London Spirit vs Birmingham Phoenix - Projections & Predictions · The Hundred
London Spirit
L
L
W
L
L
28th Match
The Hundred · 28th Match · Lord's
5:00 PM UTC
Sun, Aug 9 · Lord's, London · Lord's
Birmingham Phoenix
L
L
L
L
L
BP lead H2H 5–0
271 avg total here
53.8% boundary rate
Dwarshuis 4 straight wickets (1+)
LSLondon Spirit
5:00 PM
BPBirmingham Phoenix
The Hundred · 28th Match · Lord's
Projected win probability
toss pending · blend of both scenarios
LS
BP
Projected totalTotal
ground avg 271.0
1st innings1st inn
ground avg 142.4
Match sixesSixes
ground avg 9.5
Match foursFours
ground avg 22.2
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High
Model vs market
best available oddsWinner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
London Spirit1.73
57.8%
-12.1%
Birmingham Phoenix2.20
45.5%
+2.3%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
LS projected boundaries
4.1 6s
10.1 4s
Ground 6s factor 0.9x
BP projected boundaries
5.1 6s
10.1 4s
Ground 4s factor 0.93x
Player projections
Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
| London Spirit | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | B | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lhuan-dre Pretorius | 21.4 | 12 | 177 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | 21.4 | 32.7 |
| Jonny Bairstow | 27.6 | 20 | 138 | 2.8 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | 0.2 | 32.5 | 45.2 |
| James Rew | 10.2 | 8 | 126 | 1.6 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | - | 0.2 | 12.1 | 19.2 |
| Dewald Brevis | 22.0 | 15 | 152 | 1.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.2 | 26.1 | 37.3 |
| Liam Livingstone | 26.0 | 18 | 148 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 8 | 0.4 | 17 | 14.2 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 36.6 | 51.2 |
| James Coles | 11.1 | 9 | 126 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 14 | 0.5 | 17 | 9.6 | 0.6 | - | 0.1 | 25.8 | 35.2 |
| David Willey | 15.0 | 11 | 135 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 17 | 1.0 | 24 | 9.5 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 38.4 | 53.3 |
| Jamie Overton | 11.5 | 8 | 144 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 11 | 0.6 | 18 | 11.9 | 0.6 | - | - | 30.2 | 40.1 |
| Andrew Tye | 4.0 | 4 | 105 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 14 | 0.6 | 27 | 12.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 16.7 | 26.5 |
| Adam Milne | 3.4 | 4 | 95 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 18 | 1.1 | 22 | 8.6 | 0.3 | - | 0.0 | 27.6 | 40.8 |
| Adam Zampa | 3.2 | 4 | 81 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 21 | 1.2 | 26 | 9.1 | 0.2 | - | - | 28.9 | 43.1 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (7 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Tymal Mills | 3.2 | 3 | 124 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 20 | 1.6 | 29 | 10.1 | 0.2 | - | - | 36.6 | 55.1 |
| Kiran Carlson | 25.5 | 20 | 135 | 2.3 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | 25.5 | 36.3 |
| Mason Crane | 3.4 | 3 | 105 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 17 | 0.9 | 29 | 11.5 | 0.4 | - | - | 25.4 | 36.2 |
| Joseph Moores | 12.8 | 10 | 140 | 1.1 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 22.8 | 27.2 |
| Henry Crocombe | 4.6 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 23 | 0.5 | 26 | 7.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.6 | 27.0 |
| Adam Hose | 16.3 | 11 | 144 | 1.6 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | - | 19.8 | 26.8 |
| Matthew Fisher | 4.6 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 23 | 0.5 | 26 | 7.3 | 0.0 | - | - | 14.6 | 23.1 |
| Birmingham Phoenix | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | B | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarke | 22.6 | 16 | 139 | 2.3 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | 0.0 | 27.7 | 37.2 |
| Will Smeed | 14.0 | 10 | 142 | 1.4 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | - | 17.4 | 23.7 |
| Mitchell Owen | 8.2 | 7 | 120 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 6 | 0.6 | 18 | 18.0 | 0.6 | - | 0.2 | 26.1 | 37.1 |
| Laurie Evans | 13.8 | 10 | 143 | 1.2 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | - | 0.0 | 19.3 | 25.1 |
| Sean Dickson | 10.2 | 8 | 126 | 0.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | - | - | 12.1 | 17.6 |
| Donovan Ferreira | 14.8 | 9 | 171 | 0.8 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.8 | - | 0.2 | 22.7 | 30.8 |
| Rehan Ahmed | 14.8 | 11 | 129 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 17 | 0.9 | 23 | 9.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.0 | 34.5 | 48.3 |
| Ben Dwarshuis | 9.5 | 6 | 156 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 21 | 1.4 | 24 | 8.1 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 39.3 | 58.5 |
| Chris Wood | 2.1 | 2 | 111 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 18 | 1.0 | 23 | 8.8 | 0.1 | - | - | 23.3 | 35.6 |
| Saqib Mahmood | 1.9 | 2 | 81 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18 | 1.0 | 27 | 10.3 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 22.4 | 34.3 |
| Usman Tariq | 3.5 | 4 | 80 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 18 | 0.7 | 24 | 7.9 | 0.0 | - | - | 17.2 | 27.0 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (7 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Tom Helm | 6.2 | 7 | 94 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 14 | 1.2 | 25 | 11.0 | 0.3 | - | - | 32.8 | 47.3 |
| Scott Currie | 8.9 | 8 | 116 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 18 | 1.0 | 26 | 9.9 | 0.5 | - | - | 34.2 | 46.8 |
| Jordan Thompson | 7.2 | 5 | 134 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 16 | 1.0 | 23 | 9.8 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 29.9 | 43.2 |
| Jacob Bethell | 18.2 | 13 | 136 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 0.1 | 6 | 16.7 | 0.6 | - | - | 26.9 | 35.3 |
| Ethan Brookes | 9.1 | 7 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 23 | 0.5 | 26 | 7.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 22.1 | 32.4 |
| Matthew Montgomery | 9.1 | 7 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 23 | 0.5 | 26 | 7.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 22.1 | 32.4 |
| Mustafizur Rahman | 4.6 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 23 | 0.5 | 26 | 7.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.6 | 27.0 |
Ben Dwarshuis BP
1.4 wkts
58.5 D11
39.3 PP
Tymal Mills LS
1.6 wkts
55.1 D11
36.6 PP
David Willey LS
1.0 wkts
53.3 D11
38.4 PP
Liam Livingstone LS
26.0 runs
51.2 D11
36.6 PP
Rehan Ahmed BP
0.9 wkts
48.3 D11
34.5 PP
Tom Helm BP
1.2 wkts
47.3 D11
32.8 PP
Scott Currie BP
1.0 wkts
46.8 D11
34.2 PP
Jonny Bairstow LS
27.6 runs
45.2 D11
32.5 PP
Track record
56.5% model win rate across 407 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine
· v3 · 6 hours ago
Next: Dream11
These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.
