Sri Lanka vs India - Projections & Predictions · ICC World Test Championship
Sri Lanka
D
L
W
D
L
ICC World Test Championship
ICC World Test Championship · Galle International Stadium
4:30 AM UTC
Sat, Aug 15 · Galle International Stadium, Galle · Galle International Stadium
India
W
L
L
W
W
IND lead H2H 2–0
1039 avg total here
43.7% boundary rate
28°C, rain showers
Siraj 9 straight wickets (1+)
SLSri Lanka
4:30 AM
INDIndia
ICC World Test Championship · Galle International Stadium
Projected win probability
toss pending · blend of both scenarios
SL
IND
Middle segment = projected draw
Projected totalTotal
ground avg 1,038.6
1st innings1st inn
ground avg 360.6
Match sixesSixes
ground avg 10.3
Match foursFours
ground avg 98.2
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High
Model vs market
best available oddsWinner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Sri Lanka
5.00
20%
+9.8%
India
1.62
61.9%
-10.5%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
SL projected boundaries
3.7 6s
36.7 4s
Ground 6s factor 1.17x
IND projected boundaries
6.7 6s
38.4 4s
Ground 4s factor 1.01x
Player projections
Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
| Sri Lanka | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nishan Madushka | 46.0 | 82 | 56 | 5.6 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 1.5 | - | - | 61.1 | 90.8 |
| Lahiru Udara | 53.9 | 68 | 79 | 6.4 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 63.9 | 104.0 |
| Kusal Mendis | 52.8 | 85 | 63 | 6.1 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 1.9 | - | 0.1 | 71.6 | 106.7 |
| Dinesh Chandimal | 60.1 | 114 | 53 | 6.4 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | - | 0.0 | 65.9 | 103.4 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva | 49.9 | 83 | 60 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 9.8 | 0.8 | 31 | 3.2 | 1.4 | - | 0.0 | 78.7 | 113.9 |
| Kamindu Mendis | 71.7 | 112 | 64 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 10 | 5.8 | 1.0 | - | - | 85.5 | 133.9 |
| Sonal Dinusha | 34.6 | 55 | 63 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 17.5 | 1.6 | 80 | 4.6 | 0.3 | - | - | 69.9 | 98.1 |
| Prabath Jayasuriya | 9.9 | 27 | 37 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 55.1 | 6.0 | 166 | 3.0 | 0.3 | - | 0.0 | 131.6 | 161.2 |
| Milan Rathnayake | 33.7 | 59 | 57 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 27.2 | 2.4 | 83 | 3.1 | 0.4 | - | - | 86.5 | 115.7 |
| Isitha Wijesundara | 4.3 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 25 | 7.1 | 0.0 | - | - | 14.3 | 21.8 |
| Asitha Fernando | 2.2 | 8 | 26 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 27.5 | 2.9 | 86 | 3.1 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 63.0 | 76.9 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (14 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Ramesh Mendis | 23.8 | 55 | 43 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 40.6 | 4.8 | 121 | 3.0 | 0.4 | - | 0.2 | 123.7 | 155.1 |
| Akila Dananjaya | 15.3 | 31 | 50 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 35.2 | 5.5 | 154 | 4.4 | 0.0 | - | - | 124.6 | 154.8 |
| Dimuth Karunaratne | 62.5 | 113 | 55 | 7.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 66.1 | 106.1 |
| Pathum Nissanka | 56.2 | 95 | 59 | 6.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | - | - | 62.5 | 99.2 |
| Angelo Mathews | 54.1 | 115 | 47 | 4.9 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | - | 58.2 | 90.3 |
| Nishan Peiris | 4.0 | 9 | 44 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 27.5 | 3.0 | 139 | 5.1 | 0.0 | - | - | 63.1 | 77.4 |
| Vishwa Fernando | 6.1 | 23 | 26 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 26.9 | 2.6 | 87 | 3.2 | 0.3 | - | 0.0 | 61.3 | 74.8 |
| Kasun Rajitha | 8.9 | 32 | 27 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 27.3 | 2.2 | 87 | 3.2 | 0.4 | - | 0.2 | 58.2 | 73.4 |
| Tharindu Rathnayake | 4.2 | 7 | 60 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 22.0 | 2.4 | 127 | 5.8 | 0.0 | - | 0.5 | 52.6 | 70.3 |
| Lahiru Kumara | 4.9 | 15 | 33 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 24.7 | 2.4 | 89 | 3.6 | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 55.7 | 69.4 |
| Jeffrey Vandersay | 14.3 | 15 | 94 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 11.8 | 1.5 | 76 | 6.5 | 0.5 | - | - | 49.4 | 66.6 |
| Oshada Fernando | 36.2 | 73 | 50 | 4.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | 0.0 | 41.6 | 66.5 |
| Pavan Rathnayake | 15.3 | 12 | 135 | 1.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 25.3 | 36.2 |
| Pasindu Sooriyabandara | 8.6 | 7 | 130 | 0.7 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 18.6 | 25.4 |
| India | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yashasvi Jaiswal | 71.9 | 109 | 66 | 9.4 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.8 | - | - | 79.7 | 134.5 |
| Shubman Gill | 70.5 | 112 | 63 | 7.9 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | 0.0 | 77.8 | 126.8 |
| Sai Sudharsan | 48.9 | 112 | 44 | 6.6 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.9 | - | - | 57.7 | 90.8 |
| Lokesh Rahul | 57.6 | 116 | 50 | 6.9 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 1.2 | - | - | 70.0 | 107.6 |
| Rishabh Pant | 64.2 | 86 | 75 | 6.7 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 2.9 | - | 0.1 | 93.1 | 137.8 |
| Dhruv Jurel | 40.3 | 71 | 57 | 4.5 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 1.7 | - | 0.1 | 57.3 | 84.4 |
| Washington Sundar | 48.2 | 103 | 47 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 20.9 | 2.5 | 70 | 3.4 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 102.3 | 140.2 |
| Kuldeep Yadav | 14.6 | 63 | 23 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 27.2 | 5.1 | 90 | 3.3 | 0.3 | - | - | 118.8 | 145.5 |
| Manav Suthar | 4.4 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 24 | 6.8 | 3.0 | - | - | 44.4 | 46.0 |
| Mohammed Siraj | 4.0 | 11 | 37 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 25.9 | 2.8 | 84 | 3.2 | 0.5 | - | 0.0 | 64.6 | 77.9 |
| Prasidh Krishna | 1.5 | 10 | 16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.1 | 3.2 | 101 | 4.0 | 0.3 | - | - | 67.8 | 80.2 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (16 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Ravindra Jadeja | 53.3 | 102 | 52 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 30.1 | 3.8 | 87 | 2.9 | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 132.1 | 178.1 |
| Axar Patel | 42.3 | 79 | 53 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 25.0 | 3.5 | 65 | 2.6 | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 115.8 | 159.5 |
| Jasprit Bumrah | 6.9 | 17 | 41 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 30.6 | 3.9 | 79 | 2.6 | 0.3 | - | 0.0 | 88.1 | 108.0 |
| Shardul Thakur | 28.7 | 49 | 59 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 19.7 | 2.0 | 72 | 3.7 | 0.5 | - | - | 74.2 | 102.1 |
| Akash Deep | 15.2 | 28 | 54 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 26.6 | 2.5 | 99 | 3.7 | 0.2 | - | - | 66.5 | 87.7 |
| Nitish Kumar Reddy | 36.8 | 66 | 56 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 31 | 3.9 | 0.6 | - | 0.1 | 54.8 | 83.1 |
| Karun Nair | 40.4 | 72 | 56 | 5.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 50.0 | 78.1 |
| Devdutt Padikkal | 29.3 | 45 | 65 | 3.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 39.2 | 59.6 |
| Harshit Rana | 3.9 | 6 | 62 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 11.0 | 0.9 | 67 | 6.1 | 0.5 | - | - | 27.6 | 35.2 |
| Saransh Jain | 8.9 | 7 | 130 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 24 | 6.8 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 21.9 | 33.1 |
| Narayan Jagadeesan | 15.9 | 12 | 135 | 1.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 18.9 | 32.9 |
| Abhimanyu Easwaran | 15.9 | 12 | 135 | 1.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 18.9 | 32.9 |
| Arshdeep Singh | 4.4 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 24 | 6.8 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.4 | 25.8 |
| Gurnoor Brar | 4.4 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 24 | 6.8 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.4 | 25.8 |
| Auqib Nabi | 4.4 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 24 | 6.8 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.4 | 25.8 |
| Anshul Kamboj | 4.4 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 24 | 6.8 | 0.0 | - | - | 14.4 | 22.0 |
Ravindra Jadeja IND
53.3 runs
178.1 D11
132.1 PP
Prabath Jayasuriya SL
6.0 wkts
161.2 D11
131.6 PP
Axar Patel IND
42.3 runs
159.5 D11
115.8 PP
Ramesh Mendis SL
23.8 runs
155.1 D11
123.7 PP
Akila Dananjaya SL
15.3 runs
154.8 D11
124.6 PP
Kuldeep Yadav IND
5.1 wkts
145.5 D11
118.8 PP
Washington Sundar IND
48.2 runs
140.2 D11
102.3 PP
Rishabh Pant IND
64.2 runs
137.8 D11
93.1 PP
Track record
56.7% model win rate across 423 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine
· v5 · 5 hours ago
Next: Dream11
These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.
