Poland host Bosnia at Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa on 25 September 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Poland's last five results: W W L L D (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Bosnia's last five: D D L W L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses).
Poland vs Bosnia kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 25 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa.
Poland vs Bosnia is being played at Stadion Narodowy in Warszawa, the home ground of Poland.
Poland's last five results read W W L L D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Bosnia's last five results read D D L W L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Robert Lewandowski leads Poland with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Dzenis Burnic leads Bosnia with 1 shots across their last 10 games.
Anastasios Papapetrou is the referee for Poland vs Bosnia, averaging 22.3 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Poland and Bosnia are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Poland the favourite with a 58% chance of winning, against 20% for Bosnia and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Poland 1.8 - 1.0 Bosnia.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a Poland win, at 11%. Both teams to score is 52% likely and over 2.5 goals 53%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Poland 1.8 - 1.0 Bosnia in goals. It gives Poland a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bosnia 20%. Both teams to score is 52% likely, over 1.5 goals 77% and over 2.5 goals 53%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Poland win | 11% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-0 | Poland win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Poland win | 10% |
| 3-0 | Poland win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Poland vs Bosnia, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Poland | Fouls committed | Bosnia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 4 | D. Burnic | 2 |
| # | Poland | Shots | Bosnia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 3 | D. Burnic | 1 |
| # | Poland | Shots on target | Bosnia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 1 | E. Demirovic | 8 |
| 2 | E. Bajraktarevic | 4 | ||
| 3 | K. Alajbegovic | 4 | ||
| 4 | H. Tabakovic | 3 | ||
| 5 | E. Džeko | 3 |
| # | Poland | Goals | Bosnia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Lewandowski | 4 | H. Tabakovic | 3 |
| 2 | P. Zieliński | 3 | E. Džeko | 2 |
| 3 | M. Cash | 2 | E. Mahmic | 2 |
| 4 | J. Kamiński | 2 | E. Bajraktarevic | 1 |
| 5 | K. Świderski | 2 | J. Lukic | 1 |
| # | Poland | Yellow cards | Bosnia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 2 | D. Burnic | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Poland vs Bosnia: Esmir Bajraktarevic 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33); Robert Lewandowski 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.36); Armin Gigovic 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.22); Ermedin Demirovic 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.67). Combined odds 2.97 at bet365.