Turkey host France at İsmetpaşa Stadyumu, İzmit on 25 September 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Turkey's last five results: W W L L W (3 wins and 2 losses). France's last five: W W W L L (3 wins and 2 losses).
Turkey vs France kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 25 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at İsmetpaşa Stadyumu, İzmit.
Turkey vs France is being played at İsmetpaşa Stadyumu in İzmit, the home ground of Turkey.
Turkey's last five results read W W L L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
France's last five results read W W W L L (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Kerem Aktürkoğlu leads Turkey with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Kylian Mbappé leads France with 10 goals across their last 10 games.
Felix Zwayer is the referee for Turkey vs France, averaging 15.3 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Turkey and France are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes France the favourite with a 59% chance of winning, against 20% for Turkey and 21% for the draw. Projected goals are Turkey 1.1 - 2.0 France.
The most likely scoreline is 1-2, a France win, at 10%. Both teams to score is 58% likely and over 2.5 goals 60%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Turkey 1.1 - 2.0 France in goals. It gives Turkey a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and France 59%. Both teams to score is 58% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 60%. The most likely scorelines are 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | France win | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 0-2 | France win | 9% |
| 0-1 | France win | 9% |
| 1-3 | France win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Turkey vs France, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Turkey | Fouls committed | France | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | İ. Yüksek | 14 | A. Rabiot | 16 |
| 2 | B. Yılmaz | 13 | L. Digne | 8 |
| 3 | A. Güler | 12 | J. Koundé | 8 |
| 4 | H. Çalhanoğlu | 7 | D. Upamecano | 7 |
| 5 | A. Bardakcı | 7 | K. Mbappé | 6 |
| # | Turkey | Shots | France | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Çalhanoğlu | 25 | K. Mbappé | 48 |
| 2 | A. Güler | 23 | M. Olise | 26 |
| 3 | K. Yıldız | 22 | O. Dembélé | 21 |
| 4 | K. Aktürkoğlu | 17 | D. Doué | 14 |
| 5 | B. Yılmaz | 11 | A. Rabiot | 11 |
| # | Turkey | Shots on target | France | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Güler | 7 | K. Mbappé | 25 |
| 2 | B. Yılmaz | 6 | M. Olise | 10 |
| 3 | K. Yıldız | 5 | O. Dembélé | 10 |
| 4 | M. Demiral | 4 | D. Doué | 9 |
| 5 | K. Aktürkoğlu | 4 | B. Barcola | 5 |
| # | Turkey | Goals | France | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Yılmaz | 3 | K. Mbappé | 10 |
| 2 | D. Gül | 2 | O. Dembélé | 6 |
| 3 | M. Demiral | 2 | B. Barcola | 3 |
| 4 | Y. Akgün | 2 | M. Olise | 3 |
| 5 | K. Aktürkoğlu | 2 | D. Doué | 1 |
| # | Turkey | Yellow cards | France | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Aktürkoğlu | 3 | M. Koné | 1 |
| 2 | İ. Yüksek | 2 | M. Olise | 1 |
| 3 | M. Demiral | 1 | B. Barcola | 1 |
| 4 | S. Özcan | 1 | K. Mbappé | 1 |
| 5 | A. Bayındır | 1 | A. Rabiot | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Turkey vs France: Michael Olise 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.33); Adrien Rabiot 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33); Jules Koundé 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.53); Désiré Doué 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.17). Combined odds 3.17 at bet365.