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Zimbabwe vs Australia - Projections & Predictions · One Day Internationals

Zimbabwe

L L W W L

One Day Internationals

One Day Internationals · Harare Sports Club

7:30 AM UTC

Fri, Sep 18 · Harare Sports Club, Harare · Harare Sports Club

Australia

W W L L L

AUS lead H2H 3–1 455 avg total here 43.4% boundary rate 21°C, clear sky Renshaw 5 straight wickets (1+)

ZIMZimbabwe 7:30 AM AUSAustralia One Day Internationals · Harare Sports Club

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Projected win probability

toss pending · blend of both scenarios

ZIM

AUS

Projected totalTotal

ground avg 455.3

1st innings1st inn

ground avg 242.2

Match sixesSixes

ground avg 6.2

Match foursFours

ground avg 40.0

MODEL CONFIDENCE

High

Model vs market

best available odds

Winner

Odds

Implied

Statz edge

Zimbabwe

8.00

12.5%

+11.8%

Australia

1.11

90.1%

-17.4%

Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.

ZIM projected boundaries

1.7 6s

15 4s

Ground 6s factor 0.58x

AUS projected boundaries

3.2 6s

20.9 4s

Ground 4s factor 0.98x

Player projections

expected XI · per-player output

Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs

Zimbabwe	Runs	Balls	SR	4s	6s	Ov	Wkts	Conc	Econ	Ct	St	RO	Perf	D11
Ben Curran	33.0	43	76	3.4	0.0	-	-	-	-	0.3	-	-	35.9	56.5
Innocent Kaia	19.3	31	62	1.8	0.2	-	-	-	-	0.2	-	-	20.9	34.5
Brendan Taylor	24.5	30	81	2.7	0.4	-	-	-	-	0.8	-	-	32.6	50.5
Brian Bennett	21.0	24	88	2.6	0.3	1.0	0.1	6	6.7	0.6	-	-	27.8	46.5
Craig Ervine	22.8	29	80	2.3	0.4	-	-	-	-	0.5	-	0.0	27.7	44.6
Wesley Madhevere	17.5	23	76	1.7	0.1	3.3	0.4	17	5.2	0.4	-	0.1	29.5	51.9
Sikandar Raza	24.8	30	84	2.0	0.5	7.3	0.5	34	4.6	0.4	-	0.0	39.3	74.5
Ryan Burl	17.1	24	72	1.4	0.4	2.8	0.5	19	6.8	0.5	-	0.0	32.4	54.6
Brad Evans	11.7	12	101	0.7	0.5	7.5	1.5	38	5.2	0.5	-	0.1	46.7	87.7
Wellington Masakadza	9.3	13	72	1.0	0.1	6.7	0.4	32	4.8	0.3	-	0.0	20.9	45.5
Newman Nyamhuri	6.5	11	60	0.9	0.0	6.8	2.0	35	5.2	0.3	-	-	49.8	94.4
Blessing Muzarabani	3.3	6	58	0.3	0.1	9.0	1.6	41	4.5	0.3	-	0.0	37.7	78.4
▾ Full squad projections (6 more)
Richard Ngarava	7.2	9	84	0.8	0.2	8.1	1.8	39	4.8	0.2	-	0.1	44.9	91.3
Graeme Cremer	13.2	19	72	1.0	0.0	9.1	1.1	41	4.5	0.7	-	-	43.0	81.5
Ernest Masuku	4.1	4	110	0.3	0.2	4.3	1.1	28	6.6	0.0	-	-	25.2	51.9
Tanaka Chivanga	3.0	5	64	0.4	0.0	7.2	0.9	37	5.1	0.1	-	0.1	21.4	51.3
Clive Madande	16.7	23	73	1.7	0.0	-	-	-	-	0.7	-	0.3	24.0	36.8
Tadiwanashe Marumani	8.1	13	60	0.9	0.0	-	-	-	-	0.5	-	0.1	13.1	20.8

Australia	Runs	Balls	SR	4s	6s	Ov	Wkts	Conc	Econ	Ct	St	RO	Perf	D11
Travis Head	29.2	25	117	3.8	0.9	1.8	0.2	10	5.4	0.2	-	0.0	35.6	70.9
Mitchell Marsh	35.1	36	97	3.6	1.4	1.9	0.3	10	5.1	0.2	-	0.0	43.1	80.2
Matt Renshaw	36.1	36	100	2.1	0.7	2.9	0.4	13	4.5	0.3	-	-	47.8	78.5
Josh Inglis	26.3	26	99	2.8	0.6	-	-	-	-	0.8	-	0.1	34.1	54.5
Alex Carey	21.0	25	85	2.0	0.3	-	-	-	-	0.9	-	0.1	30.0	44.2
Cooper Connolly	34.7	37	95	2.8	1.2	2.3	0.5	10	4.4	0.3	-	-	48.0	84.5
Oliver Peake	18.2	24	77	1.1	0.7	3.5	0.5	23	6.6	0.0	-	-	28.2	53.3
Xavier Bartlett	3.7	6	65	0.1	0.2	8.2	2.8	33	4.1	0.2	-	-	60.7	119.7
Nathan Ellis	7.0	9	82	0.5	0.3	8.2	1.7	38	4.6	0.3	-	0.1	44.1	88.6
Adam Zampa	5.9	9	68	0.5	0.0	8.6	1.2	41	4.7	0.2	-	-	32.3	68.1
Spencer Johnson	4.7	5	93	0.5	0.1	6.9	0.8	37	5.3	0.3	-	-	22.9	50.1
▾ Full squad projections (14 more)
Pat Cummins	11.6	15	79	1.0	0.4	8.5	1.6	39	4.6	0.3	-	0.1	47.2	93.3
Ben Dwarshuis	12.2	19	64	0.8	0.4	8.1	1.7	40	5.0	0.2	-	-	47.2	91.2
Mitchell Starc	6.2	10	61	0.5	0.1	8.5	1.8	42	5.0	0.5	-	-	46.8	90.0
Matthew Kuhnemann	10.0	17	58	0.9	0.0	8.9	1.3	36	4.0	0.0	-	0.1	36.4	79.8
Josh Hazlewood	2.9	4	74	0.2	0.0	8.5	1.5	34	4.1	0.4	-	-	36.4	77.0
Cameron Green	25.8	30	85	1.9	0.8	3.8	0.5	19	4.9	0.8	-	0.0	43.9	73.7
Matthew Short	21.6	28	79	2.0	0.3	3.7	0.3	20	5.5	0.5	-	0.1	33.0	58.4
Marnus Labuschagne	23.7	31	78	2.1	0.2	0.9	0.2	6	5.8	0.6	-	0.1	33.1	51.8
Billy Stanlake	0.6	4	14	0.0	0.0	8.2	1.0	40	4.9	0.1	-	-	21.2	51.4
Liam Scott	8.8	7	130	0.7	0.4	3.5	0.5	23	6.6	0.3	-	0.2	21.8	43.3
Joel Davies	8.8	7	130	0.7	0.4	3.5	0.5	23	6.6	0.3	-	0.2	21.8	43.3
Tanveer Sangha	1.9	5	38	0.1	0.0	7.1	0.6	37	5.2	0.0	-	-	12.9	36.5
Todd Murphy	4.4	4	110	0.3	0.2	3.5	0.5	23	6.6	0.3	-	0.2	17.4	36.0
Riley Meredith	4.4	4	110	0.3	0.2	4.5	0.3	29	6.4	0.5	-	-	16.2	32.7

Xavier Bartlett AUS 2.8 wkts 119.7 D11 60.7 PP

Newman Nyamhuri ZIM 2.0 wkts 94.4 D11 49.8 PP

Pat Cummins AUS 1.6 wkts 93.3 D11 47.2 PP

Richard Ngarava ZIM 1.8 wkts 91.3 D11 44.9 PP

Ben Dwarshuis AUS 1.7 wkts 91.2 D11 47.2 PP

Mitchell Starc AUS 1.8 wkts 90.0 D11 46.8 PP

Nathan Ellis AUS 1.7 wkts 88.6 D11 44.1 PP

Brad Evans ZIM 1.5 wkts 87.7 D11 46.7 PP

Track record

58% model win rate across 512 settled matches · see history →

Projections generated by the Statz AI engine · v3 · 8 hours ago

Track record

58%model win rate · 512 matches

See every past projection →

Next: Dream11

These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.

Who is playing in Zimbabwe vs Australia?

Confirmed XIs are announced around the toss, ~30 minutes before the start. Based on their last matches, Zimbabwe are likely to field Brian Bennett, Ben Curran, Innocent Kaia, Brendan Taylor and 7 more, and Australia Mitchell Marsh, Travis Head, Cooper Connolly, Josh Inglis and 7 more — full predicted XIs and squads are on this page.

Who leads the Zimbabwe vs Australia head-to-head record?

Australia lead 3–1 from 4 matches.

What is Zimbabwe's current form in 2026?

Zimbabwe have won 2 and lost 2 from 4 matches in 2026, averaging 205.5 runs per match.

What is Australia's current form in 2026?

Australia have won 3 and lost 4 from 7 matches in 2026, averaging 219.6 runs per match.

Where is Zimbabwe vs Australia being played?

Zimbabwe vs Australia is being played at Harare Sports Club on 18 Sep 2026 at 13:00 IST.

Who are the top run-scorers in Zimbabwe vs Australia head-to-head matches?

The top run-scorers in Zimbabwe vs Australia H2H are David Warner (164 runs), Matt Renshaw (109 runs), Wesley Madhevere (96 runs).

Who are the top wicket-takers in Zimbabwe vs Australia head-to-head matches?

The top wicket-takers in Zimbabwe vs Australia H2H are Ryan Burl (8 wkts), Cameron Green (8 wkts), Adam Zampa (7 wkts).

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Zimbabwe and Australia?

The leading run-scorers in 2026 are Ben Curran (456 runs), Sikandar Raza (332 runs), Matt Renshaw (326 runs).

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Zimbabwe and Australia?

The leading wicket-takers in 2026 are Richard Ngarava (17 wkts), Nathan Ellis (16 wkts), Blessing Muzarabani (11 wkts).

What is the pitch like at Harare Sports Club?

At Harare Sports Club, 64.1% of wickets fall to seam and 30.5% to spin. The average match total is 447.4 runs with a first-innings average of 224.3. There are an average of 5.8 sixes per match and teams batting first have won 39.4% of matches.

What is Zimbabwe's record at Harare Sports Club?

Zimbabwe have won 13 and lost 20 from 36 matches at Harare Sports Club.

What is Australia's record at Harare Sports Club?

Australia have won 1 and lost 0 from 1 matches at Harare Sports Club.

What is the weather forecast at Harare Sports Club for Zimbabwe vs Australia?

The forecast at Harare Sports Club for Zimbabwe vs Australia is Clear Sky, 21°C, humidity 48%, wind 6.3 km/h.

Zimbabwe vs Australia - Projections & Predictions · One Day Internationals

The Statz verdict

Head-to-head record

Season comparison

Projected win probability

Model vs market

Player projections

Harare Sports Club, Harare

Last 5 matches here

Hit rates: who delivers?

Top performers in this fixture

Full squads

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is playing in Zimbabwe vs Australia?

Who leads the Zimbabwe vs Australia head-to-head record?

What is Zimbabwe's current form in 2026?

What is Australia's current form in 2026?

Where is Zimbabwe vs Australia being played?

Who are the top run-scorers in Zimbabwe vs Australia head-to-head matches?

Who are the top wicket-takers in Zimbabwe vs Australia head-to-head matches?

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Zimbabwe and Australia?

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Zimbabwe and Australia?

What is the pitch like at Harare Sports Club?

What is Zimbabwe's record at Harare Sports Club?

What is Australia's record at Harare Sports Club?

What is the weather forecast at Harare Sports Club for Zimbabwe vs Australia?

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Zimbabwe vs Australia - Projections & Predictions · One Day Internationals

The Statz verdict

Head-to-head record

Season comparison

Projected win probability

Model vs market

Player projections

Harare Sports Club, Harare

Last 5 matches here

Hit rates: who delivers?

Top performers in this fixture

Full squads

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is playing in Zimbabwe vs Australia?

Who leads the Zimbabwe vs Australia head-to-head record?

What is Zimbabwe's current form in 2026?

What is Australia's current form in 2026?

Where is Zimbabwe vs Australia being played?

Who are the top run-scorers in Zimbabwe vs Australia head-to-head matches?

Who are the top wicket-takers in Zimbabwe vs Australia head-to-head matches?

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Zimbabwe and Australia?

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Zimbabwe and Australia?

What is the pitch like at Harare Sports Club?

What is Zimbabwe's record at Harare Sports Club?

What is Australia's record at Harare Sports Club?

What is the weather forecast at Harare Sports Club for Zimbabwe vs Australia?

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