Santos host Flamengo at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos on 8 October 2026 at 23:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Santos's last five results: W W L W W (4 wins and 1 loss). Flamengo's last five: W W W D W (4 wins and 1 draw). In their last 6 meetings, Santos have won 2, Flamengo 4, with 0 draws.
Santos vs Flamengo kicks off at 23:30 UK time on Thursday 8 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.
Santos vs Flamengo is being played at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in Santos, the home ground of Santos.
Santos's last five results read W W L W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Flamengo's last five results read W W W D W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 draw.
Across the last 6 meetings Santos have won 2, Flamengo have won 4 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Flamengo 3-1 Santos on 5 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Samuel Lino leads Flamengo with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Anderson Daronco is the referee for Santos vs Flamengo, averaging 27.0 fouls and 2.8 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Santos and Flamengo are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Flamengo the favourite with a 45% chance of winning, against 27% for Santos and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Santos 1.2 - 1.6 Flamengo.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 52%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Santos | 3-1 |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Santos | 3-2 |
| 16 Jul 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos vs Flamengo | 1-0 |
| 1 Nov 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Santos | 1-2 |
| 25 Jun 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos vs Flamengo | 2-3 |
| 26 Oct 2022 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Santos | 3-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Santos 1.2 - 1.6 Flamengo in goals. It gives Santos a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Flamengo 45%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 77% and over 2.5 goals 52%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-2 | Flamengo win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Flamengo win | 9% |
| 0-2 | Flamengo win | 8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Santos vs Flamengo, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Santos | Fouls committed | Flamengo | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Oliva | 13 | Jorginho | 10 |
| 2 | I. Vinícius | 11 | E. Pulgar | 9 |
| 3 | G. Escobar | 11 | L. Paquetá | 9 |
| 4 | G. Henrique | 9 | Pedro | 8 |
| 5 | W. Arão | 7 | A. Lucas | 8 |
| # | Santos | Shots | Flamengo | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neymar | 23 | S. Lino | 32 |
| 2 | Á. Barreal | 22 | Pedro | 24 |
| 3 | G. Barbosa | 21 | G. Arrascaeta | 21 |
| 4 | Rony | 15 | J. Carrascal | 17 |
| 5 | B. Rollheiser | 12 | L. Paquetá | 15 |
| # | Santos | Shots on target | Flamengo | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neymar | 11 | Pedro | 13 |
| 2 | G. Barbosa | 8 | S. Lino | 10 |
| 3 | Á. Barreal | 7 | J. Carrascal | 10 |
| 4 | Rony | 5 | L. Paquetá | 5 |
| 5 | G. Bontempo | 4 | G. Arrascaeta | 4 |
| # | Santos | Goals | Flamengo | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Barbosa | 6 | S. Lino | 5 |
| 2 | C. Oliva | 2 | Pedro | 4 |
| 3 | Á. Barreal | 2 | J. Carrascal | 3 |
| 4 | Neymar | 2 | L. Paquetá | 2 |
| 5 | Rony | 1 | B. Henrique | 2 |
| # | Santos | Yellow cards | Flamengo | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Á. Barreal | 3 | A. Sandro | 2 |
| 2 | L. Veríssimo | 3 | B. Henrique | 2 |
| 3 | Neymar | 2 | E. Pulgar | 2 |
| 4 | G. Barbosa | 2 | G. Varela | 1 |
| 5 | G. Escobar | 2 | L. Paquetá | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Santos vs Flamengo: Gabriel Barbosa 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.53); Gabriel Bontempo 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.29); Rodinei 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.20); Luan Peres 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.36). Combined odds 3.22 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 6 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 15 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 15 of 20 |
| Tackles | 18.6 | 1 of 20 |
| Passes | 430 | 9 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 9 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 1 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots | 15.7 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.3 | 3 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 17 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15 | 11 of 20 |
| Passes | 563 | 1 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 10 of 20 |