Slovenia host Scotland at Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana on 26 September 2026 at 14:00 in the UEFA Nations League. Slovenia's last five results: D L W D L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Scotland's last five: W W W L L (3 wins and 2 losses).
Slovenia vs Scotland kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Saturday 26 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana.
Slovenia vs Scotland is being played at Stadion Stožice in Ljubljana, the home ground of Slovenia.
Slovenia's last five results read D L W D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Scotland's last five results read W W W L L (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Adam Gnezda Cerin leads Slovenia with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Lawrence Shankland leads Scotland with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Slovenia and Scotland are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Slovenia the favourite with a 39% chance of winning, against 33% for Scotland and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Slovenia 1.2 - 1.1 Scotland.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 46% likely and over 2.5 goals 40%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Slovenia 1.2 - 1.1 Scotland in goals. It gives Slovenia a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Scotland 33%. Both teams to score is 46% likely, over 1.5 goals 67% and over 2.5 goals 40%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%), 2-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Slovenia win | 12% |
| 0-1 | Scotland win | 11% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Slovenia win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Slovenia vs Scotland, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Slovenia | Fouls committed | Scotland | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Bijol | 11 | L. Ferguson | 19 |
| 2 | P. Stojanović | 10 | J. McGinn | 9 |
| 3 | V. Drkusic | 10 | C. Adams | 8 |
| 4 | A. Cerin | 9 | B. Gannon-Doak | 8 |
| 5 | S. Seslar | 7 | S. McTominay | 8 |
| # | Slovenia | Shots | Scotland | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Vipotnik | 12 | S. McTominay | 22 |
| 2 | T. Elsnik | 10 | C. Adams | 15 |
| 3 | D. Sturm | 9 | L. Shankland | 14 |
| 4 | B. Sesko | 8 | B. Gannon-Doak | 11 |
| 5 | A. Cerin | 7 | R. Christie | 11 |
| # | Slovenia | Shots on target | Scotland | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Vipotnik | 6 | S. McTominay | 11 |
| 2 | A. Sporar | 3 | L. Shankland | 7 |
| 3 | T. Elsnik | 2 | C. Adams | 6 |
| 4 | T. Horvat | 2 | R. Christie | 6 |
| 5 | B. Sesko | 2 | B. Gannon-Doak | 5 |
| # | Slovenia | Goals | Scotland | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Vipotnik | 3 | L. Shankland | 4 |
| 2 | S. Lovrić | 1 | S. McTominay | 3 |
| 3 | T. Elsnik | 1 | C. Adams | 3 |
| 4 | D. Sturm | 1 | R. Christie | 2 |
| 5 | A. Sporar | 1 | K. Tierney | 1 |
| # | Slovenia | Yellow cards | Scotland | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Cerin | 3 | K. McLean | 2 |
| 2 | V. Drkusic | 2 | K. Tierney | 1 |
| 3 | Z. Karnicnik | 2 | J. McGinn | 1 |
| 4 | D. Petrovic | 1 | J. Souttar | 1 |
| 5 | S. Seslar | 1 | L. Ferguson | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Slovenia vs Scotland: Adam Gnezda Cerin 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.50); John McGinn 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.14); David Brekalo 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.40). Combined odds 2.39 at bet365.