Netherlands host Serbia at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven on 4 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Netherlands's last five results: W D D W D (2 wins and 3 draws). Serbia's last five: L W L L L (1 win and 4 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Netherlands have won 1, Serbia 0, with 0 draws.
Netherlands vs Serbia kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 4 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.
Netherlands vs Serbia is being played at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven, the home ground of Netherlands.
Netherlands's last five results read W D D W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 draws.
Serbia's last five results read L W L L L (oldest to newest): 1 win and 4 losses.
Across the last 1 meetings Netherlands have won 1, Serbia have won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Serbia 1-2 Netherlands on 27 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Cody Gakpo leads Netherlands with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Nemanja Radonjić leads Serbia with 2 shots across their last 10 games.
Donatas Rumšas is the referee for Netherlands vs Serbia, averaging 20.8 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Netherlands and Serbia are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Netherlands the favourite with a 78% chance of winning, against 8% for Serbia and 14% for the draw. Projected goals are Netherlands 2.6 - 0.7 Serbia.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a Netherlands win, at 13%. Both teams to score is 46% likely and over 2.5 goals 63%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Serbia vs Netherlands | 1-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Netherlands 2.6 - 0.7 Serbia in goals. It gives Netherlands a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Serbia 8%. Both teams to score is 46% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 63%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Netherlands win | 13% |
| 3-0 | Netherlands win | 11% |
| 1-0 | Netherlands win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Netherlands win | 9% |
| 3-1 | Netherlands win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Netherlands vs Serbia, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Netherlands | Fouls committed | Serbia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Dumfries | 11 | S. Lukić | 10 |
| 2 | R. Gravenberch | 8 | S. Pavlović | 7 |
| 3 | B. Brobbey | 7 | F. Kostić | 6 |
| 4 | M. Ven | 7 | N. Maksimovic | 4 |
| 5 | C. Summerville | 7 | N. Milenković | 3 |
| # | Netherlands | Shots | Serbia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Gakpo | 20 | N. Radonjić | 2 |
| 2 | T. Reijnders | 18 | ||
| 3 | C. Summerville | 13 | ||
| 4 | R. Gravenberch | 11 | ||
| 5 | D. Malen | 10 |
| # | Netherlands | Shots on target | Serbia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Gakpo | 12 | N. Radonjić | 2 |
| 2 | T. Reijnders | 6 | ||
| 3 | C. Summerville | 6 | ||
| 4 | M. Meerdink | 5 | ||
| 5 | D. Malen | 4 |
| # | Netherlands | Goals | Serbia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Gakpo | 6 | A. Stanković | 1 |
| 2 | B. Brobbey | 3 | C. Chambian | 1 |
| 3 | V. Dijk | 2 | S. Pavlović | 1 |
| 4 | C. Summerville | 2 | A. Mitrović | 1 |
| 5 | M. Meerdink | 2 | L. Jović | 1 |
| # | Netherlands | Yellow cards | Serbia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Summerville | 2 | F. Kostić | 2 |
| 2 | M. Depay | 1 | V. Dragojevic | 2 |
| 3 | M. Ven | 1 | N. Maksimovic | 1 |
| 4 | N. Lang | 1 | N. Gudelj | 1 |
| 5 | J. Timber | 1 | S. Lukić | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Netherlands vs Serbia: Denzel Dumfries 2+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.73); Strahinja Pavlović 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.29); Andrija Zivkovic 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.73); Luka Jović 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 4.83 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 21 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 34 of 54 |
| Shots | 22 | 2 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 7.7 | 2 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 47 of 54 |
| Tackles | 14.3 | 29 of 54 |
| Passes | 553.3 | 11 of 54 |
| Corners | 8 | 2 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.7 | 42 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2 | 46 of 54 |
| Shots | 7 | 49 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3.7 | 36 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 43 of 54 |
| Tackles | 18.3 | 5 of 54 |
| Passes | 315.3 | 51 of 54 |
| Corners | 2 | 49 of 54 |