Atlético-MG host Bragantino at Arena MRV on 3 October 2026 at 22:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Atlético-MG's last five results: L L W W D (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Bragantino's last five: W L L D L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Atlético-MG have won 3, Bragantino 2, with 1 draw.
Atlético-MG vs Bragantino kicks off at 22:30 UK time on Saturday 3 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena MRV.
Atlético-MG vs Bragantino is being played at Arena MRV, the home ground of Atlético-MG.
Atlético-MG's last five results read L L W W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Bragantino's last five results read W L L D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings Atlético-MG have won 3, Bragantino have won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Atlético Mineiro 2-2 Bragantino on 19 August 2026 in the Copa Sudamericana.
Angelo Preciado leads Atlético-MG with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Juninho Capixaba leads Bragantino with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Lucas Casagrande is the referee for Atlético-MG vs Bragantino.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Atlético-MG and Bragantino are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Atlético-MG the favourite with a 46% chance of winning, against 26% for Bragantino and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Atlético-MG 1.5 - 1.1 Bragantino.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 53% likely and over 2.5 goals 49%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | Copa Sudamericana | Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino | 2-2 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Copa Sudamericana | Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro | 0-1 |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro | 1-0 |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro | 2-0 |
| 3 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino | 2-1 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino | 3-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Atlético-MG 1.5 - 1.1 Bragantino in goals. It gives Atlético-MG a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bragantino 26%. Both teams to score is 53% likely, over 1.5 goals 75% and over 2.5 goals 49%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Atlético-MG win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Atlético-MG win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Atlético-MG win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Atlético-MG vs Bragantino, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Atlético-MG | Fouls committed | Bragantino | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Cissé | 12 | J. Capixaba | 14 |
| 2 | A. Preciado | 11 | L. Barbosa | 13 |
| 3 | R. Lodi | 10 | G. Marques | 9 |
| 4 | T. Cuello | 8 | J. Herrera | 8 |
| 5 | Bernard | 8 | H. Mosquera | 8 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Shots | Bragantino | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Cuello | 16 | L. Barbosa | 24 |
| 2 | M. Cassierra | 13 | Fernando | 21 |
| 3 | R. Lodi | 12 | Rodriguinho | 18 |
| 4 | Bernard | 11 | I. Pitta | 17 |
| 5 | Reinier | 9 | J. Herrera | 13 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Shots on target | Bragantino | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Cuello | 7 | Fernando | 6 |
| 2 | Reinier | 6 | J. Herrera | 6 |
| 3 | M. Cassierra | 5 | L. Barbosa | 6 |
| 4 | V. Hugo | 3 | I. Pitta | 4 |
| 5 | Ruan | 3 | Rodriguinho | 4 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Goals | Bragantino | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reinier | 3 | Fernando | 2 |
| 2 | T. Cuello | 3 | L. Barbosa | 1 |
| 3 | V. Hugo | 2 | G. Marques | 1 |
| 4 | M. Cassierra | 1 | E. Sasha | 1 |
| 5 | Vitão | 1 | T. Volpi | 1 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Yellow cards | Bragantino | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Preciado | 3 | J. Capixaba | 4 |
| 2 | A. Franco | 2 | A. Sant'Anna | 3 |
| 3 | M. Cissé | 2 | Fernando | 2 |
| 4 | R. Lodi | 2 | T. Volpi | 2 |
| 5 | V. Hugo | 1 | Alix | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Atlético-MG vs Bragantino: Fernando 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33); Lucas Barbosa 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.30); Juninho Capixaba 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.11); Isidro Pitta 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.14). Combined odds 3.12 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 9 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.6 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 10 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 18 of 20 |
| Tackles | 12.3 | 20 of 20 |
| Passes | 431.5 | 9 of 20 |
| Corners | 5 | 12 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 6 of 20 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 5 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 5 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.6 | 6 of 20 |
| Passes | 362.4 | 16 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5 of 20 |