Updated 9 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | Mirassol win | 9.0% |
| 2-1 | Mirassol win | 8.8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8.5% |
| 0-1 | Atlético-MG win | 7.6% |
| 1-2 | Atlético-MG win | 7.5% |
| 2-0 | Mirassol win | 7.2% |
| 0-2 | Atlético-MG win | 5.3% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.3% |
| 3-1 | Mirassol win | 4.1% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Mirassol clean sheet | 30% |
| Atlético-MG clean sheet | 24% |
The most likely score in Mirassol vs Atlético-MG is 1-1, a 14% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 9%. The Campeonato Brasileiro game kicks off at 21:30 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Mirassol 1.41 - 1.21 Atlético-MG in goals for Mirassol vs Atlético-MG, with over 2.5 goals 49% likely and both teams to score 54%.
Statz projects 20 players for Mirassol vs Atlético-MG on Saturday 14 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 21:30 UK time kick-off.
Mirassol host Atlético-MG at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol on 14 November 2026 at 21:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Mirassol's last five results: L W D L W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Atlético-MG's last five: W L L L L (1 win and 4 losses). In their last 3 meetings, Mirassol have won 0, Atlético-MG 2, with 1 draw.
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG kicks off at 21:30 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol. Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia holds 15,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 21:30.
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG is being played at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia in Mirassol on Saturday 14 November 2026, the home ground of Mirassol, which holds 15,000 people. Kick-off is at 21:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Mirassol have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5, with results reading L W D L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win away to Chapecoense in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 3 November.
Atlético-MG have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6, with results reading W W L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Botafogo in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 5 November.
Across the last 3 meetings Mirassol have won 0, Atlético-MG have won 2 and 1 was drawn, with Mirassol scoring 3 goals to Atlético-MG's 6. The most recent was Atlético Mineiro 3-1 Mirassol on 16 May 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Denilson leads Mirassol with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Mirassol player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Mirassol player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Bernard leads Atlético-MG with 13 shots across their last 10 games, 1.3 a game, the most of any Atlético-MG player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Atlético-MG player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Mirassol vs Atlético-MG is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Mirassol's XI from their 2-1 win at Chapecoense on Tue 3 Nov 2026, and Atlético-MG's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Botafogo on Thu 5 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Mirassol the favourite with a 40% chance of winning, against 31% for Atlético-MG and 29% for the draw. Projected goals are Mirassol 1.4 - 1.2 Atlético-MG.
The most likely score in Mirassol vs Atlético-MG is 1-1, a draw, at 14%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 49%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Mirassol vs Atlético-MG, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol | 3-1 |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol | 1-0 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro | 2-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Mirassol 1.4 - 1.2 Atlético-MG in goals. It gives Mirassol a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Atlético-MG 31%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 75% and over 2.5 goals 49%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 14% |
| 1-0 | Mirassol win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Mirassol win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
| 0-1 | Atlético-MG win | 8% |
Predicted lineups for Mirassol vs Atlético-MG are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Mirassol's XI from their 2-1 win at Chapecoense on Tue 3 Nov 2026, and Atlético-MG's XI from their 0-1 defeat at Botafogo on Thu 5 Nov 2026.
| # | Mirassol | Fouls committed | Atlético-MG | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denilson | 12 | Natanael | 10 |
| 2 | A. Luis | 8 | Fred | 8 |
| 3 | W. Machado | 8 | Lyanco | 8 |
| 4 | Alesson | 8 | R. Lodi | 7 |
| 5 | B. Santos | 7 | V. Hugo | 7 |
| # | Mirassol | Shots | Atlético-MG | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reinaldo | 21 | Bernard | 13 |
| 2 | Alesson | 19 | T. Cuello | 13 |
| 3 | B. Santos | 15 | V. Hugo | 13 |
| 4 | Eduardo | 14 | Natanael | 11 |
| 5 | I. Formiga | 13 | Reinier | 10 |
| # | Mirassol | Shots on target | Atlético-MG | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Santos | 6 | T. Cuello | 5 |
| 2 | I. Formiga | 4 | Bernard | 5 |
| 3 | Reinaldo | 4 | Natanael | 4 |
| 4 | Eduardo | 4 | R. Lodi | 4 |
| 5 | Denilson | 3 | V. Hugo | 4 |
| # | Mirassol | Goals | Atlético-MG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eduardo | 3 | Bernard | 3 |
| 2 | A. Luis | 2 | R. Lodi | 1 |
| 3 | B. Santos | 2 | I. Gomes | 1 |
| 4 | Reinaldo | 1 | V. Hugo | 1 |
| 5 | E. Carioca | 1 | T. Borbas | 1 |
| # | Mirassol | Yellow cards | Atlético-MG | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denilson | 3 | V. Hugo | 2 |
| 2 | E. Carioca | 2 | A. Franco | 2 |
| 3 | W. Machado | 2 | T. Cuello | 2 |
| 4 | W. Máximo | 2 | T. Pérez | 1 |
| 5 | N. Moura | 2 | K. Pascini | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Mirassol vs Atlético-MG: Thiago Borbas 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.67); Fred 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.22); Bernard 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 2.44 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 18 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 14 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.1 | 15 of 20 |
| Passes | 427.7 | 11 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 14 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 10 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.8 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 9 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 17 of 20 |
| Tackles | 12.9 | 20 of 20 |
| Passes | 443 | 8 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 13 of 20 |