MI New York vs Texas Super Kings Preview – MLC 2026 | Statz

MI New York vs Texas Super Kings – MLC 2026 Preview

Fourth-placed MI New York host fifth-placed Texas Super Kings at Oakland Coliseum on Friday in a crucial Major League Cricket 2026 mid-table clash. MINY sit on 2 points from 2 matches, while TSK have 2 points from 3. This is a repeat fixture from just four days ago, when MI New York thrashed TSK by 8 wickets. First ball is at 3:00 AM IST on June 27 (10:30 PM BST on June 26). Full stats and projections on the Statz fixture page.

The Venue

Oakland Coliseum has been a batting paradise in T20 cricket. Across 9 matches, the average first-innings score is 193.6 and bat-first sides have won 67% of decided games. Match totals average 341.8 runs with 22.9 sixes and 24.3 fours per game. Pace bowlers go at 9.32 an over and claim 70.3% of wickets, while spin is slightly cheaper at 8.86 but accounts for just 25% of dismissals. The highest total here is 269 and the lowest 145. Despite the batting-friendly conditions, chasing has been difficult – second-innings scores average just 148.2. The most recent game at Oakland saw MI New York chase down 200 against Seattle Orcas with 7 wickets in hand (19 Jun 2025).

Form and Table

MI New York (4th – P2 W1 L1, 2 pts) won their most recent outing comfortably, chasing down 158 against TSK with 8 wickets in hand on 22 June. Before that, they were beaten by Washington Freedom, conceding 245/5 and falling short at 215/6.

Last 2 results: W (162/2 beat TSK 158/10), L (215/6 lost to WSF 245/5)

Texas Super Kings (5th – P3 W1 L2, 2 pts) have had a tough start. Their only win came against Seattle Orcas, chasing 220 with 9 balls to spare (221/4). Defeats to San Francisco Unicorns (152/9 vs 153/3) and MI New York (158/10 vs 162/2) have left them needing results quickly.

Last 3 results: L (158/10 lost to MINY 162/2), L (152/9 lost to SFU 153/3), W (221/4 beat SO 220/2)

MLC 2026 Standings (Top 4):

Four teams are locked on 2 points with plenty of cricket still to play. A win here could push either side into the top two.

Head-to-Head

These sides have met 9 times since 2023 (Statz data). Texas Super Kings lead the overall record 5-3, with 1 no result. However, MI New York have won the last 2 meetings – including a dominant 8-wicket victory on 22 June 2026 (TSK 158/10 vs MINY 162/2) and a 7-wicket win in July 2025 (TSK 166/5 vs MINY 172/3).

At Oakland Coliseum, there has been one previous meeting between these sides – TSK won by 3 runs in a thriller in June 2025 (MINY 182/8 vs TSK 185/6). MINY’s overall record at Oakland is 1 win from 3, while TSK are unbeaten at this venue with 3 wins from 3.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections have this as a genuine coin-flip.

If MI New York bat first: MINY win probability 50.9%. Projected first innings 196.5 (P10: 165, P90: 228). Projected match total 379.6 (P10: 326, P90: 432).

If Texas Super Kings bat first: TSK win probability 52%. Projected first innings 195.7 (P10: 164, P90: 227). Projected match total 378.7 (P10: 326, P90: 431).

Both scenarios project first-innings totals around 196 – just above the venue average of 193.6. The match total projections of 378-380 are significantly higher than the ground average of 341.8, suggesting both teams have the batting depth to score heavily. Whoever bats first gets the slightest edge, largely because chasing at Oakland has been notoriously difficult.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap (Top Run-Scorers):

1. Mitchell Owen (WSF) – 216 runs in 2 innings
2. Tim Seifert (SO) – 187 runs in 3 innings
3. Lhuan-dre Pretorius (SFU) – 127 runs in 2 innings
4. Faf du Plessis (TSK) – 119 runs in 2 innings
5. Kieron Pollard (MINY) – 107 runs in 2 innings

Purple Cap (Top Wicket-Takers):

1. Ottneil Baartman (SO) – 8 wickets in 3 innings
2. Jasdeep Singh (SO) – 6 wickets in 3 innings
3. Peter Siddle (SFU) – 5 wickets in 2 innings
4. Dasun Shanaka (SO) – 5 wickets in 3 innings
5. Corbin Bosch (MINY) – 5 wickets in 2 innings

MI New York season leaders: Kieron Pollard leads with 107 runs at 53.5 (HS 100). Corbin Bosch is the leading wicket-taker with 5 at 2.5 per match (best 4).

Texas Super Kings season leaders: Faf du Plessis tops the runs with 119 at 59.5 (HS 113), though he was absent from the last XI. Rilee Rossouw has 93 runs at 31.0 (HS 49) from the regular lineup. Amshi de Silva leads the bowling with 3 wickets.

Predicted XIs

Based on the most recent match on 22 June 2026 (MINY vs TSK). Check the Statz fixture page for toss and any late changes.

MI New York (vs Texas Super Kings, 22 Jun): Monank Patel, Quinton de Kock (wk), Nicholas Pooran (c), Tajinder Singh, Kieron Pollard, Corey Anderson, Romario Shepherd, Corbin Bosch, Trent Boult, Rushil Ugarkar, Sunny Patel

Texas Super Kings (vs MI New York, 22 Jun): Rilee Rossouw, Saiteja Mukkamalla, Donovan Ferreira (c), Smit Patel (wk), Wiaan Mulder, Shubham Ranjane, Milind Kumar, Amshi de Silva, Adam Milne, Hardus Viljoen, Akeal Hosein

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Corbin Bosch (MINY) – projected 10.4 runs and 1.92 wickets. Bosch was outstanding in the last match against TSK, taking 4 wickets to dismantle their batting. He is the highest projected fantasy contributor in this game with genuine all-round value – 5 wickets and 35 runs in 2 innings this season.

Vice Captain: Kieron Pollard (MINY) – projected 29.5 runs. Pollard smashed a century in his last match and has 107 runs this season at 53.5. His power hitting at a batting paradise like Oakland makes him a high-ceiling pick.

Top 3 picks to consider: Quinton de Kock (projected 30.4 runs – explosive opener), Rilee Rossouw (projected 26.8 runs, 66.7% hit rate for 20+ runs), Trent Boult (projected 1.29 wickets – 4 scalps in 2 innings this season).

Key Players

Kieron Pollard (MINY) – The big Trinidadian smashed 100 off just 2 innings this season to sit fifth in the Orange Cap race. At Oakland, where boundaries flow and the bat-first advantage is significant, Pollard could be devastating if he gets in early. His projected 29.5 runs understates the ceiling – if he bats first, expect fireworks.

Corbin Bosch (MINY) – Joint fifth in the Purple Cap with 5 wickets in 2 innings, including a 4-wicket haul against TSK in their last meeting. His projected 1.92 wickets is the highest in the match. He also chips in with the bat (35 runs, HS 35), making him a genuine all-rounder for fantasy and betting purposes. Explore his stats in the Statz bet builder.

Rilee Rossouw (TSK) – TSK’s most consistent presence in the current lineup with 93 runs at 31.0. His 66.7% hit rate for 20+ runs and 66.7% for 30+ runs make him a reliable bet builder option. With Faf du Plessis absent from the last XI, Rossouw carries extra responsibility at the top.

Trent Boult (MINY) – The experienced left-armer has 4 wickets in 2 innings this season and is projected for 1.29 wickets here. Boult with the new ball at Oakland – where pace bowlers take 70.3% of wickets – is always a threat, particularly if MINY bowl first.

Conditions

Cloudy skies at Oakland Coliseum with the temperature around 19 degrees Celsius, humidity at 73% and a light wind at 6.8 km/h – no rain expected.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Verdict: This is as close as it gets. The Statz model has MINY at just 50.9% if they bat first and TSK at 52% if they bat first – essentially a toss-up. MI New York’s recent form is slightly stronger and they demolished TSK four days ago, but Texas Super Kings are unbeaten at Oakland (3 from 3 historically). The toss could be decisive – bat first at Oakland and you have a 67% chance of winning. Slight lean towards MI New York based on momentum and the superior middle order of Pooran, Pollard and Bosch.

Betting angles from the Statz bet builder:

• Rilee Rossouw 20+ runs – 66.7% hit rate this season (2/3 innings). TSK’s most reliable bat in the current XI.
• Corbin Bosch 1+ wickets – Bosch has taken wickets in both innings this season (5 total). He destroyed TSK’s batting lineup in the last meeting with 4 wickets.
• Trent Boult 1+ wickets – 4 wickets in 2 innings. Boult operates with the new ball where Oakland’s pace-friendly conditions favour seamers (70.3% of wickets to pace).
• Match total over 340 runs – The Statz model projects 379 regardless of who bats first, well above the venue average of 341.8. Both lineups have serious batting depth.