Sweden host Romania at Strawberry Arena, Solna on 25 September 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Sweden's last five results: D W L D L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Romania's last five: W L L D W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses).
Sweden vs Romania kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 25 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Strawberry Arena, Solna.
Sweden vs Romania is being played at Strawberry Arena in Solna, the home ground of Sweden.
Sweden's last five results read D W L D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Romania's last five results read W L L D W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Viktor Gyökeres leads Sweden with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Florinel Coman leads Romania with 2 shots across their last 10 games.
Ondřej Berka is the referee for Sweden vs Romania, averaging 32.5 fouls and 3.5 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Sweden and Romania are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Sweden the favourite with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Romania and 20% for the draw. Projected goals are Sweden 2.1 - 1.0 Romania.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a Sweden win, at 10%. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Sweden 2.1 - 1.0 Romania in goals. It gives Sweden a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Romania 17%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 3-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Sweden win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Sweden win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Sweden win | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 3-0 | Sweden win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Sweden vs Romania, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Sweden | Fouls committed | Romania | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Krafth | 1 | A. Dobre | 6 |
| 2 | A. Burcă | 3 | ||
| 3 | C. Manea | 2 | ||
| 4 | F. Coman | 1 | ||
| 5 | C. Cîrjan | 1 |
| # | Sweden | Shots | Romania | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Gyökeres | 18 | F. Coman | 2 |
| 2 | A. Isak | 11 | C. Manea | 1 |
| 3 | Y. Ayari | 9 | C. Cîrjan | 1 |
| 4 | M. Svanberg | 8 | A. Mitriță | 1 |
| 5 | A. Bernhardsson | 7 |
| # | Sweden | Shots on target | Romania | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Gyökeres | 12 | F. Coman | 2 |
| 2 | A. Isak | 7 | ||
| 3 | A. Elanga | 6 | ||
| 4 | A. Bernhardsson | 4 | ||
| 5 | Y. Ayari | 4 |
| # | Sweden | Goals | Romania | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Gyökeres | 6 | F. Coman | 1 |
| 2 | A. Elanga | 3 | ||
| 3 | A. Isak | 2 | ||
| 4 | Y. Ayari | 2 | ||
| 5 | G. Lundgren | 1 |
| # | Sweden | Yellow cards | Romania | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Karlström | 2 | A. Burcă | 2 |
| 2 | Y. Ayari | 2 | ||
| 3 | L. Bergvall | 2 | ||
| 4 | H. Johansson | 1 | ||
| 5 | B. Zeneli | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Sweden vs Romania: Jesper Karlström 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.80); Emil Holm 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.57); Gabriel Gudmundsson 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 3.02 at bet365.