Qué equipos han sacado de sus ocasiones más de lo que merecían y cuáles menos.
Actualizado el 31 de marzo de 2026, tras el último partido
Georgia es el equipo con el mayor déficit de WC Qualification Europe: 3 puntos con ocasiones que valían 7,9 xPts, una diferencia de 4,9. En el otro extremo, Noruega ha sumado 24 puntos con unos xPts de 18,6, 5,4 más de lo que justifican sus números.
Los goles esperados miden la calidad de las ocasiones que un equipo genera y concede: cada tiro recibe un valor entre 0 y 1 según la frecuencia con la que se convierten tiros parecidos. Los puntos esperados salen de pasar cada partido terminado por un modelo de Poisson con el xG de los dos equipos, que da una probabilidad de victoria, empate y derrota, y de repartir tres puntos y un punto según esas probabilidades. Los datos de base los proporciona Sportmonks. Cómo se calcula el xG Cómo se calculan los xPts
| # | Equipo | Jugados | Goles | xG | Goles menos de xG | Goles en contra | xGA | Goles en contra menos xGA | Diferencia de goles | xGD | Diferencia de goles menos xGD | Puntos | xPts | Puntos menos xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croacia | 4 | 15 | 13.6 | +1.4 | 2 | 1.9 | +0.1 | +13 | 11.7 | +1.3 | 12 | 10.7 | +1.3 |
| 2 | Bélgica | 4 | 17 | 13.6 | +3.4 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | +14 | 11.1 | +2.9 | 10 | 10.5 | -0.5 |
| 3 | Países Bajos | 4 | 17 | 12.0 | +5.0 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | +16 | 10.1 | +5.9 | 10 | 10.1 | -0.1 |
| 4 | Inglaterra | 4 | 9 | 8.1 | +0.9 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | +9 | 7.2 | +1.8 | 12 | 9.7 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Polonia | 4 | 7 | 9.0 | -2.0 | 2 | 2.3 | -0.3 | +5 | 6.6 | -1.6 | 10 | 9.5 | +0.5 |
| 6 | Italia | 4 | 11 | 11.6 | -0.6 | 4 | 4.1 | -0.1 | +7 | 7.5 | -0.5 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | Noruega | 4 | 23 | 12.9 | +10.1 | 2 | 1.4 | +0.6 | +21 | 11.4 | +9.6 | 12 | 8.9 | +3.1 |
| 8 | Rumanía | 4 | 10 | 8.4 | +1.6 | 2 | 1.5 | +0.5 | +8 | 6.9 | +1.1 | 9 | 8.9 | +0.1 |
| 9 | Austria | 4 | 14 | 11.7 | +2.3 | 2 | 3.6 | -1.6 | +12 | 8.1 | +3.9 | 10 | 8.5 | +1.5 |
| 10 | Chequia | 4 | 10 | 8.5 | +1.5 | 1 | 2.2 | -1.2 | +9 | 6.3 | +2.7 | 10 | 8.5 | +1.5 |
| 11 | Francia | 3 | 9 | 9.8 | -0.8 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | +8 | 9.1 | -1.1 | 9 | 8.4 | +0.6 |
| 12 | Gales | 4 | 15 | 10.5 | +4.5 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 | +9 | 5.7 | +3.3 | 9 | 8.2 | +0.8 |
| 13 | España | 3 | 8 | 10.4 | -2.4 | 2 | 1.5 | +0.5 | +6 | 8.9 | -2.9 | 7 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 14 | Alemania | 3 | 13 | 8.8 | +4.2 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | +12 | 8.1 | +3.9 | 9 | 8.0 | +1.0 |
| 15 | Bosnia y Herzegovina | 4 | 7 | 8.2 | -1.2 | 4 | 4.4 | -0.4 | +3 | 3.9 | -0.9 | 9 | 7.7 | +1.3 |
| 16 | Serbia | 4 | 5 | 6.7 | -1.7 | 7 | 6.1 | +0.9 | -2 | 0.6 | -2.6 | 6 | 7.0 | -1.0 |
| 17 | Portugal | 3 | 12 | 10.9 | +1.1 | 3 | 3.2 | -0.2 | +9 | 7.7 | +1.3 | 7 | 6.9 | +0.1 |
| 18 | Albania | 4 | 4 | 5.3 | -1.3 | 2 | 3.7 | -1.7 | +2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | 7 | 6.8 | +0.2 |
| 19 | Suiza | 3 | 11 | 4.9 | +6.1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | +10 | 3.5 | +6.5 | 9 | 6.7 | +2.3 |
| 20 | Israel | 4 | 12 | 8.8 | +3.2 | 11 | 6.8 | +4.2 | +1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 6 | 6.6 | -0.6 |
| 21 | Chipre | 4 | 6 | 7.1 | -1.1 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7 | +0 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 5 | 6.3 | -1.3 |
| 22 | Irlanda | 3 | 5 | 6.7 | -1.7 | 2 | 3.5 | -1.5 | +3 | 3.2 | -0.2 | 7 | 6.1 | +0.9 |
| 23 | Finlandia | 4 | 4 | 7.2 | -3.2 | 5 | 5.4 | -0.4 | -1 | 1.8 | -2.8 | 6 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 24 | Macedonia del Norte | 4 | 8 | 6.1 | +1.9 | 3 | 5.6 | -2.6 | +5 | 0.5 | +4.5 | 6 | 5.8 | +0.2 |
| 25 | Islas Feroe | 4 | 8 | 6.5 | +1.5 | 3 | 6.0 | -3.0 | +5 | 0.5 | +4.5 | 9 | 5.8 | +3.2 |
| 26 | Kazajistán | 4 | 5 | 4.4 | +0.6 | 3 | 4.4 | -1.4 | +2 | -0.1 | +2.1 | 4 | 5.7 | -1.7 |
| 27 | Montenegro | 4 | 6 | 6.9 | -0.9 | 6 | 7.5 | -1.5 | +0 | -0.6 | +0.6 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 |
| 28 | Dinamarca | 3 | 5 | 5.7 | -0.7 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | +2 | 2.6 | -0.6 | 5 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 29 | Eslovaquia | 3 | 5 | 3.5 | +1.5 | 0 | 2.6 | -2.6 | +5 | 0.9 | +4.1 | 9 | 4.9 | +4.1 |
| 30 | Ucrania | 3 | 4 | 4.6 | -0.6 | 3 | 3.7 | -0.7 | +1 | 0.9 | +0.1 | 6 | 4.9 | +1.1 |
| 31 | Turquía | 3 | 6 | 5.0 | +1.0 | 7 | 4.4 | +2.6 | -1 | 0.6 | -1.6 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 |
| 32 | Islandia | 3 | 10 | 4.8 | +5.2 | 7 | 3.8 | +3.2 | +3 | 1.0 | +2.0 | 4 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 33 | Malta | 4 | 2 | 5.2 | -3.2 | 8 | 6.7 | +1.3 | -6 | -1.6 | -4.4 | 1 | 4.6 | -3.6 |
| 34 | Georgia | 3 | 5 | 3.4 | +1.6 | 7 | 4.3 | +2.7 | -2 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 3 | 4.4 | -1.4 |
| 35 | Letonia | 4 | 3 | 3.6 | -0.6 | 9 | 6.1 | +2.9 | -6 | -2.4 | -3.6 | 2 | 4.3 | -2.3 |
| 36 | Kosovo | 3 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 | 1 | 2.1 | -1.1 | +2 | 0.3 | +1.7 | 5 | 4.2 | +0.8 |
| 37 | Grecia | 3 | 8 | 5.1 | +2.9 | 6 | 4.7 | +1.3 | +2 | 0.4 | +1.6 | 6 | 4.1 | +1.9 |
| 38 | Irlanda del Norte | 3 | 3 | 2.7 | +0.3 | 1 | 2.5 | -1.5 | +2 | 0.2 | +1.8 | 6 | 4.1 | +1.9 |
| 39 | Hungría | 3 | 6 | 3.9 | +2.1 | 6 | 4.9 | +1.1 | +0 | -0.9 | +0.9 | 3 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 40 | Escocia | 3 | 9 | 3.8 | +5.2 | 4 | 5.2 | -1.2 | +5 | -1.4 | +6.4 | 9 | 3.4 | +5.6 |
| 41 | Armenia | 3 | 2 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 7 | 7.2 | -0.2 | -5 | -4.2 | -0.8 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 42 | Eslovenia | 3 | 2 | 1.7 | +0.3 | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0 | -2 | -1.3 | -0.7 | 2 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 43 | Luxemburgo | 3 | 1 | 2.5 | -1.5 | 6 | 4.3 | +1.7 | -5 | -1.8 | -3.2 | 0 | 2.8 | -2.8 |
| 44 | Suecia | 3 | 1 | 2.7 | -1.7 | 4 | 5.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -2.3 | -0.7 | 1 | 2.8 | -1.8 |
| 45 | Estonia | 4 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | 8 | 9.2 | -1.2 | -5 | -6.1 | +1.1 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6 |
| 46 | Lituania | 4 | 5 | 2.7 | +2.3 | 8 | 8.5 | -0.5 | -3 | -5.7 | +2.7 | 2 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 47 | Azerbaiyán | 3 | 2 | 1.8 | +0.2 | 6 | 5.5 | +0.5 | -4 | -3.7 | -0.3 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 |
| 48 | Andorra | 4 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 6 | 8.5 | -2.5 | -5 | -7.3 | +2.3 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6 |
| 49 | Moldavia | 4 | 2 | 2.7 | -0.7 | 14 | 11.4 | +2.6 | -12 | -8.7 | -3.3 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 |
| 50 | Bielorrusia | 3 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4 | 8 | 7.5 | +0.5 | -8 | -6.1 | -1.9 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 51 | Bulgaria | 3 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1 | 10 | 7.2 | +2.8 | -7 | -6.2 | -0.8 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.2 |
| 52 | Liechtenstein | 4 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 12 | 10.0 | +2.0 | -12 | -9.2 | -2.8 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 53 | Gibraltar | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 | 14 | 13.5 | +0.5 | -13 | -12.5 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 54 | San Marino | 4 | 1 | 2.2 | -1.2 | 19 | 15.5 | +3.5 | -18 | -13.2 | -4.8 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| # | Equipo | Jugados | Goles | xG | Goles menos de xG | Goles en contra | xGA | Goles en contra menos xGA | Diferencia de goles | xGD | Diferencia de goles menos xGD | Puntos | xPts | Puntos menos xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inglaterra | 4 | 13 | 12.6 | +0.4 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | +13 | 11.1 | +1.9 | 12 | 10.7 | +1.3 |
| 2 | Bélgica | 4 | 12 | 11.8 | +0.2 | 4 | 2.3 | +1.7 | +8 | 9.5 | -1.5 | 8 | 10.4 | -2.4 |
| 3 | Noruega | 4 | 14 | 12.6 | +1.4 | 3 | 3.5 | -0.5 | +11 | 9.1 | +1.9 | 12 | 9.7 | +2.3 |
| 4 | Croacia | 4 | 11 | 11.3 | -0.3 | 2 | 3.3 | -1.3 | +9 | 8.0 | +1.0 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1 |
| 5 | Países Bajos | 4 | 10 | 7.7 | +2.3 | 3 | 2.8 | +0.2 | +7 | 4.9 | +2.1 | 10 | 8.5 | +1.5 |
| 6 | España | 3 | 13 | 9.6 | +3.4 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 | +13 | 8.3 | +4.7 | 9 | 8.2 | +0.8 |
| 7 | Italia | 4 | 10 | 8.6 | +1.4 | 8 | 3.4 | +4.6 | +2 | 5.2 | -3.2 | 9 | 8.0 | +1.0 |
| 8 | Chequia | 4 | 8 | 10.4 | -2.4 | 7 | 5.3 | +1.7 | +1 | 5.1 | -4.1 | 6 | 8.0 | -2.0 |
| 9 | Francia | 3 | 7 | 7.8 | -0.8 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | +4 | 5.3 | -1.3 | 7 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 10 | Dinamarca | 3 | 11 | 7.6 | +3.4 | 4 | 2.3 | +1.7 | +7 | 5.4 | +1.6 | 6 | 7.0 | -1.0 |
| 11 | Austria | 4 | 8 | 8.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 4.0 | -2.0 | +6 | 4.0 | +2.0 | 9 | 7.0 | +2.0 |
| 12 | Portugal | 3 | 8 | 9.3 | -1.3 | 4 | 2.4 | +1.6 | +4 | 6.9 | -2.9 | 6 | 6.9 | -0.9 |
| 13 | Gales | 4 | 6 | 6.6 | -0.6 | 5 | 5.1 | -0.1 | +1 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 7 | 6.7 | +0.3 |
| 14 | Serbia | 4 | 4 | 5.5 | -1.5 | 3 | 3.5 | -0.5 | +1 | 2.1 | -1.1 | 7 | 6.5 | +0.5 |
| 15 | Chipre | 4 | 5 | 6.7 | -1.7 | 5 | 5.9 | -0.9 | +0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | 3 | 5.7 | -2.7 |
| 16 | Bosnia y Herzegovina | 4 | 10 | 6.8 | +3.2 | 3 | 5.4 | -2.4 | +7 | 1.4 | +5.6 | 8 | 5.6 | +2.4 |
| 17 | Grecia | 3 | 2 | 4.7 | -2.7 | 6 | 2.7 | +3.3 | -4 | 2.0 | -6.0 | 1 | 5.5 | -4.5 |
| 18 | Polonia | 4 | 7 | 6.5 | +0.5 | 5 | 6.5 | -1.5 | +2 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 7 | 5.5 | +1.5 |
| 19 | Escocia | 3 | 4 | 5.5 | -1.5 | 3 | 3.5 | -0.5 | +1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 4 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 20 | Israel | 4 | 7 | 6.3 | +0.7 | 9 | 7.1 | +1.9 | -2 | -0.7 | -1.3 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7 |
| 21 | Suiza | 3 | 3 | 4.1 | -1.1 | 1 | 2.1 | -1.1 | +2 | 2.0 | +0.0 | 5 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 22 | Alemania | 3 | 3 | 4.6 | -1.6 | 2 | 3.1 | -1.1 | +1 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 6 | 5.2 | +0.8 |
| 23 | Rumanía | 4 | 9 | 7.3 | +1.7 | 8 | 5.9 | +2.1 | +1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 4 | 5.2 | -1.2 |
| 24 | Montenegro | 4 | 2 | 5.3 | -3.3 | 11 | 6.9 | +4.1 | -9 | -1.6 | -7.4 | 3 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 25 | Finlandia | 4 | 4 | 5.5 | -1.5 | 9 | 7.0 | +2.0 | -5 | -1.5 | -3.5 | 4 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 26 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 3.2 | -0.2 | 3 | 4.8 | -1.8 | +0 | -1.7 | +1.7 | 7 | 4.5 | +2.5 |
| 27 | Kazajistán | 4 | 4 | 4.9 | -0.9 | 10 | 8.7 | +1.3 | -6 | -3.8 | -2.2 | 4 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 28 | Eslovenia | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 4 | 2.6 | +1.4 | -3 | 0.4 | -3.4 | 2 | 4.3 | -2.3 |
| 29 | Macedonia del Norte | 4 | 5 | 3.5 | +1.5 | 7 | 7.9 | -0.9 | -2 | -4.3 | +2.3 | 7 | 3.8 | +3.2 |
| 30 | Hungría | 3 | 5 | 4.7 | +0.3 | 4 | 5.9 | -1.9 | +1 | -1.2 | +2.2 | 5 | 3.6 | +1.4 |
| 31 | Turquía | 3 | 11 | 3.5 | +7.5 | 5 | 4.8 | +0.2 | +6 | -1.3 | +7.3 | 7 | 3.6 | +3.4 |
| 32 | Georgia | 3 | 2 | 3.4 | -1.4 | 8 | 5.5 | +2.5 | -6 | -2.2 | -3.8 | 0 | 3.5 | -3.5 |
| 33 | Islandia | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | +0.1 | 4 | 4.8 | -0.8 | -1 | -1.9 | +0.9 | 3 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 34 | Kosovo | 3 | 3 | 2.1 | +0.9 | 4 | 3.3 | +0.7 | -1 | -1.2 | +0.2 | 6 | 3.3 | +2.7 |
| 35 | Irlanda del Norte | 3 | 4 | 2.1 | +1.9 | 5 | 3.3 | +1.7 | -1 | -1.2 | +0.2 | 3 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 36 | Eslovaquia | 3 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3 | 8 | 4.4 | +3.6 | -7 | -2.1 | -4.9 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 37 | Lituania | 4 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.0 | -6 | -4.4 | -1.6 | 1 | 3.1 | -2.1 |
| 38 | Islas Feroe | 4 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4 | 6 | 7.3 | -1.3 | -3 | -4.8 | +1.8 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 39 | Letonia | 4 | 2 | 2.6 | -0.6 | 6 | 8.0 | -2.0 | -4 | -5.3 | +1.3 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 40 | Suecia | 3 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | 8 | 3.8 | +4.2 | -5 | -1.5 | -3.5 | 1 | 3.0 | -2.0 |
| 41 | Ucrania | 3 | 6 | 2.3 | +3.7 | 8 | 5.8 | +2.2 | -2 | -3.5 | +1.5 | 4 | 2.9 | +1.1 |
| 42 | Estonia | 4 | 5 | 3.2 | +1.8 | 13 | 10.2 | +2.8 | -8 | -7.0 | -1.0 | 3 | 2.7 | +0.3 |
| 43 | Irlanda | 3 | 4 | 3.1 | +0.9 | 5 | 7.0 | -2.0 | -1 | -4.0 | +3.0 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 |
| 44 | Bielorrusia | 3 | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3 | 9 | 7.5 | +1.5 | -5 | -4.9 | -0.1 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 45 | Malta | 4 | 2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 11 | 12.7 | -1.7 | -9 | -10.2 | +1.2 | 4 | 1.8 | +2.2 |
| 46 | Luxemburgo | 3 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 7 | 6.8 | +0.2 | -7 | -5.6 | -1.4 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6 |
| 47 | Andorra | 4 | 2 | 1.2 | +0.8 | 10 | 7.2 | +2.8 | -8 | -5.9 | -2.1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 48 | Moldavia | 4 | 3 | 2.1 | +0.9 | 18 | 14.8 | +3.2 | -15 | -12.7 | -2.3 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 49 | Gibraltar | 4 | 2 | 1.5 | +0.5 | 14 | 13.5 | +0.5 | -12 | -12.0 | +0.0 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 50 | Armenia | 3 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6 | 12 | 9.2 | +2.8 | -11 | -7.6 | -3.4 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 51 | Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 9 | 8.2 | +0.8 | -9 | -7.1 | -1.9 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 |
| 52 | Azerbaiyán | 3 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 10 | 8.0 | +2.0 | -9 | -7.2 | -1.8 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 53 | Liechtenstein | 4 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 19 | 11.4 | +7.6 | -19 | -10.9 | -8.1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 54 | San Marino | 4 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 20 | 16.5 | +3.5 | -19 | -15.1 | -3.9 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| # | Equipo | Jugados | Goles | xG | Goles menos de xG | Goles en contra | xGA | Goles en contra menos xGA | Diferencia de goles | xGD | Diferencia de goles menos xGD | Puntos | xPts | Puntos menos xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bélgica | 5 | 18 | 16.4 | +1.6 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1 | +15 | 14.5 | +0.5 | 11 | 13.7 | -2.7 |
| 2 | España | 5 | 18 | 16.8 | +1.2 | 2 | 2.6 | -0.6 | +16 | 14.2 | +1.8 | 13 | 13.5 | -0.5 |
| 3 | Francia | 5 | 14 | 15.2 | -1.2 | 4 | 2.1 | +1.9 | +10 | 13.1 | -3.1 | 13 | 13.4 | -0.4 |
| 4 | Inglaterra | 5 | 16 | 11.6 | +4.4 | 0 | 1.9 | -1.9 | +16 | 9.7 | +6.3 | 15 | 12.1 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Croacia | 5 | 13 | 13.8 | -0.8 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4 | +10 | 11.2 | -1.2 | 13 | 11.9 | +1.1 |
| 6 | Noruega | 5 | 25 | 17.4 | +7.6 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.0 | +22 | 14.4 | +7.6 | 15 | 11.6 | +3.4 |
| 7 | Alemania | 5 | 16 | 11.7 | +4.3 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6 | +15 | 9.1 | +5.9 | 15 | 11.4 | +3.6 |
| 8 | Países Bajos | 5 | 16 | 11.5 | +4.5 | 3 | 4.0 | -1.0 | +13 | 7.5 | +5.5 | 13 | 11.1 | +1.9 |
| 9 | Portugal | 5 | 15 | 15.2 | -0.2 | 7 | 5.4 | +1.6 | +8 | 9.8 | -1.8 | 10 | 11,0 | -1.0 |
| 10 | Dinamarca | 5 | 16 | 12.2 | +3.8 | 7 | 4.5 | +2.5 | +9 | 7.7 | +1.3 | 10 | 10.9 | -0.9 |
| 11 | Italia | 5 | 14 | 12.5 | +1.5 | 9 | 5.4 | +3.6 | +5 | 7.2 | -2.2 | 12 | 10.8 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Suiza | 5 | 10 | 7.0 | +3.0 | 2 | 2.9 | -0.9 | +8 | 4.1 | +3.9 | 11 | 9.6 | +1.4 |
| 13 | Chequia | 5 | 10 | 10.9 | -0.9 | 7 | 6.1 | +0.9 | +3 | 4.8 | -1.8 | 7 | 9.5 | -2.5 |
| 14 | Austria | 5 | 15 | 11.3 | +3.7 | 3 | 4.3 | -1.3 | +12 | 7.0 | +5.0 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1 |
| 15 | Rumanía | 5 | 13 | 9.0 | +4.0 | 6 | 4.2 | +1.8 | +7 | 4.9 | +2.1 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1 |
| 16 | Bosnia y Herzegovina | 5 | 13 | 10.2 | +2.8 | 6 | 6.3 | -0.3 | +7 | 3.9 | +3.1 | 8 | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 17 | Gales | 5 | 14 | 10.3 | +3.7 | 9 | 8.0 | +1.0 | +5 | 2.3 | +2.7 | 9 | 8.2 | +0.8 |
| 18 | Polonia | 5 | 10 | 7.9 | +2.1 | 5 | 5.9 | -0.9 | +5 | 2.1 | +2.9 | 11 | 8.2 | +2.8 |
| 19 | Serbia | 5 | 5 | 7.2 | -2.2 | 10 | 7.2 | +2.8 | -5 | 0.0 | -5.0 | 6 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 20 | Turquía | 5 | 14 | 7.9 | +6.1 | 10 | 8.0 | +2.0 | +4 | -0.1 | +4.1 | 10 | 7.6 | +2.4 |
| 21 | Escocia | 5 | 13 | 8.4 | +4.6 | 7 | 7.5 | -0.5 | +6 | 0.9 | +5.1 | 12 | 7.5 | +4.5 |
| 22 | Chipre | 5 | 8 | 8.8 | -0.8 | 7 | 8.0 | -1.0 | +1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 5 | 7.3 | -2.3 |
| 23 | Grecia | 5 | 5 | 6.9 | -1.9 | 11 | 6.3 | +4.7 | -6 | 0.5 | -6.5 | 4 | 7.3 | -3.3 |
| 24 | Ucrania | 5 | 10 | 5.8 | +4.2 | 9 | 7.0 | +2.0 | +1 | -1.2 | +2.2 | 10 | 7.2 | +2.8 |
| 25 | Kosovo | 5 | 6 | 4.0 | +2.0 | 1 | 3.5 | -2.5 | +5 | 0.5 | +4.5 | 11 | 7.0 | +4.0 |
| 26 | Eslovaquia | 5 | 4 | 4.5 | -0.5 | 8 | 5.2 | +2.8 | -4 | -0.7 | -3.3 | 9 | 7.0 | +2.0 |
| 27 | Hungría | 5 | 9 | 7.5 | +1.5 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.0 | +1 | -0.5 | +1.5 | 7 | 6.9 | +0.1 |
| 28 | Israel | 5 | 12 | 9.0 | +3.0 | 14 | 8.8 | +5.2 | -2 | 0.2 | -2.2 | 6 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 29 | Albania | 5 | 4 | 5.7 | -1.7 | 3 | 6.3 | -3.3 | +1 | -0.6 | +1.6 | 10 | 6.7 | +3.3 |
| 30 | Finlandia | 5 | 5 | 7.9 | -2.9 | 10 | 8.1 | +1.9 | -5 | -0.2 | -4.8 | 6 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 31 | Irlanda | 5 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.0 | 5 | 9.3 | -4.3 | +2 | -2.4 | +4.4 | 9 | 6.2 | +2.8 |
| 32 | Georgia | 5 | 5 | 5.6 | -0.6 | 12 | 9.3 | +2.7 | -7 | -3.7 | -3.3 | 3 | 6.1 | -3.1 |
| 33 | Eslovenia | 5 | 1 | 3.8 | -2.8 | 6 | 4.5 | +1.5 | -5 | -0.6 | -4.4 | 3 | 6.0 | -3.0 |
| 34 | Islas Feroe | 5 | 8 | 5.3 | +2.7 | 5 | 8.1 | -3.1 | +3 | -2.8 | +5.8 | 9 | 5.6 | +3.4 |
| 35 | Macedonia del Norte | 5 | 8 | 5.5 | +2.5 | 8 | 9.6 | -1.6 | +0 | -4.2 | +4.2 | 8 | 5.4 | +2.6 |
| 36 | Irlanda del Norte | 5 | 4 | 3.4 | +0.6 | 5 | 5.3 | -0.3 | -1 | -1.9 | +0.9 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7 |
| 37 | Kazajistán | 5 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 | 9 | 10.3 | -1.3 | -3 | -4.6 | +1.6 | 5 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 38 | Islandia | 5 | 8 | 5.0 | +3.0 | 11 | 8.4 | +2.6 | -3 | -3.4 | +0.4 | 4 | 5.2 | -1.2 |
| 39 | Letonia | 5 | 3 | 4.6 | -1.6 | 11 | 8.9 | +2.1 | -8 | -4.3 | -3.7 | 1 | 4.5 | -3.5 |
| 40 | Montenegro | 5 | 4 | 6.6 | -2.6 | 14 | 11.9 | +2.1 | -10 | -5.2 | -4.8 | 3 | 4.4 | -1.4 |
| 41 | Suecia | 5 | 2 | 3.9 | -1.9 | 10 | 7.9 | +2.1 | -8 | -4.0 | -4.0 | 1 | 4.3 | -3.3 |
| 42 | Armenia | 5 | 3 | 4.4 | -1.4 | 14 | 11.5 | +2.5 | -11 | -7.0 | -4.0 | 3 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 43 | Malta | 5 | 4 | 5.4 | -1.4 | 16 | 14.6 | +1.4 | -12 | -9.3 | -2.7 | 4 | 3.9 | +0.1 |
| 44 | Luxemburgo | 5 | 0 | 3.1 | -3.1 | 10 | 9.7 | +0.3 | -10 | -6.6 | -3.4 | 0 | 3.7 | -3.7 |
| 45 | Lituania | 5 | 4 | 3.8 | +0.2 | 12 | 10.3 | +1.7 | -8 | -6.5 | -1.5 | 1 | 3.2 | -2.2 |
| 46 | Estonia | 5 | 3 | 3.2 | -0.2 | 14 | 13.2 | +0.8 | -11 | -10.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6 |
| 47 | Azerbaiyán | 5 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | 11 | 10.7 | +0.3 | -8 | -8.4 | +0.4 | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 |
| 48 | Bielorrusia | 5 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.0 | 12 | 12.1 | -0.1 | -9 | -9.1 | +0.1 | 2 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 49 | Andorra | 5 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3 | 11 | 9.9 | +1.1 | -8 | -8.2 | +0.2 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 50 | Moldavia | 5 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 | 22 | 18.1 | +3.9 | -19 | -15.7 | -3.3 | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7 |
| 51 | Bulgaria | 5 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2 | 16 | 12.2 | +3.8 | -13 | -10.4 | -2.6 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6 |
| 52 | Liechtenstein | 5 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 23 | 13.8 | +9.2 | -23 | -12.8 | -10.2 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 53 | Gibraltar | 5 | 2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | 14 | 16.0 | -2.0 | -12 | -15.2 | +3.2 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 |
| 54 | San Marino | 5 | 1 | 2.7 | -1.7 | 31 | 21.3 | +9.7 | -30 | -18.6 | -11.4 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
Noruega fue el equipo que más superó su xG en la WC Qualification Europe en 2026, con 37 goles en ocasiones por valor de 25,4 xG, una diferencia de 11,6. Le siguieron Turquía, con 8,5.
Finlandia fue el equipo que más se quedó por debajo de su xG en la WC Qualification Europe en 2026, con 8 goles en ocasiones por valor de 12,7 xG, un déficit de 4,7. Le siguieron Montenegro, con 4,1.
Noruega fue el equipo con más suerte en la WC Qualification Europe en 2026, con 24 puntos para un rendimiento de 18,6 xPts, 5,4 más de lo que merecían sus ocasiones. Le siguieron Turquía, con 4,6.
Georgia fue el equipo con menos suerte en la WC Qualification Europe en 2026, con 3 puntos para un rendimiento de 7,9 xPts, 4,9 menos de lo que merecía. Le siguieron Luxemburgo, con 4,4.
Bélgica lideraría la WC Qualification Europe en 2026 en puntos esperados, con 20,9 xPts, a partir de 25,5 xG generados y 4,8 concedidos en ocho partidos. Le siguieron Inglaterra, con 20,3.
Bélgica fue el equipo que más xG generó en la WC Qualification Europe en 2026: 25,5 en ocho partidos, 3,2 por partido frente a una media de la competición de 1,5. Le siguieron Noruega, con 25,4.
Liechtenstein fue el equipo que menos xG generó en la WC Qualification Europe en 2026: 1,3 en ocho partidos, 0,2 por partido frente a una media de la competición de 1,5. Le siguieron Bulgaria, con 2,0.
San Marino fue el equipo que más xG concedió en la WC Qualification Europe en 2026: 31,9 en ocho partidos, 4,0 por partido frente a una media de la competición de 1,5. Le siguieron Gibraltar, con 27,0.
Inglaterra fue el equipo que menos xG concedió en la WC Qualification Europe en 2026: 2,4 en ocho partidos, 0,3 por partido frente a una media de la competición de 1,5. Le siguieron España, con 2,8.
Los equipos de WC Qualification Europe promediaron 1,52 xG por partido en 2026, en los 192 partidos jugados, y marcaron 1,66 goles por partido.
Los equipos de WC Qualification Europe generaron más xG en casa en 2026: 1,67 por partido frente a 1,37 fuera, una ventaja de local de +0,29.
La misma temporada por jugador, con los goles que marcó cada uno frente a las ocasiones que tuvo.
| # | Equipo | Jugados | Goles | xG | Goles menos xG | Goles en contra | xGA | Goles en contra menos xGA | Diferencia de goles | xGD | Diferencia de goles menos xGD | Puntos | xPts | Puntos menos xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bélgica | 8 | 29 | 25.5 | +3.5 | 7 | 4.8 | +2.2 | +22 | 20.7 | +1.3 | 18 | 20.9 | -2.9 |
| 2 | Inglaterra | 8 | 22 | 20.8 | +1.2 | 0 | 2.4 | -2.4 | +22 | 18.4 | +3.6 | 24 | 20.3 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Croacia | 8 | 26 | 24.9 | +1.1 | 4 | 5.2 | -1.2 | +22 | 19.7 | +2.3 | 22 | 19.6 | +2.4 |
| 4 | Noruega | 8 | 37 | 25.4 | +11.6 | 5 | 4.9 | +0.1 | +32 | 20.6 | +11.4 | 24 | 18.6 | +5.4 |
| 5 | Países Bajos | 8 | 27 | 19.8 | +7.2 | 4 | 4.8 | -0.8 | +23 | 15.0 | +8.0 | 20 | 18.6 | +1.4 |
| 6 | Italia | 8 | 21 | 20.2 | +0.8 | 12 | 7.5 | +4.5 | +9 | 12.7 | -3.7 | 18 | 17.0 | +1.0 |
| 7 | Chequia | 8 | 18 | 18.8 | -0.8 | 8 | 7.5 | +0.5 | +10 | 11.3 | -1.3 | 16 | 16.5 | -0.5 |
| 8 | España | 6 | 21 | 19.9 | +1.1 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | +19 | 17.1 | +1.9 | 16 | 16.4 | -0.4 |
| 9 | Francia | 6 | 16 | 17.7 | -1.7 | 4 | 3.2 | +0.8 | +12 | 14.5 | -2.5 | 16 | 15.6 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Austria | 8 | 22 | 19.8 | +2.2 | 4 | 7.6 | -3.6 | +18 | 12.2 | +5.8 | 19 | 15.5 | +3.5 |
| 11 | Polonia | 8 | 14 | 15.5 | -1.5 | 7 | 8.8 | -1.8 | +7 | 6.6 | +0.4 | 17 | 15.0 | +2.0 |
| 12 | Gales | 8 | 21 | 17.1 | +3.9 | 11 | 9.8 | +1.2 | +10 | 7.2 | +2.8 | 16 | 14.9 | +1.1 |
| 13 | Rumanía | 8 | 19 | 15.7 | +3.3 | 10 | 7.4 | +2.6 | +9 | 8.3 | +0.7 | 13 | 14.2 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Portugal | 6 | 20 | 20.2 | -0.2 | 7 | 5.6 | +1.4 | +13 | 14.6 | -1.6 | 13 | 13.8 | -0.8 |
| 15 | Serbia | 8 | 9 | 12.2 | -3.2 | 10 | 9.5 | +0.5 | -1 | 2.7 | -3.7 | 13 | 13.5 | -0.5 |
| 16 | Bosnia y Herzegovina | 8 | 17 | 15.1 | +1.9 | 7 | 9.8 | -2.8 | +10 | 5.3 | +4.7 | 17 | 13.3 | +3.7 |
| 17 | Alemania | 6 | 16 | 13.4 | +2.6 | 3 | 3.8 | -0.8 | +13 | 9.6 | +3.4 | 15 | 13.2 | +1.8 |
| 18 | Dinamarca | 6 | 16 | 13.3 | +2.7 | 7 | 5.4 | +1.6 | +9 | 7.9 | +1.1 | 11 | 12.4 | -1.4 |
| 19 | Chipre | 8 | 11 | 13.8 | -2.8 | 11 | 11.2 | -0.2 | +0 | 2.5 | -2.5 | 8 | 12.0 | -4.0 |
| 20 | Suiza | 6 | 14 | 9.0 | +5.0 | 2 | 3.4 | -1.4 | +12 | 5.5 | +6.5 | 14 | 11.9 | +2.1 |
| 21 | Israel | 8 | 19 | 15.1 | +3.9 | 20 | 13.9 | +6.1 | -1 | 1.2 | -2.2 | 12 | 11.9 | +0.1 |
| 22 | Albania | 8 | 7 | 8.5 | -1.5 | 5 | 8.5 | -3.5 | +2 | -0.1 | +2.1 | 14 | 11.3 | +2.7 |
| 23 | Finlandia | 8 | 8 | 12.7 | -4.7 | 14 | 12.4 | +1.6 | -6 | 0.3 | -6.3 | 10 | 10.7 | -0.7 |
| 24 | Montenegro | 8 | 8 | 12.1 | -4.1 | 17 | 14.4 | +2.6 | -9 | -2.2 | -6.8 | 9 | 10.4 | -1.4 |
| 25 | Kazajistán | 8 | 9 | 9.3 | -0.3 | 13 | 13.1 | -0.1 | -4 | -3.8 | -0.2 | 8 | 10.2 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Grecia | 6 | 10 | 9.8 | +0.2 | 12 | 7.4 | +4.6 | -2 | 2.4 | -4.4 | 7 | 9.6 | -2.6 |
| 27 | Macedonia del Norte | 8 | 13 | 9.6 | +3.4 | 10 | 13.5 | -3.5 | +3 | -3.9 | +6.9 | 13 | 9.6 | +3.4 |
| 28 | Islas Feroe | 8 | 11 | 9.0 | +2.0 | 9 | 13.3 | -4.3 | +2 | -4.3 | +6.3 | 12 | 8.9 | +3.1 |
| 29 | Escocia | 6 | 13 | 9.3 | +3.7 | 7 | 8.7 | -1.7 | +6 | 0.6 | +5.4 | 13 | 8.6 | +4.4 |
| 30 | Irlanda | 6 | 9 | 9.8 | -0.8 | 7 | 10.5 | -3.5 | +2 | -0.7 | +2.7 | 10 | 8.5 | +1.5 |
| 31 | Turquía | 6 | 17 | 8.5 | +8.5 | 12 | 9.2 | +2.8 | +5 | -0.7 | +5.7 | 13 | 8.4 | +4.6 |
| 32 | Eslovaquia | 6 | 6 | 5.8 | +0.2 | 8 | 6.9 | +1.1 | -2 | -1.2 | -0.8 | 12 | 8.1 | +3.9 |
| 33 | Islandia | 6 | 13 | 7.7 | +5.3 | 11 | 8.6 | +2.4 | +2 | -0.9 | +2.9 | 7 | 8.0 | -1.0 |
| 34 | Georgia | 6 | 7 | 6.8 | +0.2 | 15 | 9.9 | +5.1 | -8 | -3.1 | -4.9 | 3 | 7.9 | -4.9 |
| 35 | Ucrania | 6 | 10 | 6.9 | +3.1 | 11 | 9.5 | +1.5 | -1 | -2.6 | +1.6 | 10 | 7.8 | +2.2 |
| 36 | Kosovo | 6 | 6 | 4.5 | +1.5 | 5 | 5.4 | -0.4 | +1 | -0.9 | +1.9 | 11 | 7.5 | +3.5 |
| 37 | Hungría | 6 | 11 | 8.7 | +2.3 | 10 | 10.8 | -0.8 | +1 | -2.1 | +3.1 | 8 | 7.4 | +0.6 |
| 38 | Letonia | 8 | 5 | 6.3 | -1.3 | 15 | 14.0 | +1.0 | -10 | -7.7 | -2.3 | 5 | 7.4 | -2.4 |
| 39 | Irlanda del Norte | 6 | 7 | 4.8 | +2.2 | 6 | 5.8 | +0.2 | +1 | -1.0 | +2.0 | 9 | 7.3 | +1.7 |
| 40 | Eslovenia | 6 | 3 | 4.7 | -1.7 | 8 | 5.6 | +2.4 | -5 | -0.9 | -4.1 | 4 | 7.2 | -3.2 |
| 41 | Malta | 8 | 4 | 7.7 | -3.7 | 19 | 19.4 | -0.4 | -15 | -11.8 | -3.2 | 5 | 6.4 | -1.4 |
| 42 | Suecia | 6 | 4 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 12 | 8.7 | +3.3 | -8 | -3.8 | -4.2 | 2 | 5.8 | -3.8 |
| 43 | Estonia | 8 | 8 | 6.3 | +1.7 | 21 | 19.4 | +1.6 | -13 | -13.1 | +0.1 | 4 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 44 | Lituania | 8 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7 | 15 | 15.5 | -0.5 | -9 | -10.1 | +1.1 | 3 | 5.3 | -2.3 |
| 45 | Luxemburgo | 6 | 1 | 3.7 | -2.7 | 13 | 11.1 | +1.9 | -12 | -7.4 | -4.6 | 0 | 4.4 | -4.4 |
| 46 | Armenia | 6 | 3 | 4.7 | -1.7 | 19 | 16.4 | +2.6 | -16 | -11.8 | -4.2 | 3 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 47 | Andorra | 8 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 | 16 | 15.7 | +0.3 | -13 | -13.2 | +0.2 | 1 | 3.2 | -2.2 |
| 48 | Moldavia | 8 | 5 | 4.7 | +0.3 | 32 | 26.2 | +5.8 | -27 | -21.4 | -5.6 | 1 | 3.1 | -2.1 |
| 49 | Bielorrusia | 6 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.0 | 17 | 15.0 | +2.0 | -13 | -11.0 | -2.0 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 50 | Azerbaiyán | 6 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | 16 | 13.5 | +2.5 | -13 | -11.0 | -2.0 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6 |
| 51 | Bulgaria | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0 | 19 | 15.3 | +3.7 | -16 | -13.4 | -2.6 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5 |
| 52 | Gibraltar | 8 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | 28 | 27.0 | +1.0 | -25 | -24.5 | -0.5 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 |
| 53 | Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 | 31 | 21.4 | +9.6 | -31 | -20.1 | -10.9 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 |
| 54 | San Marino | 8 | 2 | 3.6 | -1.6 | 39 | 31.9 | +7.1 | -37 | -28.3 | -8.7 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |