.8	+10.2	-7	17.1	-24.1	31	44.9	-13.9
3	Bahia	28	43	44.7	-1.7	35	35.7	-0.7	+8	9.0	-1.0	46	44.3	+1.7
4	Palmeiras	28	47	37.0	+10.0	21	28.5	-7.5	+26	8.5	+17.5	57	43.6	+13.4
5	São Paulo	28	33	41.5	-8.5	32	32.5	-0.5	+1	9.0	-8.0	36	42.6	-6.6
6	Cruzeiro	28	42	38.2	+3.8	40	34.9	+5.1	+2	3.3	-1.3	45	41.6	+3.4
7	Internacional	28	30	38.1	-8.1	36	32.1	+3.9	-6	5.9	-11.9	28	41.4	-13.4
8	Fluminense	28	44	38.5	+5.5	36	34.1	+1.9	+8	4.4	+3.6	48	41.0	+7.0
9	Athletico PR	28	43	37.2	+5.8	32	33.0	-1.0	+11	4.2	+6.8	49	41.0	+8.0
10	Bragantino	28	33	38.3	-5.3	32	35.2	-3.2	+1	3.0	-2.0	36	40.6	-4.6
11	Atlético Mineiro	28	37	37.8	-0.8	32	35.1	-3.1	+5	2.7	+2.3	43	40.0	+3.0
12	Santos	28	43	35.3	+7.7	41	34.6	+6.4	+2	0.8	+1.2	41	38.8	+2.2
13	Botafogo	28	41	35.6	+5.4	45	39.2	+5.8	-4	-3.6	-0.4	35	36.6	-1.6
14	Corinthians	28	29	25.1	+3.9	32	29.2	+2.8	-3	-4.1	+1.1	32	35.4	-3.4
15	Mirassol	28	33	34.8	-1.8	42	41.5	+0.5	-9	-6.7	-2.3	32	34.8	-2.8
16	Remo	28	32	31.4	+0.6	47	41.0	+6.0	-15	-9.5	-5.5	23	31.8	-8.8
17	Vitória	28	28	27.2	+0.8	42	41.0	+1.0	-14	-13.8	-0.2	33	31.0	+2.0
18	Coritiba	28	37	29.1	+7.9	43	44.0	-1.0	-6	-14.9	+8.9	38	30.1	+7.9
19	Chapecoense	27	29	31.4	-2.4	53	47.1	+5.9	-24	-15.7	-8.3	18	29.3	-11.3
20	Grêmio	28	30	27.0	+3.0	38	46.8	-8.8	-8	-19.8	+11.8	29	27.3	+1.7