Hungary host Ukraine at Puskás Aréna, Budapest on 25 September 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Hungary's last five results: L W D W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Ukraine's last five: L W L W W (3 wins and 2 losses).
Hungary vs Ukraine kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 25 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Puskás Aréna, Budapest.
Hungary vs Ukraine is being played at Puskás Aréna in Budapest, the home ground of Hungary.
Hungary's last five results read L W D W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Ukraine's last five results read L W L W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Barnabás Varga leads Hungary with 7 goals across their last 10 games.
Oleksiy Gutsulyak leads Ukraine with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Jarred Gillett is the referee for Hungary vs Ukraine, averaging 22.5 fouls and 3.8 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Hungary and Ukraine are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Hungary the favourite with a 49% chance of winning, against 26% for Ukraine and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Hungary 1.6 - 1.1 Ukraine.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 53% likely and over 2.5 goals 51%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Hungary 1.6 - 1.1 Ukraine in goals. It gives Hungary a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ukraine 26%. Both teams to score is 53% likely, over 1.5 goals 75% and over 2.5 goals 51%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 0-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-0 | Hungary win | 11% |
| 2-1 | Hungary win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Hungary win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Ukraine win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Hungary vs Ukraine, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Hungary | Fouls committed | Ukraine | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Dárdai | 5 | O. Zinchenko | 1 |
| 2 | Z. Nagy | 2 |
| # | Hungary | Shots | Ukraine | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Nagy | 4 | O. Zinchenko | 1 |
| # | Hungary | Shots on target | Ukraine | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Sallai | 10 | O. Zubkov | 5 |
| 2 | B. Varga | 8 | R. Malinovskyi | 5 |
| 3 | D. Szoboszlai | 8 | O. Gutsulyak | 4 |
| 4 | D. Lukács | 4 | V. Vanat | 3 |
| 5 | B. Bolla | 3 | A. Dovbyk | 3 |
| # | Hungary | Goals | Ukraine | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Varga | 7 | O. Gutsulyak | 4 |
| 2 | D. Lukács | 2 | R. Malinovskyi | 3 |
| 3 | D. Szoboszlai | 2 | O. Zubkov | 1 |
| 4 | R. Sallai | 1 | G. Sudakov | 1 |
| 5 | Z. Gruber | 1 | O. Ocheretko | 1 |
| # | Hungary | Yellow cards | Ukraine | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Dárdai | 1 | O. Zinchenko | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Hungary vs Ukraine: Dominik Szoboszlai 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.36); Alex Tóth 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.30); Roland Sallai 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.22). Combined odds 2.02 at bet365.