Grêmio host Athletico PR at Arena do Grêmio, Rio on 30 October 2026 at 00:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Grêmio's last five results: D D D L W (1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss). Athletico PR's last five: W D W L D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Grêmio have won 3, Athletico PR 2, with 1 draw.
Grêmio vs Athletico PR kicks off at 00:30 UK time on Friday 30 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena do Grêmio, Rio.
Grêmio vs Athletico PR is being played at Arena do Grêmio in Rio, the home ground of Grêmio.
Grêmio's last five results read D D D L W (oldest to newest): 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss.
Athletico PR's last five results read W D W L D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Grêmio have won 3, Athletico PR have won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Athletico PR 0-0 Grêmio on 3 May 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Erick Noriega leads Grêmio with 21 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Kevin Viveros leads Athletico PR with 7 goals across their last 10 games.
Alex Gomes Stefano is the referee for Grêmio vs Athletico PR.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Grêmio and Athletico PR are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Athletico PR the favourite with a 37% chance of winning, against 33% for Grêmio and 29% for the draw. Projected goals are Grêmio 1.2 - 1.3 Athletico PR.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 14%. Both teams to score is 53% likely and over 2.5 goals 47%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR vs Grêmio | 0-0 |
| 4 Aug 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR vs Grêmio | 0-2 |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Athletico PR | 2-0 |
| 18 Oct 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Athletico PR | 1-2 |
| 27 May 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR vs Grêmio | 1-2 |
| 26 Sep 2021 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR vs Grêmio | 4-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Grêmio 1.2 - 1.3 Athletico PR in goals. It gives Grêmio a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Athletico PR 37%. Both teams to score is 53% likely, over 1.5 goals 73% and over 2.5 goals 47%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 1-2 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 14% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
| 0-1 | Athletico PR win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Grêmio win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Athletico PR win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Grêmio vs Athletico PR, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Grêmio | Fouls committed | Athletico PR | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Noriega | 21 | K. Viveros | 24 |
| 2 | Wallace | 15 | L. Gustavo | 15 |
| 3 | M. Villasanti | 14 | J. Aguirre | 12 |
| 4 | W. Kannemann | 10 | Jádson | 10 |
| 5 | F. Krovinovic | 8 | J. Cruz | 9 |
| # | Grêmio | Shots | Athletico PR | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Krovinovic | 14 | K. Viveros | 27 |
| 2 | C. Pavón | 14 | J. Cruz | 19 |
| 3 | C. Vinícius | 13 | Leozinho | 19 |
| 4 | F. Amuzu | 12 | S. Mendoza | 17 |
| 5 | D. Caito | 12 | L. Gustavo | 14 |
| # | Grêmio | Shots on target | Athletico PR | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Pavón | 8 | K. Viveros | 16 |
| 2 | G. Martins | 5 | Leozinho | 8 |
| 3 | D. Caito | 4 | J. Cruz | 6 |
| 4 | C. Vinícius | 4 | L. Gustavo | 6 |
| 5 | Tetê | 3 | Gilberto | 4 |
| # | Grêmio | Goals | Athletico PR | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Martins | 3 | K. Viveros | 7 |
| 2 | C. Pavón | 2 | L. Gustavo | 2 |
| 3 | M. Braithwaite | 1 | Leozinho | 2 |
| 4 | C. Vinícius | 1 | K. Vargas | 2 |
| 5 | Wallace | 1 | J. Cruz | 2 |
| # | Grêmio | Yellow cards | Athletico PR | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Noriega | 3 | Gilberto | 3 |
| 2 | Wallace | 3 | L. Gustavo | 2 |
| 3 | P. Gabriel | 3 | J. Aguirre | 2 |
| 4 | W. Kannemann | 2 | K. Viveros | 2 |
| 5 | G. Martins | 2 | Dantas | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Grêmio vs Athletico PR: Stiven Mendoza 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); Gustavo Martins 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33); Lucas Esquivel 2+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.40). Combined odds 2.27 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 19 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.8 | 18 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 7 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14 | 16 of 20 |
| Passes | 422.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 17 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 3 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots | 13 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 8 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 5 of 20 |
| Tackles | 13.4 | 17 of 20 |
| Passes | 375.3 | 15 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 11 of 20 |