Kilmarnock host Hearts at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock on 19 September 2026 at 17:45 in the Scottish Premiership. Kilmarnock's last five results: L L L D W (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Hearts's last five: D W W W L (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Kilmarnock have won 2, Hearts 3, with 1 draw.
Kilmarnock vs Hearts kicks off at 17:45 UK time on Saturday 19 September 2026 in the Scottish Premiership, at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
Kilmarnock vs Hearts is being played at Rugby Park in Kilmarnock, the home ground of Kilmarnock.
Kilmarnock's last five results read L L L D W (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Hearts's last five results read D W W W L (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Kilmarnock have won 2, Hearts have won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Kilmarnock 1-0 Hearts on 14 March 2026 in the Scottish Premiership.
Joe Hugill leads Kilmarnock with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Josh McPake leads Hearts with 4 assists across their last 10 games.
Duncan Nicolson is the referee for Kilmarnock vs Hearts.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Kilmarnock and Hearts are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Hearts the favourite with a 49% chance of winning, against 27% for Kilmarnock and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Kilmarnock 1.3 - 1.8 Hearts.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 60%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock vs Hearts | 1-0 |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Scottish Premiership | Hearts vs Kilmarnock | 1-1 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock vs Hearts | 0-3 |
| 18 May 2025 | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock vs Hearts | 0-1 |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Scottish Premiership | Hearts vs Kilmarnock | 3-2 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock vs Hearts | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Kilmarnock 1.3 - 1.8 Hearts in goals. It gives Kilmarnock a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hearts 49%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 60%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%), 0-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Hearts win | 10% |
| 0-1 | Hearts win | 8% |
| 0-2 | Hearts win | 7% |
| 2-1 | Kilmarnock win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Kilmarnock vs Hearts, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Kilmarnock | Fouls committed | Hearts | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Tshibola | 18 | C. Braga | 16 |
| 2 | J. Hugill | 13 | J. Altena | 14 |
| 3 | J. Brandon | 10 | P. Kabore | 8 |
| 4 | G. Kiltie | 8 | J. McCart | 6 |
| 5 | F. Curtis | 8 | O. McEntee | 5 |
| # | Kilmarnock | Shots | Hearts | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Hugill | 24 | C. Braga | 30 |
| 2 | G. Kiltie | 15 | B. Spittal | 12 |
| 3 | F. Curtis | 12 | S. Kerjota | 11 |
| 4 | A. Tshibola | 10 | J. McPake | 11 |
| 5 | T. Lowery | 8 | C. Miller | 8 |
| # | Kilmarnock | Shots on target | Hearts | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Hugill | 14 | C. Braga | 7 |
| 2 | G. Kiltie | 8 | J. McPake | 5 |
| 3 | A. Tshibola | 6 | B. Spittal | 3 |
| 4 | F. Curtis | 5 | J. Altena | 3 |
| 5 | T. Lowery | 3 | C. Miller | 3 |
| # | Kilmarnock | Goals | Hearts | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Hugill | 6 | J. Wilson | 3 |
| 2 | F. Curtis | 4 | C. Braga | 2 |
| 3 | N. Clescenco | 1 | J. McPake | 2 |
| 4 | T. Lowery | 1 | B. Spittal | 1 |
| 5 | R. Deas | 1 | S. Kingsley | 1 |
| # | Kilmarnock | Yellow cards | Hearts | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Hugill | 4 | J. Altena | 2 |
| 2 | B. Rice | 2 | B. Spittal | 1 |
| 3 | T. John-Jules | 2 | S. Findlay | 1 |
| 4 | D. Thompson | 1 | J. McPake | 1 |
| 5 | R. Deas | 1 | S. Kerjota | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 10 of 12 |
| Goals against | 2.3 | 12 of 12 |
| Shots | 10.8 | 10 of 12 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 | 6 of 12 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 7 of 12 |
| Tackles | 15 | 9 of 12 |
| Passes | 400.2 | 9 of 12 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 6 of 12 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.2 | 2 of 12 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 5 of 12 |
| Shots | 16.2 | 5 of 12 |
| Shots on target | 5.7 | 3 of 12 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 6 of 12 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 7 of 12 |
| Passes | 435 | 6 of 12 |
| Corners | 7.8 | 3 of 12 |