Poland host Romania at Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa on 2 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Poland's last five results: L L D D L (2 draws and 3 losses). Romania's last five: L D W L L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses).
Poland vs Romania kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 2 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa.
Poland vs Romania is being played at Stadion Narodowy in Warszawa, the home ground of Poland.
Poland's last five results read L L D D L (oldest to newest): 2 draws and 3 losses.
Romania's last five results read L D W L L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Krzysztof Piatek leads Poland with 3 shots across their last 10 games.
Florinel Coman leads Romania with 2 shots across their last 10 games.
Urs Schnyder is the referee for Poland vs Romania, averaging 24.0 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Poland and Romania are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Poland the favourite with a 60% chance of winning, against 18% for Romania and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are Poland 1.9 - 0.9 Romania.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a Poland win, at 12%. Both teams to score is 51% likely and over 2.5 goals 53%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Poland 1.9 - 0.9 Romania in goals. It gives Poland a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Romania 18%. Both teams to score is 51% likely, over 1.5 goals 77% and over 2.5 goals 53%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Poland win | 12% |
| 2-0 | Poland win | 11% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Poland win | 10% |
| 3-0 | Poland win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Poland vs Romania, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Poland | Fouls committed | Romania | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 4 | A. Burcă | 2 |
| 2 | C. Manea | 2 | ||
| 3 | F. Coman | 1 | ||
| 4 | C. Cîrjan | 1 |
| # | Poland | Shots | Romania | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 3 | F. Coman | 2 |
| 2 | C. Manea | 1 | ||
| 3 | C. Cîrjan | 1 |
| # | Poland | Shots on target | Romania | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 1 | F. Coman | 2 |
| # | Poland | Goals | Romania | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Lewandowski | 3 | F. Coman | 1 |
| 2 | P. Zieliński | 3 | ||
| 3 | K. Świderski | 2 | ||
| 4 | S. Szymanski | 2 | ||
| 5 | P. Wszolek | 1 |
| # | Poland | Yellow cards | Romania | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Piatek | 2 | A. Burcă | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Poland vs Romania: Matty Cash 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.29); Przemysław Wiśniewski 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.40). Combined odds 1.81 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 33 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 37 of 54 |
| Shots | 16 | 13 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 15 of 54 |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 19 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17 | 12 of 54 |
| Passes | 448 | 32 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 31 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 20 of 54 |
| Goals against | 3 | 52 of 54 |
| Shots | 11.5 | 31 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 2.5 | 41 of 54 |
| Fouls | 16 | 8 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12.5 | 40 of 54 |
| Passes | 492 | 22 of 54 |
| Corners | 2 | 45 of 54 |