Qué equipos han sacado de sus ocasiones más de lo que merecían y cuáles menos.
Actualizado el 16 de noviembre de 2025, tras el último partido
Los goles esperados miden la calidad de las ocasiones que un equipo genera y concede: cada tiro recibe un valor entre 0 y 1 según la frecuencia con la que se convierten tiros parecidos. Los puntos esperados salen de pasar cada partido terminado por un modelo de Poisson con el xG de los dos equipos, que da una probabilidad de victoria, empate y derrota, y de repartir tres puntos y un punto según esas probabilidades. Los datos de base los proporciona Sportmonks. Cómo se calcula el xG Cómo se calculan los xPts
| # | Equipo | Jugados | Goles | xG | Goles menos de xG | Goles en contra | xGA | Goles en contra menos xGA | Diferencia de goles | xGD | Diferencia de goles menos xGD | Puntos | xPts | Puntos menos xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 6 | 12 | 10.2 | +1.8 | 4 | 4.7 | -0.7 | +8 | 5.5 | +2.5 | 12 | 11.8 | +0.2 |
| 2 | Costa de Marfil | 5 | 15 | 10.8 | +4.2 | 0 | 2.9 | -2.9 | +15 | 7.9 | +7.1 | 15 | 10.7 | +4.3 |
| 3 | Túnez | 5 | 13 | 9.8 | +3.2 | 0 | 4.5 | -4.5 | +13 | 5.3 | +7.7 | 15 | 10.0 | +5.0 |
| 4 | Sudáfrica | 5 | 11 | 7.0 | +4.0 | 3 | 2.8 | +0.2 | +8 | 4.2 | +3.8 | 13 | 9.7 | +3.3 |
| 5 | Marruecos | 4 | 10 | 8.0 | +2.0 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 | +9 | 6.5 | +2.5 | 12 | 9.6 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Argelia | 5 | 14 | 8.5 | +5.5 | 6 | 4.5 | +1.5 | +8 | 4.1 | +3.9 | 12 | 9.6 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Uganda | 5 | 9 | 7.3 | +1.7 | 2 | 3.6 | -1.6 | +7 | 3.7 | +3.3 | 12 | 9.5 | +2.5 |
| 8 | Malí | 5 | 12 | 7.1 | +4.9 | 5 | 3.2 | +1.8 | +7 | 3.8 | +3.2 | 10 | 9.4 | +0.6 |
| 9 | Cabo Verde | 5 | 6 | 7.2 | -1.2 | 0 | 3.8 | -3.8 | +6 | 3.4 | +2.6 | 13 | 9.3 | +3.7 |
| 10 | Senegal | 5 | 13 | 8.3 | +4.7 | 1 | 4.2 | -3.2 | +12 | 4.1 | +7.9 | 13 | 9.2 | +3.8 |
| 11 | Camerún | 5 | 13 | 8.0 | +5.0 | 3 | 4.5 | -1.5 | +10 | 3.5 | +6.5 | 12 | 9.2 | +2.8 |
| 12 | Gabón | 5 | 10 | 7.3 | +2.7 | 3 | 3.8 | -0.8 | +7 | 3.5 | +3.5 | 13 | 9.1 | +3.9 |
| 13 | Burkina Faso | 5 | 10 | 8.7 | +1.3 | 5 | 5.1 | -0.1 | +5 | 3.6 | +1.4 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.0 |
| 14 | Togo | 5 | 4 | 7.1 | -3.1 | 4 | 4.8 | -0.8 | +0 | 2.3 | -2.3 | 6 | 8.5 | -2.5 |
| 15 | Kenia | 5 | 8 | 6.9 | +1.1 | 6 | 4.6 | +1.4 | +2 | 2.3 | -0.3 | 5 | 8.4 | -3.4 |
| 16 | Ghana | 5 | 12 | 6.7 | +5.3 | 3 | 4.6 | -1.6 | +9 | 2.1 | +6.9 | 15 | 8.3 | +6.7 |
| 17 | Egipto | 4 | 11 | 8.0 | +3.0 | 1 | 3.4 | -2.4 | +10 | 4.6 | +5.4 | 12 | 8.2 | +3.8 |
| 18 | Angola | 5 | 6 | 5.8 | +0.2 | 5 | 3.9 | +1.1 | +1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 7 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 19 | Guinea | 5 | 4 | 6.0 | -2.0 | 4 | 4.3 | -0.3 | +0 | 1.7 | -1.7 | 6 | 8.2 | -2.2 |
| 20 | Namibia | 5 | 6 | 6.8 | -0.8 | 4 | 4.4 | -0.4 | +2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 6 | 8.1 | -2.1 |
| 21 | Comoras | 5 | 7 | 7.4 | -0.4 | 7 | 5.4 | +1.6 | +0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 9 | 8.1 | +0.9 |
| 22 | Gambia | 5 | 13 | 6.9 | +6.1 | 10 | 4.9 | +5.1 | +3 | 2.0 | +1.0 | 7 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Mauritania | 5 | 2 | 5.6 | -3.6 | 5 | 3.7 | +1.3 | -3 | 2.0 | -5.0 | 4 | 8.1 | -4.1 |
| 24 | RD Congo | 5 | 7 | 6.3 | +0.7 | 3 | 4.9 | -1.9 | +4 | 1.5 | +2.5 | 12 | 8.0 | +4.0 |
| 25 | Guinea Ecuatorial | 4 | 4 | 5.3 | -1.3 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.0 | +2 | 3.4 | -1.4 | 7 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 26 | Sierra Leona | 5 | 7 | 6.4 | +0.6 | 5 | 5.5 | -0.5 | +2 | 0.9 | +1.1 | 9 | 7.5 | +1.5 |
| 27 | Guinea-Bisáu | 5 | 5 | 4.4 | +0.6 | 4 | 3.2 | +0.8 | +1 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 6 | 7.4 | -1.4 |
| 28 | Burundi | 5 | 9 | 4.8 | +4.2 | 6 | 3.9 | +2.1 | +3 | 0.8 | +2.2 | 6 | 7.3 | -1.3 |
| 29 | Zambia | 4 | 4 | 7.5 | -3.5 | 6 | 4.9 | +1.1 | -2 | 2.6 | -4.6 | 3 | 7.2 | -4.2 |
| 30 | Botsuana | 5 | 6 | 6.5 | -0.5 | 7 | 5.7 | +1.3 | -1 | 0.8 | -1.8 | 6 | 7.0 | -1.0 |
| 31 | Benín | 5 | 8 | 4.7 | +3.3 | 3 | 4.5 | -1.5 | +5 | 0.2 | +4.8 | 12 | 6.9 | +5.1 |
| 32 | Libia | 5 | 9 | 5.6 | +3.4 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 | +3 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 9 | 6.8 | +2.2 |
| 33 | Ruanda | 4 | 3 | 4.5 | -1.5 | 2 | 2.7 | -0.7 | +1 | 1.8 | -0.8 | 5 | 6.7 | -1.7 |
| 34 | Sudán | 5 | 3 | 5.5 | -2.5 | 2 | 6.4 | -4.4 | +1 | -0.9 | +1.9 | 7 | 6.4 | +0.6 |
| 35 | Malaui | 4 | 5 | 5.5 | -0.5 | 5 | 4.3 | +0.7 | +0 | 1.2 | -1.2 | 4 | 6.3 | -2.3 |
| 36 | Madagascar | 5 | 7 | 4.5 | +2.5 | 5 | 5.5 | -0.5 | +2 | -1.0 | +3.0 | 10 | 6.2 | +3.8 |
| 37 | Zimbabue | 5 | 3 | 5.2 | -2.2 | 6 | 6.5 | -0.5 | -3 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 3 | 5.9 | -2.9 |
| 38 | Eswatini | 5 | 5 | 6.0 | -1.0 | 8 | 8.1 | -0.1 | -3 | -2.1 | -0.9 | 3 | 5.9 | -2.9 |
| 39 | Mozambique | 4 | 5 | 3.8 | +1.2 | 5 | 3.3 | +1.7 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 |
| 40 | Níger | 4 | 6 | 5.2 | +0.8 | 5 | 5.3 | -0.3 | +1 | -0.1 | +1.1 | 6 | 5.5 | +0.5 |
| 41 | Lesoto | 5 | 2 | 5.3 | -3.3 | 6 | 8.4 | -2.4 | -4 | -3.1 | -0.9 | 4 | 5.0 | -1.0 |
| 42 | Liberia | 4 | 5 | 3.8 | +1.2 | 4 | 4.7 | -0.7 | +1 | -0.8 | +1.8 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 |
| 43 | Sudán del Sur | 5 | 1 | 5.1 | -4.1 | 12 | 8.5 | +3.5 | -11 | -3.4 | -7.6 | 2 | 4.5 | -2.5 |
| 44 | Etiopía | 4 | 7 | 4.9 | +2.1 | 6 | 7.2 | -1.2 | +1 | -2.2 | +3.2 | 6 | 4.2 | +1.8 |
| 45 | Yibuti | 5 | 2 | 3.4 | -1.4 | 13 | 6.4 | +6.6 | -11 | -3.1 | -7.9 | 1 | 4.2 | -3.2 |
| 46 | Mauricio | 5 | 2 | 3.8 | -1.8 | 5 | 7.4 | -2.4 | -3 | -3.6 | +0.6 | 5 | 4.2 | +0.8 |
| 47 | Somalia | 5 | 1 | 3.2 | -2.2 | 11 | 6.9 | +4.1 | -10 | -3.7 | -6.3 | 0 | 4.1 | -4.1 |
| 48 | Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 2.9 | -2.9 | 4 | 3.1 | +0.9 | -4 | -0.2 | -3.8 | 0 | 3.9 | -3.9 |
| 49 | Chad | 4 | 3 | 3.8 | -0.8 | 9 | 6.2 | +2.8 | -6 | -2.4 | -3.6 | 1 | 3.8 | -2.8 |
| 50 | República Centroafricana | 5 | 2 | 3.8 | -1.8 | 11 | 9.5 | +1.5 | -9 | -5.6 | -3.4 | 4 | 3.8 | +0.2 |
| 51 | São Tomé and Príncipe | 5 | 3 | 3.7 | -0.7 | 12 | 8.8 | +3.2 | -9 | -5.1 | -3.9 | 3 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 52 | Congo | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 7 | 3.1 | +3.9 | -6 | -1.6 | -4.4 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 53 | Seychelles | 5 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3 | 26 | 11.5 | +14.5 | -25 | -9.1 | -15.9 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8 |
| # | Equipo | Jugados | Goles | xG | Goles menos de xG | Goles en contra | xGA | Goles en contra menos xGA | Diferencia de goles | xGD | Diferencia de goles menos xGD | Puntos | xPts | Puntos menos xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa de Marfil | 5 | 10 | 6.9 | +3.1 | 0 | 2.8 | -2.8 | +10 | 4.1 | +5.9 | 11 | 9.6 | +1.4 |
| 2 | Egipto | 5 | 8 | 7.3 | +0.7 | 1 | 3.6 | -2.6 | +7 | 3.7 | +3.3 | 11 | 9.5 | +1.5 |
| 3 | Camerún | 5 | 4 | 8.3 | -4.3 | 3 | 5.1 | -2.1 | +1 | 3.2 | -2.2 | 6 | 8.9 | -2.9 |
| 4 | Ghana | 5 | 11 | 8.1 | +2.9 | 3 | 4.7 | -1.7 | +8 | 3.4 | +4.6 | 10 | 8.8 | +1.2 |
| 5 | Senegal | 5 | 9 | 7.8 | +1.2 | 2 | 5.0 | -3.0 | +7 | 2.8 | +4.2 | 11 | 8.8 | +2.2 |
| 6 | RD Congo | 6 | 9 | 6.8 | +2.2 | 3 | 5.8 | -2.8 | +6 | 1.0 | +5.0 | 13 | 8.6 | +4.4 |
| 7 | Sudáfrica | 5 | 6 | 6.5 | -0.5 | 3 | 4.3 | -1.3 | +3 | 2.2 | +0.8 | 8 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 8 | Malí | 4 | 3 | 7.0 | -4.0 | 1 | 3.1 | -2.1 | +2 | 3.9 | -1.9 | 5 | 8.0 | -3.0 |
| 9 | Burkina Faso | 5 | 13 | 6.8 | +6.2 | 3 | 5.4 | -2.4 | +10 | 1.4 | +8.6 | 12 | 7.9 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Marruecos | 4 | 12 | 6.6 | +5.4 | 1 | 3.2 | -2.2 | +11 | 3.4 | +7.6 | 12 | 7.7 | +4.3 |
| 11 | Túnez | 5 | 9 | 6.5 | +2.5 | 0 | 4.8 | -4.8 | +9 | 1.7 | +7.3 | 13 | 7.7 | +5.3 |
| 12 | Gabón | 6 | 13 | 6.3 | +6.7 | 10 | 7.2 | +2.8 | +3 | -0.9 | +3.9 | 12 | 7.7 | +4.3 |
| 13 | Togo | 5 | 1 | 6.0 | -5.0 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 | -5 | 1.2 | -6.2 | 2 | 7.6 | -5.6 |
| 14 | Gambia | 5 | 14 | 7.2 | +6.8 | 8 | 5.9 | +2.1 | +6 | 1.3 | +4.7 | 6 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Angola | 4 | 3 | 6.9 | -3.9 | 3 | 4.0 | -1.0 | +0 | 2.9 | -2.9 | 4 | 7.4 | -3.4 |
| 16 | Argelia | 5 | 10 | 4.9 | +5.1 | 2 | 4.1 | -2.1 | +8 | 0.8 | +7.2 | 13 | 7.3 | +5.7 |
| 17 | Cabo Verde | 5 | 10 | 5.9 | +4.1 | 8 | 5.1 | +2.9 | +2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | 10 | 7.3 | +2.7 |
| 18 | Madagascar | 5 | 10 | 6.7 | +3.3 | 7 | 6.2 | +0.8 | +3 | 0.5 | +2.5 | 9 | 7.2 | +1.8 |
| 19 | Comoras | 5 | 5 | 4.9 | +0.1 | 6 | 4.2 | +1.8 | -1 | 0.7 | -1.7 | 6 | 7.0 | -1.0 |
| 20 | Kenia | 5 | 10 | 6.3 | +3.7 | 8 | 5.2 | +2.8 | +2 | 1.1 | +0.9 | 7 | 6.8 | +0.2 |
| 21 | Benín | 5 | 4 | 5.3 | -1.3 | 8 | 4.9 | +3.1 | -4 | 0.4 | -4.4 | 5 | 6.8 | -1.8 |
| 22 | Guinea | 5 | 7 | 5.7 | +1.3 | 4 | 5.8 | -1.8 | +3 | -0.1 | +3.1 | 9 | 6.8 | +2.2 |
| 23 | Nigeria | 4 | 5 | 4.9 | +0.1 | 5 | 2.9 | +2.1 | +0 | 2.1 | -2.1 | 5 | 6.7 | -1.7 |
| 24 | Guinea-Bisáu | 5 | 3 | 5.6 | -2.6 | 6 | 6.8 | -0.8 | -3 | -1.2 | -1.8 | 4 | 6.1 | -2.1 |
| 25 | Malaui | 5 | 3 | 4.5 | -1.5 | 5 | 6.9 | -1.9 | -2 | -2.5 | +0.5 | 6 | 5.9 | +0.1 |
| 26 | Uganda | 4 | 4 | 4.2 | -0.2 | 4 | 3.9 | +0.1 | +0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 6 | 5.8 | +0.2 |
| 27 | Botsuana | 5 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 | 9 | 6.2 | +2.8 | -3 | -1.4 | -1.6 | 4 | 5.8 | -1.8 |
| 28 | Namibia | 4 | 4 | 4.4 | -0.4 | 6 | 4.0 | +2.0 | -2 | 0.4 | -2.4 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 |
| 29 | Liberia | 5 | 5 | 5.1 | -0.1 | 7 | 6.8 | +0.2 | -2 | -1.7 | -0.3 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 |
| 30 | Mauritania | 5 | 2 | 5.6 | -3.6 | 8 | 7.4 | +0.6 | -6 | -1.8 | -4.2 | 3 | 5.6 | -2.6 |
| 31 | Ruanda | 5 | 2 | 4.4 | -2.4 | 5 | 6.3 | -1.3 | -3 | -1.8 | -1.2 | 6 | 5.5 | +0.5 |
| 32 | Mozambique | 5 | 6 | 4.6 | +1.4 | 11 | 6.9 | +4.1 | -5 | -2.3 | -2.7 | 9 | 5.1 | +3.9 |
| 33 | Zimbabue | 5 | 2 | 4.9 | -2.9 | 6 | 7.6 | -1.6 | -4 | -2.7 | -1.3 | 2 | 5.1 | -3.1 |
| 34 | Etiopía | 5 | 2 | 3.8 | -1.8 | 8 | 7.1 | +0.9 | -6 | -3.3 | -2.7 | 2 | 4.9 | -2.9 |
| 35 | Sudán | 5 | 5 | 4.4 | +0.6 | 4 | 7.0 | -3.0 | +1 | -2.6 | +3.6 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 |
| 36 | República Centroafricana | 5 | 9 | 4.5 | +4.5 | 13 | 7.3 | +5.7 | -4 | -2.8 | -1.2 | 4 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 37 | Eswatini | 5 | 1 | 4.4 | -3.4 | 11 | 7.3 | +3.7 | -10 | -2.9 | -7.1 | 0 | 4.7 | -4.7 |
| 38 | Guinea Ecuatorial | 3 | 4 | 4.1 | -0.1 | 4 | 3.3 | +0.7 | +0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | 4 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 39 | Libia | 5 | 3 | 3.6 | -0.6 | 4 | 6.6 | -2.6 | -1 | -3.0 | +2.0 | 7 | 4.6 | +2.4 |
| 40 | Burundi | 5 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.0 | 7 | 7.4 | -0.4 | -3 | -3.4 | +0.4 | 4 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 41 | Yibuti | 5 | 3 | 5.1 | -2.1 | 20 | 9.5 | +10.5 | -17 | -4.4 | -12.6 | 0 | 4.4 | -4.4 |
| 42 | Mauricio | 5 | 5 | 3.2 | +1.8 | 12 | 7.2 | +4.8 | -7 | -4.0 | -3.0 | 1 | 4.1 | -3.1 |
| 43 | Somalia | 5 | 2 | 4.0 | -2.0 | 9 | 8.3 | +0.7 | -7 | -4.4 | -2.6 | 1 | 4.0 | -3.0 |
| 44 | Chad | 5 | 2 | 3.2 | -1.2 | 13 | 7.7 | +5.3 | -11 | -4.6 | -6.4 | 0 | 3.9 | -3.9 |
| 45 | São Tomé and Príncipe | 5 | 2 | 4.1 | -2.1 | 14 | 9.2 | +4.8 | -12 | -5.1 | -6.9 | 0 | 3.8 | -3.8 |
| 46 | Tanzania | 4 | 3 | 2.7 | +0.3 | 3 | 5.1 | -2.1 | +0 | -2.5 | +2.5 | 7 | 3.6 | +3.4 |
| 47 | Sierra Leona | 3 | 5 | 2.1 | +2.9 | 4 | 3.4 | +0.6 | +1 | -1.3 | +2.3 | 5 | 3.2 | +1.8 |
| 48 | Zambia | 3 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.0 | 4 | 4.6 | -0.6 | -1 | -1.6 | +0.6 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.0 |
| 49 | Sudán del Sur | 5 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | 7 | 9.0 | -2.0 | -5 | -6.3 | +1.3 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.0 |
| 50 | Lesoto | 5 | 4 | 2.6 | +1.4 | 8 | 9.2 | -1.2 | -4 | -6.6 | +2.6 | 5 | 2.6 | +2.4 |
| 51 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 8 | 6.2 | +1.8 | -5 | -2.7 | -2.3 | 0 | 2.5 | -2.5 |
| 52 | Níger | 3 | 2 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 5 | 5.9 | -0.9 | -3 | -3.7 | +0.7 | 6 | 2.1 | +3.9 |
| 53 | Seychelles | 5 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 27 | 12.3 | +14.7 | -26 | -10.4 | -15.6 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8 |
| # | Equipo | Jugados | Goles | xG | Goles menos de xG | Goles en contra | xGA | Goles en contra menos xGA | Diferencia de goles | xGD | Diferencia de goles menos xGD | Puntos | xPts | Puntos menos xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marruecos | 5 | 12 | 9.1 | +2.9 | 1 | 3.0 | -2.0 | +11 | 6.1 | +4.9 | 15 | 10.6 | +4.4 |
| 2 | Costa de Marfil | 5 | 12 | 8.0 | +4.0 | 0 | 2.8 | -2.8 | +12 | 5.2 | +6.8 | 13 | 10.4 | +2.6 |
| 3 | Egipto | 5 | 8 | 8.2 | -0.2 | 0 | 3.2 | -3.2 | +8 | 5.0 | +3.0 | 13 | 10.2 | +2.8 |
| 4 | Angola | 5 | 7 | 6.7 | +0.3 | 7 | 2.8 | +4.2 | +0 | 3.9 | -3.9 | 5 | 9.4 | -4.4 |
| 5 | Sudáfrica | 5 | 9 | 6.6 | +2.4 | 1 | 3.0 | -2.0 | +8 | 3.6 | +4.4 | 11 | 9.4 | +1.6 |
| 6 | Túnez | 5 | 15 | 9.0 | +6.0 | 0 | 4.5 | -4.5 | +15 | 4.5 | +10.5 | 15 | 9.3 | +5.7 |
| 7 | Nigeria | 5 | 12 | 7.2 | +4.8 | 3 | 3.6 | -0.6 | +9 | 3.6 | +5.4 | 13 | 9.2 | +3.8 |
| 8 | Camerún | 5 | 8 | 7.4 | +0.6 | 3 | 4.2 | -1.2 | +5 | 3.2 | +1.8 | 9 | 9.1 | -0.1 |
| 9 | Senegal | 5 | 16 | 7.1 | +8.9 | 2 | 4.0 | -2.0 | +14 | 3.1 | +10.9 | 15 | 9.0 | +6.0 |
| 10 | Malí | 5 | 10 | 6.5 | +3.5 | 2 | 3.3 | -1.3 | +8 | 3.2 | +4.8 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1 |
| 11 | Argelia | 5 | 13 | 6.3 | +6.7 | 3 | 3.5 | -0.5 | +10 | 2.9 | +7.1 | 13 | 8.9 | +4.1 |
| 12 | Uganda | 5 | 9 | 6.8 | +2.2 | 2 | 4.1 | -2.1 | +7 | 2.7 | +4.3 | 12 | 8.9 | +3.1 |
| 13 | Guinea Ecuatorial | 5 | 7 | 6.3 | +0.7 | 5 | 3.6 | +1.4 | +2 | 2.7 | -0.7 | 8 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Burkina Faso | 5 | 12 | 6.9 | +5.1 | 2 | 4.4 | -2.4 | +10 | 2.5 | +7.5 | 13 | 8.4 | +4.6 |
| 15 | Gambia | 5 | 15 | 8.0 | +7.0 | 6 | 5.6 | +0.4 | +9 | 2.4 | +6.6 | 9 | 8.4 | +0.6 |
| 16 | Ghana | 5 | 11 | 6.7 | +4.3 | 1 | 4.0 | -3.0 | +10 | 2.7 | +7.3 | 13 | 8.2 | +4.8 |
| 17 | Cabo Verde | 5 | 11 | 6.0 | +5.0 | 4 | 3.9 | +0.1 | +7 | 2.1 | +4.9 | 13 | 8.2 | +4.8 |
| 18 | Guinea-Bisáu | 5 | 4 | 5.6 | -1.6 | 5 | 3.7 | +1.3 | -1 | 1.9 | -2.9 | 4 | 8.2 | -4.2 |
| 19 | Namibia | 5 | 6 | 6.6 | -0.6 | 9 | 4.3 | +4.7 | -3 | 2.3 | -5.3 | 4 | 8.0 | -4.0 |
| 20 | RD Congo | 5 | 9 | 6.3 | +2.7 | 4 | 4.8 | -0.8 | +5 | 1.5 | +3.5 | 12 | 7.9 | +4.1 |
| 21 | Gabón | 5 | 11 | 5.8 | +5.2 | 7 | 4.6 | +2.4 | +4 | 1.3 | +2.7 | 10 | 7.9 | +2.1 |
| 22 | Zambia | 5 | 2 | 6.7 | -4.7 | 6 | 5.5 | +0.5 | -4 | 1.2 | -5.2 | 3 | 7.6 | -4.6 |
| 23 | Malaui | 5 | 4 | 5.7 | -1.7 | 7 | 5.6 | +1.4 | -3 | 0.1 | -3.1 | 4 | 7.5 | -3.5 |
| 24 | Togo | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | -4.0 | 5 | 4.1 | +0.9 | -4 | 0.9 | -4.9 | 4 | 7.4 | -3.4 |
| 25 | Comoras | 5 | 4 | 5.4 | -1.4 | 6 | 4.2 | +1.8 | -2 | 1.2 | -3.2 | 6 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 26 | Sierra Leona | 5 | 8 | 4.7 | +3.3 | 4 | 4.1 | -0.1 | +4 | 0.6 | +3.4 | 10 | 7.2 | +2.8 |
| 27 | Kenia | 5 | 8 | 5.3 | +2.7 | 8 | 4.8 | +3.2 | +0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 6 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 28 | Guinea | 5 | 7 | 5.6 | +1.4 | 4 | 5.1 | -1.1 | +3 | 0.5 | +2.5 | 8 | 7.1 | +0.9 |
| 29 | Mauritania | 5 | 2 | 5.1 | -3.1 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 | -4 | 0.3 | -4.3 | 5 | 7.0 | -2.0 |
| 30 | Ruanda | 5 | 2 | 4.9 | -2.9 | 6 | 4.7 | +1.3 | -4 | 0.2 | -4.2 | 4 | 6.9 | -2.9 |
| 31 | Madagascar | 5 | 8 | 4.3 | +3.7 | 9 | 4.4 | +4.6 | -1 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 9 | 6.7 | +2.3 |
| 32 | Benín | 5 | 6 | 4.0 | +2.0 | 6 | 4.2 | +1.8 | +0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | 9 | 6.5 | +2.5 |
| 33 | Botsuana | 5 | 5 | 5.7 | -0.7 | 8 | 5.9 | +2.1 | -3 | -0.2 | -2.8 | 4 | 6.5 | -2.5 |
| 34 | Libia | 5 | 7 | 4.6 | +2.4 | 6 | 5.2 | +0.8 | +1 | -0.6 | +1.6 | 8 | 6.3 | +1.7 |
| 35 | Sudán | 5 | 1 | 4.2 | -3.2 | 5 | 5.2 | -0.2 | -4 | -1.1 | -2.9 | 2 | 5.9 | -3.9 |
| 36 | Mozambique | 5 | 5 | 3.4 | +1.6 | 11 | 4.5 | +6.5 | -6 | -1.1 | -4.9 | 6 | 5.8 | +0.2 |
| 37 | Tanzania | 5 | 2 | 4.2 | -2.2 | 5 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -1.8 | -1.2 | 4 | 5.6 | -1.6 |
| 38 | Burundi | 5 | 5 | 3.1 | +1.9 | 6 | 5.2 | +0.8 | -1 | -2.0 | +1.0 | 3 | 5.4 | -2.4 |
| 39 | Liberia | 5 | 8 | 3.8 | +4.2 | 8 | 6.6 | +1.4 | +0 | -2.8 | +2.8 | 8 | 4.8 | +3.2 |
| 40 | Zimbabue | 5 | 1 | 4.6 | -3.6 | 4 | 8.0 | -4.0 | -3 | -3.3 | +0.3 | 2 | 4.7 | -2.7 |
| 41 | República Centroafricana | 5 | 3 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 11 | 8.3 | +2.7 | -8 | -4.3 | -3.7 | 4 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 42 | Níger | 5 | 6 | 4.6 | +1.4 | 8 | 9.0 | -1.0 | -2 | -4.4 | +2.4 | 9 | 4.5 | +4.5 |
| 43 | Etiopía | 5 | 8 | 4.6 | +3.4 | 8 | 8.6 | -0.6 | +0 | -4.0 | +4.0 | 6 | 4.4 | +1.6 |
| 44 | Congo | 5 | 4 | 4.9 | -0.9 | 15 | 9.3 | +5.7 | -11 | -4.4 | -6.6 | 1 | 4.3 | -3.3 |
| 45 | Mauricio | 5 | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3 | 10 | 6.0 | +4.0 | -6 | -3.3 | -2.7 | 2 | 4.2 | -2.2 |
| 46 | Chad | 5 | 4 | 3.8 | +0.2 | 13 | 7.9 | +5.1 | -9 | -4.1 | -4.9 | 1 | 4.1 | -3.1 |
| 47 | Lesoto | 5 | 3 | 3.9 | -0.9 | 10 | 8.3 | +1.7 | -7 | -4.4 | -2.6 | 4 | 3.9 | +0.1 |
| 48 | Eswatini | 5 | 5 | 3.0 | +2.0 | 13 | 7.7 | +5.3 | -8 | -4.7 | -3.3 | 2 | 3.7 | -1.7 |
| 49 | Sudán del Sur | 5 | 2 | 3.1 | -1.1 | 10 | 7.8 | +2.2 | -8 | -4.6 | -3.4 | 3 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 50 | São Tomé and Príncipe | 5 | 4 | 3.9 | +0.1 | 14 | 9.5 | +4.5 | -10 | -5.6 | -4.4 | 3 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 51 | Somalia | 5 | 0 | 3.2 | -3.2 | 11 | 8.0 | +3.0 | -11 | -4.9 | -6.1 | 0 | 3.5 | -3.5 |
| 52 | Yibuti | 5 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | 19 | 7.2 | +11.8 | -17 | -4.4 | -12.6 | 0 | 3.4 | -3.4 |
| 53 | Seychelles | 5 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | 28 | 9.2 | +18.8 | -28 | -7.7 | -20.3 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8 |
Gambia fue el equipo que más superó su xG en la CAF World Cup Qualifiers en 2026, con 27 goles en ocasiones por valor de 14,1 xG, una diferencia de 12,9. Le siguieron Argelia, con 10,6.
Togo fue el equipo que más se quedó por debajo de su xG en la CAF World Cup Qualifiers en 2026, con 5 goles en ocasiones por valor de 13,1 xG, un déficit de 8,1. Le siguieron Mauritania, con 7,3.
Túnez fue el equipo con más suerte en la CAF World Cup Qualifiers en 2026, con 28 puntos para un rendimiento de 17,6 xPts, 10,4 más de lo que merecían sus ocasiones. Le siguieron RD Congo, con 8,3.
Togo fue el equipo con menos suerte en la CAF World Cup Qualifiers en 2026, con 8 puntos para un rendimiento de 16,1 xPts, 8,1 menos de lo que merecía. Le siguieron Eswatini y Yibuti, con 7,6.
Costa de Marfil lideraría la CAF World Cup Qualifiers en 2026 en puntos esperados, con 20,2 xPts, a partir de 17,7 xG generados y 5,7 concedidos en diez partidos. Le siguieron Nigeria, con 18,6.
Costa de Marfil fue el equipo que más xG generó en la CAF World Cup Qualifiers en 2026: 17,7 en diez partidos, 1,8 por partido frente a una media de la competición de 1,2. Le siguieron Camerún y Túnez, con 16,3.
Seychelles fue el equipo que menos xG generó en la CAF World Cup Qualifiers en 2026: 4,2 en diez partidos, 0,4 por partido frente a una media de la competición de 1,2. Le siguieron Congo, con 4,9.
Seychelles fue el equipo que más xG concedió en la CAF World Cup Qualifiers en 2026: 23,8 en diez partidos, 2,4 por partido frente a una media de la competición de 1,2. Le siguieron São Tomé y Príncipe, con 18,0.
Marruecos fue el equipo que menos xG concedió en la CAF World Cup Qualifiers en 2026: 4,7 en ocho partidos, 0,6 por partido frente a una media de la competición de 1,2. Le siguieron Guinea Ecuatorial, con 5,2.
Los equipos de CAF World Cup Qualifiers promediaron 1,16 xG por partido en 2026, en los 250 partidos jugados, y marcaron 1,27 goles por partido.
Los equipos de CAF World Cup Qualifiers generaron más xG en casa en 2026: 1,26 por partido frente a 1,07 fuera, una ventaja de local de +0,19.
| # | Equipo | Jugados | Goles | xG | Goles menos xG | Goles en contra | xGA | Goles en contra menos xGA | Diferencia de goles | xGD | Diferencia de goles menos xGD | Puntos | xPts | Puntos menos xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa de Marfil | 10 | 25 | 17.7 | +7.3 | 0 | 5.7 | -5.7 | +25 | 12.0 | +13.0 | 26 | 20.2 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 10 | 17 | 15.1 | +1.9 | 9 | 7.6 | +1.4 | +8 | 7.5 | +0.5 | 17 | 18.6 | -1.6 |
| 3 | Camerún | 10 | 17 | 16.3 | +0.7 | 6 | 9.6 | -3.6 | +11 | 6.7 | +4.3 | 18 | 18.1 | -0.1 |
| 4 | Sudáfrica | 10 | 17 | 13.5 | +3.5 | 6 | 7.1 | -1.1 | +11 | 6.4 | +4.6 | 21 | 18.1 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Senegal | 10 | 22 | 16.1 | +5.9 | 3 | 9.2 | -6.2 | +19 | 6.9 | +12.1 | 24 | 18.0 | +6.0 |
| 6 | Egipto | 9 | 19 | 15.4 | +3.6 | 2 | 7.0 | -5.0 | +17 | 8.4 | +8.6 | 23 | 17.7 | +5.3 |
| 7 | Túnez | 10 | 22 | 16.3 | +5.7 | 0 | 9.3 | -9.3 | +22 | 7.0 | +15.0 | 28 | 17.6 | +10.4 |
| 8 | Malí | 9 | 15 | 14.1 | +0.9 | 6 | 6.4 | -0.4 | +9 | 7.7 | +1.3 | 15 | 17.4 | -2.4 |
| 9 | Marruecos | 8 | 22 | 14.6 | +7.4 | 2 | 4.7 | -2.7 | +20 | 9.9 | +10.1 | 24 | 17.3 | +6.7 |
| 10 | Ghana | 10 | 23 | 14.8 | +8.2 | 6 | 9.3 | -3.3 | +17 | 5.5 | +11.5 | 25 | 17.1 | +7.9 |
| 11 | Burkina Faso | 10 | 23 | 15.5 | +7.5 | 8 | 10.5 | -2.5 | +15 | 5.0 | +10.0 | 21 | 16.9 | +4.1 |
| 12 | Argelia | 10 | 24 | 13.4 | +10.6 | 8 | 8.6 | -0.6 | +16 | 4.9 | +11.1 | 25 | 16.9 | +8.1 |
| 13 | Gabón | 11 | 23 | 13.5 | +9.5 | 13 | 10.9 | +2.1 | +10 | 2.6 | +7.4 | 25 | 16.8 | +8.2 |
| 14 | RD Congo | 11 | 16 | 13.2 | +2.8 | 6 | 10.7 | -4.7 | +10 | 2.4 | +7.6 | 25 | 16.7 | +8.3 |
| 15 | Cabo Verde | 10 | 16 | 13.1 | +2.9 | 8 | 9.0 | -1.0 | +8 | 4.2 | +3.8 | 23 | 16.6 | +6.4 |
| 16 | Togo | 10 | 5 | 13.1 | -8.1 | 10 | 9.6 | +0.4 | -5 | 3.6 | -8.6 | 8 | 16.1 | -8.1 |
| 17 | Gambia | 10 | 27 | 14.1 | +12.9 | 18 | 10.9 | +7.1 | +9 | 3.3 | +5.7 | 13 | 15.6 | -2.6 |
| 18 | Angola | 9 | 9 | 12.7 | -3.7 | 8 | 7.9 | +0.1 | +1 | 4.8 | -3.8 | 11 | 15.5 | -4.5 |
| 19 | Uganda | 9 | 13 | 11.5 | +1.5 | 6 | 7.5 | -1.5 | +7 | 4.0 | +3.0 | 18 | 15.3 | +2.7 |
| 20 | Kenia | 10 | 18 | 13.2 | +4.8 | 14 | 9.8 | +4.2 | +4 | 3.4 | +0.6 | 12 | 15.3 | -3.3 |
| 21 | Comoras | 10 | 12 | 12.3 | -0.3 | 13 | 9.6 | +3.4 | -1 | 2.7 | -3.7 | 15 | 15.1 | -0.1 |
| 22 | Guinea | 10 | 11 | 11.7 | -0.7 | 8 | 10.1 | -2.1 | +3 | 1.6 | +1.4 | 15 | 15.0 | +0.0 |
| 23 | Namibia | 9 | 10 | 11.2 | -1.2 | 10 | 8.4 | +1.6 | +0 | 2.8 | -2.8 | 12 | 13.8 | -1.8 |
| 24 | Mauritania | 10 | 4 | 11.3 | -7.3 | 13 | 11.1 | +1.9 | -9 | 0.2 | -9.2 | 7 | 13.8 | -6.8 |
| 25 | Benín | 10 | 12 | 10.0 | +2.0 | 11 | 9.4 | +1.6 | +1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | 17 | 13.7 | +3.3 |
| 26 | Guinea-Bisáu | 10 | 8 | 10.0 | -2.0 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.0 | -2 | 0.0 | -2.0 | 10 | 13.5 | -3.5 |
| 27 | Madagascar | 10 | 17 | 11.2 | +5.8 | 12 | 11.7 | +0.3 | +5 | -0.5 | +5.5 | 19 | 13.4 | +5.6 |
| 28 | Botsuana | 10 | 12 | 11.3 | +0.7 | 16 | 11.9 | +4.1 | -4 | -0.6 | -3.4 | 10 | 12.8 | -2.8 |
| 29 | Guinea Ecuatorial | 7 | 8 | 9.5 | -1.5 | 6 | 5.2 | +0.8 | +2 | 4.2 | -2.2 | 11 | 12.4 | -1.4 |
| 30 | Ruanda | 9 | 5 | 8.9 | -3.9 | 7 | 9.0 | -2.0 | -2 | 0.0 | -2.0 | 11 | 12.2 | -1.2 |
| 31 | Malaui | 9 | 8 | 10.0 | -2.0 | 10 | 11.3 | -1.3 | -2 | -1.3 | -0.7 | 10 | 12.2 | -2.2 |
| 32 | Burundi | 10 | 13 | 8.8 | +4.2 | 13 | 11.3 | +1.7 | +0 | -2.5 | +2.5 | 10 | 11.7 | -1.7 |
| 33 | Libia | 10 | 12 | 9.2 | +2.8 | 10 | 12.3 | -2.3 | +2 | -3.0 | +5.0 | 16 | 11.5 | +4.5 |
| 34 | Sudán | 10 | 8 | 10.0 | -2.0 | 6 | 13.4 | -7.4 | +2 | -3.4 | +5.4 | 13 | 11.2 | +1.8 |
| 35 | Zimbabue | 10 | 5 | 10.1 | -5.1 | 12 | 14.0 | -2.0 | -7 | -4.0 | -3.0 | 5 | 11,0 | -6.0 |
| 36 | Mozambique | 9 | 11 | 8.4 | +2.6 | 16 | 10.2 | +5.8 | -5 | -1.8 | -3.2 | 15 | 10.9 | +4.1 |
| 37 | Sierra Leona | 8 | 12 | 8.5 | +3.5 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.0 | +3 | -0.4 | +3.4 | 14 | 10.7 | +3.3 |
| 38 | Eswatini | 10 | 6 | 10.4 | -4.4 | 19 | 15.4 | +3.6 | -13 | -5.0 | -8.0 | 3 | 10.6 | -7.6 |
| 39 | Liberia | 9 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1 | 11 | 11.5 | -0.5 | -1 | -2.6 | +1.6 | 12 | 10.5 | +1.5 |
| 40 | Zambia | 7 | 7 | 10.4 | -3.4 | 10 | 9.5 | +0.5 | -3 | 0.9 | -3.9 | 6 | 10.2 | -4.2 |
| 41 | Etiopía | 9 | 9 | 8.7 | +0.3 | 14 | 14.3 | -0.3 | -5 | -5.5 | +0.5 | 8 | 9.1 | -1.1 |
| 42 | Yibuti | 10 | 5 | 8.5 | -3.5 | 33 | 15.9 | +17.1 | -28 | -7.5 | -20.5 | 1 | 8.6 | -7.6 |
| 43 | República Centroafricana | 10 | 11 | 8.3 | +2.7 | 24 | 16.8 | +7.2 | -13 | -8.5 | -4.5 | 8 | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 44 | Mauricio | 10 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.0 | 17 | 14.6 | +2.4 | -10 | -7.6 | -2.4 | 6 | 8.3 | -2.3 |
| 45 | Somalia | 10 | 3 | 7.2 | -4.2 | 20 | 15.2 | +4.8 | -17 | -8.1 | -8.9 | 1 | 8.1 | -7.1 |
| 46 | Chad | 9 | 5 | 6.9 | -1.9 | 22 | 13.9 | +8.1 | -17 | -7.0 | -10.0 | 1 | 7.7 | -6.7 |
| 47 | Níger | 7 | 8 | 7.4 | +0.6 | 10 | 11.1 | -1.1 | -2 | -3.8 | +1.8 | 12 | 7.6 | +4.4 |
| 48 | Lesoto | 10 | 6 | 8.0 | -2.0 | 14 | 17.7 | -3.7 | -8 | -9.7 | +1.7 | 9 | 7.6 | +1.4 |
| 49 | Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 5.6 | -2.6 | 7 | 8.3 | -1.3 | -4 | -2.7 | -1.3 | 7 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 50 | Sudán del Sur | 10 | 3 | 7.9 | -4.9 | 19 | 17.6 | +1.4 | -16 | -9.7 | -6.3 | 5 | 7.5 | -2.5 |
| 51 | São Tomé and Príncipe | 10 | 5 | 7.8 | -2.8 | 26 | 18.0 | +8.0 | -21 | -10.2 | -10.8 | 3 | 7.4 | -4.4 |
| 52 | Congo | 5 | 4 | 4.9 | -0.9 | 15 | 9.3 | +5.7 | -11 | -4.4 | -6.6 | 1 | 4.3 | -3.3 |
| 53 | Seychelles | 10 | 2 | 4.2 | -2.2 | 53 | 23.8 | +29.2 | -51 | -19.6 | -31.4 | 0 | 3.6 | -3.6 |