North Macedonia host Scotland at Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje on 3 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. North Macedonia's last five results: D L L L L (1 draw and 4 losses). Scotland's last five: W L L D L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses).
North Macedonia vs Scotland kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Saturday 3 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje.
North Macedonia vs Scotland is being played at Toše Proeski Arena in Skopje, the home ground of North Macedonia.
North Macedonia's last five results read D L L L L (oldest to newest): 1 draw and 4 losses.
Scotland's last five results read W L L D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Milan Ristovski leads North Macedonia with 7 shots across their last 10 games.
Lawrence Shankland leads Scotland with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
François Letexier is the referee for North Macedonia vs Scotland, averaging 19.8 fouls and 2.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for North Macedonia and Scotland are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Scotland the favourite with a 53% chance of winning, against 21% for North Macedonia and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are North Macedonia 0.9 - 1.5 Scotland.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1, a Scotland win, at 14%. Both teams to score is 44% likely and over 2.5 goals 42%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects North Macedonia 0.9 - 1.5 Scotland in goals. It gives North Macedonia a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Scotland 53%. Both teams to score is 44% likely, over 1.5 goals 68% and over 2.5 goals 42%. The most likely scorelines are 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-0 (10%), 1-2 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Scotland win | 14% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-2 | Scotland win | 11% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | Scotland win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for North Macedonia vs Scotland, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | North Macedonia | Fouls committed | Scotland | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Alimi | 6 | L. Ferguson | 23 |
| 2 | A. Stojcevski | 5 | A. Robertson | 9 |
| 3 | S. Aškovski | 5 | R. Christie | 7 |
| 4 | M. Ristovski | 2 | S. McTominay | 6 |
| 5 | S. Despotovski | 2 | J. McGinn | 6 |
| # | North Macedonia | Shots | Scotland | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Ristovski | 7 | S. McTominay | 17 |
| 2 | A. Stojcevski | 4 | L. Shankland | 14 |
| 3 | I. Alimi | 2 | R. Christie | 10 |
| 4 | J. McGinn | 9 | ||
| 5 | G. Hirst | 9 |
| # | North Macedonia | Shots on target | Scotland | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Ristovski | 3 | S. McTominay | 8 |
| 2 | L. Shankland | 7 | ||
| 3 | R. Christie | 5 | ||
| 4 | C. Adams | 4 | ||
| 5 | K. McLean | 2 |
| # | North Macedonia | Goals | Scotland | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Bardhi | 1 | L. Shankland | 4 |
| 2 | B. Miovski | 1 | S. McTominay | 2 |
| 3 | C. Adams | 2 | ||
| 4 | K. Tierney | 1 | ||
| 5 | K. McLean | 1 |
| # | North Macedonia | Yellow cards | Scotland | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Aškovski | 1 | K. McLean | 2 |
| 2 | I. Alimi | 1 | A. Robertson | 2 |
| 3 | A. Stojcevski | 1 | K. Tierney | 1 |
| 4 | R. Christie | 1 | ||
| 5 | A. Hickey | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for North Macedonia vs Scotland: Lewis Ferguson 2+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.70). Combined odds 1.7 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0 | 48 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2.5 | 51 of 54 |
| Shots | 5.5 | 51 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 0.5 | 51 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9 | 49 of 54 |
| Tackles | 15 | 19 of 54 |
| Passes | 442.5 | 34 of 54 |
| Corners | 1.5 | 51 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0 | 50 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 40 of 54 |
| Shots | 9.5 | 41 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 2.5 | 46 of 54 |
| Fouls | 16 | 8 of 54 |
| Tackles | 7.5 | 53 of 54 |
| Passes | 400.5 | 41 of 54 |
| Corners | 3 | 37 of 54 |