Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave Prediction, Projections & Preview

Trent Rockets host Southern Brave at Trent Bridge on Monday 10 August for the 29th match of The Hundred 2026. First ball is at 17:30 BST.

Trent Rockets are flying high at the top of the table with five wins from six matches and a net run rate of 1.071. Southern Brave sit sixth with just two wins from six, struggling to find consistency in the middle of the tournament. This is a crucial fixture for both sides – Rockets hunting a sixth win to cement their playoff position, Brave fighting to stay in contention. For full head-to-head records, projections and lineups, visit the Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Trent Bridge is a bowler-friendly ground that has hosted 10 Hundred matches in recent seasons. The average match total stands at 265.8 runs with an average first-innings score of 134.1. Seam bowlers have dominated here, taking 54.2% of wickets at an economy of 10.24, while spinners account for 40.7% of dismissals at 9.3 per over. The pitch is tagged as Bowler Friendly by Statz.

Trent Rockets have an exceptional home record at this ground – 16 wins from 21 Hundred matches since 2021, with an average score of 18.4 overs and a highest score of 75. Southern Brave have struggled away, winning none of their two visits here, averaging just 15.3 overs with a highest score of 55. The home advantage is stark.

Form and Table Position

Trent Rockets – 1st (P6 W5 L1, 20 pts)

Rockets are the form team in The Hundred. Five straight wins have propelled them to the summit:

• 08 Aug vs MI London (H): W – TR 148/4 (90 balls), MIL 147/7 (100 balls)
• 05 Aug vs Birmingham Phoenix (H): W – TR 116/3 (83 balls), BP 111/6 (100 balls)
• 02 Aug vs Sunrisers Leeds (H): W – TR 146/4 (100 balls), SL 141/4 (100 balls)
• 31 Jul vs Manchester Super Giants (H): W – TR 140/4 (87 balls), MSG 137/3 (100 balls)
• 29 Jul vs Welsh Fire (H): W – TR 126/1 (72 balls), WF 122/7 (100 balls)

Southern Brave – 6th (P6 W2 L4, 8 pts)

Brave have found life tough in the middle phase of the tournament. Two wins from six leaves them in a precarious position:

• 03 Aug vs Welsh Fire (A): L – SB 115/8 (100 balls), WF 116/4 (95 balls)
• 01 Aug vs London Spirit (A): W – SB 111/5 (97 balls), LS 105/10 (92 balls)
• 30 Jul vs Birmingham Phoenix (A): W – SB 128/8 (100 balls), BP 116/9 (100 balls)
• 27 Jul vs MI London (A): L – SB 129/9 (100 balls), MIL 130/7 (100 balls)
• 25 Jul vs Sunrisers Leeds (A): L – SB 182/5 (100 balls), SL 187/5 (100 balls)

Standings Snapshot

Pos	Team	P	W	L	Pts	NRR
1	Trent Rockets	6	5	1	20	+1.071
2	Sunrisers Leeds	6	4	2	16	+0.451
3	Welsh Fire	6	4	2	16	-0.645
4	MI London	5	3	2	12	+1.167
5	Manchester Super Giants	6	3	3	12	+0.571
6	Southern Brave	6	2	4	8	+0.288

Rockets have a four-point buffer over second place and look well-positioned for the playoffs. Brave are in the danger zone – another loss could see them slip out of contention with matches running out.

Head-to-Head

The all-time record between these sides is perfectly balanced at 3-3 from six meetings. However, the recent trend favours Brave slightly – they have won two of the last five encounters. The most recent clash saw Brave emerge victorious, suggesting they have the tactical nous to trouble Rockets despite their current league position.

At Trent Bridge specifically, Rockets’ home dominance is overwhelming. They have won 16 of 21 Hundred matches here since 2021, while Brave have never won an away fixture at this venue (0-2 record).

Statz Projections and Predicted Match Total

The Statz projections favour Trent Rockets but signal this is far from a foregone conclusion.

If Trent Rockets bat first: Projected first-innings total of 128.6, match total of 246.3. Win probability – TR 50.6%, SB 42.9%, tie/no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 108 to 149.

If Southern Brave bat first: Projected first-innings total of 125.2, match total of 243.5. Win probability – TR 52.0%, SB 41.5%, tie/no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 102 to 147.

The projected match total of 245 sits below the Trent Bridge average of 265.8, reflecting the bowler-friendly nature of the pitch. Rockets gain a marginal edge if they bowl first (52.0% vs 50.6%), suggesting the toss could prove pivotal. Match total P10-P90 range: 225 to 270.

Competition Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player	Team	Runs	Inns
Mitchell Marsh	Sunrisers Leeds	324	6
Ben Duckett	Trent Rockets	288	7
Jos Buttler	Manchester Super Giants	277	6
Will Jacks	MI London	252	7
Ryan Rickelton	Sunrisers Leeds	234	6

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player	Team	Wkts	Inns
Richard Gleeson	MI London	12	7
Marcus Stoinis	Southern Brave	9	5
Adil Rashid	Southern Brave	8	6
Trent Boult	MI London	8	7
Brydon Carse	Sunrisers Leeds	8	6

Trent Rockets Season Leaders

Runs: Ben Duckett – 288 runs, avg 41.14, HS 75 | Finn Allen – 179 runs, avg 25.57, HS 72 | Tom Banton – 131 runs, avg 32.75, HS 67

Wickets: Craig Overton – 7 wkts, best 3 | Lewis Gregory – 7 wkts, best 2 | Calvin Harrison – 6 wkts, best 2

Southern Brave Season Leaders

Runs: David Miller – 145 runs, avg 24.17, HS 44 | Marcus Stoinis – 128 runs, avg 25.6, HS 55 | Jamie Smith – 124 runs, avg 20.67, HS 49

Wickets: Marcus Stoinis – 9 wkts, best 3 | Adil Rashid – 8 wkts, best 3 | Jofra Archer – 7 wkts, best 4

Predicted Lineups

Trent Rockets (based on XI vs MI London, 08 Aug 2026)

1. Finn Allen
2. Ben Duckett
3. Aneurin Donald
4. Sam Billings (c, wk)
5. Tim David
6. Mitchell Santner
7. Lewis Gregory
8. Craig Overton
9. Calvin Harrison
10. Matt Henry
11. Ben Sanderson

Southern Brave (based on recent XI)

1. Jamie Smith (wk)
2. Ben McKinney
3. Marcus Stoinis
4. David Miller
5. Tristan Stubbs
6. Moeen Ali
7. Nikhil Chaudhary
8. Chris Jordan (c)
9. Jofra Archer
10. Adil Rashid
11. Luke Wood

These lineups are based on the most recent matches for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on projected fantasy points from the Statz model:

Captain: Marcus Stoinis (SB) – projected 66.4 pts when Brave bat second. The all-rounder is Southern Brave’s standout performer with 128 runs at 25.6 and 9 wickets this season. His dual threat across batting and bowling makes him the safest captain choice, with a 60% hit rate for 30+ runs and 80% for 1+ wicket.

Vice Captain: Ben Duckett (TR) – projected 45.1 pts when Brave bat first. The Rockets opener has 288 runs at 41.14 with an 85.7% hit rate for 20+ runs this season. His consistency at the top of the order makes him a reliable vice-captain pick.

Also consider:

• Craig Overton (TR) – projected 56.1 pts – 7 wickets this season, 60% hit rate for 1+ wicket in last 5
• Chris Jordan (SB) – projected 55.4 pts – 8 wickets from 6 matches, 80% hit rate for 1+ wicket in last 5
• Jofra Archer (SB) – projected 52.1 pts – 7 wickets this season, 40% hit rate for 2+ wickets

Key Players

Ben Duckett (Trent Rockets)

The Rockets opener is in outstanding form. With 288 runs at an average of 41.14 and a high score of 75, Duckett sits second in the Orange Cap race. His last three scores of 64, 22 and 27 show he is consistently getting starts. The Statz model projects him for 31.7 runs when Rockets bat first – a projection backed by his 85.7% hit rate for 20+ runs this season and 80% in his last five matches. He is the anchor Rockets depend on.

Marcus Stoinis (Southern Brave)

Stoinis is Southern Brave’s most dangerous player and their leading wicket-taker with 9 from just five matches. His all-round threat is exceptional – 128 runs at 25.6 with a high of 55, plus a 60% hit rate for 30+ runs and 80% for 1+ wicket. The Statz projections show him at 66.4 fantasy points when Brave bat second, making him the standout captain choice across both lineups. His last three scores of 34, 3 and 55 show the explosive potential that can turn a match.

Craig Overton (Trent Rockets)

The Rockets pace bowler has taken 7 wickets in 7 matches with a best of 3. His economy rate of 7.89 is excellent on a bowler-friendly pitch, and he has a 60% hit rate for 1+ wicket in his last five games. Overton’s ability to pick up early wickets and keep the runs down makes him a key cog in Rockets’ bowling attack.

Adil Rashid (Southern Brave)

Rashid’s leg-spin is a crucial weapon for Brave on this bowler-friendly surface. With 8 wickets from 6 matches and a 100% hit rate for 1+ wicket in his last five games, he is nothing short of relentless. His 83.3% season hit rate for taking a wicket makes him one of the most reliable bowlers in the competition.

Conditions

Partly cloudy conditions are forecast with temperatures around 20 degrees Celsius. Humidity sits at 45% with light winds at 3.2 km/h from the south-west. No rain is expected during the match window. The bowler-friendly pitch should remain consistent throughout the evening.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Trent Rockets are the clear favourites here and for good reason. They sit top of the table with five wins from six, have an exceptional home record at Trent Bridge, and are playing with genuine cohesion. Southern Brave are struggling away from home and have won just two matches all season.

The Statz projections back Rockets to win with a 51.3% probability against Brave’s 42.2%, with 6.5% for tie/no result. The projected match total of 245 reflects the bowler-friendly nature of the pitch.

Indicative odds have Trent Rockets at 1.50 and Southern Brave at 2.50 across the major bookmakers. The gap reflects Rockets’ dominance in this fixture and their current form.

I am leaning Trent Rockets here. The home advantage is overwhelming, their recent form is flawless, and Brave have shown no signs of arresting their slide. Rockets should win comfortably.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture:

• Ben Duckett 20+ runs – 85.7% season hit rate, 80% in last 5. The most reliable batting line in this match.
• Marcus Stoinis 1+ wicket – 80% season hit rate. The Brave all-rounder has taken a wicket in 4 of his last 5 matches.
• Craig Overton 1+ wicket – 60% hit rate in last 5 matches. A bowler-friendly pitch plays to his strengths.
• Adil Rashid 1+ wicket – 100% hit rate in last 5 matches. Nothing is guaranteed in cricket, but Rashid’s consistency is remarkable.

Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave Prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave?

A: Trent Rockets are favoured to win with a 51.3% probability according to Statz projections. They sit top of the table with five wins from six matches and have an exceptional home record at Trent Bridge. Southern Brave have won just two matches this season and have never won away at this venue.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz model projects a match total of 245 runs. This sits below the Trent Bridge average of 265.8, reflecting the bowler-friendly nature of the pitch. The P10-P90 range is 225 to 270 runs.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is a genuine coin-flip. However, the Statz projections show that bowling first offers a marginal advantage – Rockets would have a 52.0% win probability if Brave bat first, compared to 50.6% if Rockets bat first. Expect the winning captain to bowl.

Q: Is Trent Rockets a good bet?

A: Rockets are the form team and have everything in their favour – top of the table, five wins from six, and an overwhelming home record. At indicative odds of 1.50, they represent solid value given their dominance. Nothing is guaranteed in sport, but Rockets have far more in their favour than Brave.