Hamburg host Stuttgart at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg on 17 October 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga. Hamburg's last five results: L L L W W (2 wins and 3 losses). Stuttgart's last five: W L L W W (3 wins and 2 losses). In their last 2 meetings, Hamburg have won 1, Stuttgart 1, with 0 draws.
Hamburg vs Stuttgart kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg.
Hamburg vs Stuttgart is being played at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, the home ground of Hamburg.
Hamburg's last five results read L L L W W (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Stuttgart's last five results read W L L W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Across the last 2 meetings Hamburg have won 1, Stuttgart have won 1 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Hamburger SV on 12 April 2026 in the Bundesliga.
Albert Grønbæk leads Hamburg with 4 assists across their last 10 games.
Ermedin Demirovic leads Stuttgart with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Robert Hartmann is the referee for Hamburg vs Stuttgart, averaging 29.5 fouls and 8.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Hamburg and Stuttgart are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Stuttgart the favourite with a 50% chance of winning, against 27% for Hamburg and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Hamburg 1.5 - 2.0 Stuttgart.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 10%. Both teams to score is 68% likely and over 2.5 goals 68%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV | 4-0 |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Bundesliga | Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Hamburg 1.5 - 2.0 Stuttgart in goals. It gives Hamburg a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stuttgart 50%. Both teams to score is 68% likely, over 1.5 goals 87% and over 2.5 goals 68%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-3 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | Stuttgart win | 9% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 2-1 | Hamburg win | 7% |
| 1-3 | Stuttgart win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Hamburg vs Stuttgart, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Hamburg | Fouls committed | Stuttgart | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Capaldo | 19 | D. Undav | 12 |
| 2 | N. Remberg | 11 | E. Demirovic | 11 |
| 3 | A. Lokonga | 10 | A. Stiller | 10 |
| 4 | O. Stange | 10 | J. Chabot | 10 |
| 5 | J. Torunarigha | 9 | R. Hendriks | 5 |
| # | Hamburg | Shots | Stuttgart | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Vieira | 23 | E. Demirovic | 23 |
| 2 | A. Grønbæk | 10 | D. Undav | 19 |
| 3 | N. Capaldo | 10 | B. Khannouss | 15 |
| 4 | P. Daka | 8 | C. Führich | 12 |
| 5 | O. Stange | 7 | J. Leweling | 10 |
| # | Hamburg | Shots on target | Stuttgart | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Vieira | 10 | E. Demirovic | 13 |
| 2 | A. Grønbæk | 5 | C. Führich | 7 |
| 3 | N. Capaldo | 3 | B. Khannouss | 6 |
| 4 | T. Moffi | 3 | D. Undav | 6 |
| 5 | Y. Poulsen | 3 | J. Chabot | 5 |
| # | Hamburg | Goals | Stuttgart | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Vieira | 2 | E. Demirovic | 4 |
| 2 | Y. Poulsen | 2 | C. Führich | 3 |
| 3 | A. Grønbæk | 1 | M. Mittelstädt | 2 |
| 4 | B. Jatta | 1 | J. Vagnoman | 2 |
| 5 | L. Vuskovic | 1 | T. Tomás | 1 |
| # | Hamburg | Yellow cards | Stuttgart | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Capaldo | 4 | M. Mittelstädt | 2 |
| 2 | A. Lokonga | 2 | E. Demirovic | 2 |
| 3 | B. Jatta | 1 | B. Khannouss | 1 |
| 4 | M. Muheim | 1 | T. Tomás | 1 |
| 5 | N. Remberg | 1 | C. Führich | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Hamburg vs Stuttgart: Fábio Vieira 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.50); Sebastiaan Bornauw 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.33); Deniz Undav 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.18); Atakan Karazor 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.29). Combined odds 3.04 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 17 of 18 |
| Goals against | 3 | 15 of 18 |
| Shots | 10.6 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 3.8 | 16 of 18 |
| Fouls | 14.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15 | 10 of 18 |
| Passes | 352.6 | 17 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 15 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 12 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 10 of 18 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 10 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 8 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 13 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15 | 11 of 18 |
| Passes | 482.4 | 6 of 18 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6 of 18 |