São Paulo host Santos at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo on 3 October 2026 at 00:00 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. São Paulo's last five results: W L L D W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Santos's last five: W W W L W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, São Paulo have won 2, Santos 2, with 2 draws.
São Paulo vs Santos kicks off at 00:00 UK time on Saturday 3 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo.
São Paulo vs Santos is being played at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo in São Paulo, the home ground of São Paulo.
São Paulo's last five results read W L L D W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Santos's last five results read W W W L W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings São Paulo have won 2, Santos have won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Santos 1-1 São Paulo on 4 February 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Pablo Maia leads São Paulo with 15 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Matheus Delgado Candançan is the referee for São Paulo vs Santos.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for São Paulo and Santos are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes São Paulo the favourite with a 46% chance of winning, against 26% for Santos and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are São Paulo 1.5 - 1.1 Santos.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 53% likely and over 2.5 goals 48%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos vs São Paulo | 1-1 |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos vs São Paulo | 1-0 |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Santos | 2-1 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos vs São Paulo | 0-0 |
| 16 Jul 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Santos | 4-1 |
| 21 Aug 2022 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos vs São Paulo | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects São Paulo 1.5 - 1.1 Santos in goals. It gives São Paulo a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Santos 26%. Both teams to score is 53% likely, over 1.5 goals 74% and over 2.5 goals 48%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%), 2-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | São Paulo win | 10% |
| 2-1 | São Paulo win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
| 2-0 | São Paulo win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for São Paulo vs Santos, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | São Paulo | Fouls committed | Santos | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Maia | 15 | C. Oliva | 12 |
| 2 | L. Ramon | 12 | G. Escobar | 12 |
| 3 | Wendell | 11 | I. Vinícius | 11 |
| 4 | J. Calleri | 11 | G. Henrique | 9 |
| 5 | L. Oliveira | 9 | L. Peres | 8 |
| # | São Paulo | Shots | Santos | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artur | 23 | Á. Barreal | 24 |
| 2 | Luciano | 21 | Neymar | 23 |
| 3 | P. Maia | 15 | G. Barbosa | 19 |
| 4 | Ferreirinha | 12 | Rony | 14 |
| 5 | J. Calleri | 9 | B. Rollheiser | 12 |
| # | São Paulo | Shots on target | Santos | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artur | 5 | Neymar | 11 |
| 2 | Luciano | 5 | Á. Barreal | 8 |
| 3 | J. Calleri | 4 | G. Barbosa | 7 |
| 4 | G. Santana | 4 | Rony | 4 |
| 5 | R. Arboleda | 3 | G. Bontempo | 4 |
| # | São Paulo | Goals | Santos | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Calleri | 2 | G. Barbosa | 5 |
| 2 | Luciano | 2 | Á. Barreal | 3 |
| 3 | G. Santana | 1 | C. Oliva | 2 |
| 4 | P. Maia | 1 | Neymar | 2 |
| 5 | Artur | 1 | Rony | 1 |
| # | São Paulo | Yellow cards | Santos | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Calleri | 3 | G. Barbosa | 3 |
| 2 | P. Maia | 2 | Á. Barreal | 3 |
| 3 | A. Silva | 2 | W. Arão | 2 |
| 4 | Luciano | 2 | G. Brazão | 2 |
| 5 | Djhordney | 1 | L. Veríssimo | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for São Paulo vs Santos: Gabriel Barbosa 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.62); Rafael Tolói 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.25); Luciano 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.36); Christian Oliva 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.73). Combined odds 4.05 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 16 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 14 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.4 | 8 of 20 |
| Passes | 456.7 | 3 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 1 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 7 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 12 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 15 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 15 of 20 |
| Tackles | 18.5 | 1 of 20 |
| Passes | 430.9 | 10 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 7 of 20 |